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Multimorbidity, or the presence of several medical conditions in the same individual, has been increasing in the population, both in absolute and relative terms. However, multimorbidity remains poorly understood, and the evidence from…

Social contact patterns are key drivers of infectious disease transmission. During the COVID-19 pandemic, differences between pre-COVID and COVID-era contact rates were widely attributed to non-pharmaceutical interventions such as…

To date, the only effective means to respond to the spreading of COVID-19 pandemic are non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), which entail policies to reduce social activity and mobility restrictions. Quantifying their effect is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-01 Francesco Parino , Lorenzo Zino , Maurizio Porfiri , Alessandro Rizzo

The emergence of Covid-19 requires new effective tools for epidemiological surveillance. Spatio-temporal disease mapping models, which allow dealing with highly disaggregated spatial and temporal units of analysis, are a priority in this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-11-10 Miguel A. Martinez-Beneito , Jorge Mateu , Paloma Botella-Rocamora

Critical incident stages identification and reasonable prediction of traffic incident duration are essential in traffic incident management. In this paper, we propose a traffic incident duration prediction model that simultaneously predicts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-11-21 Kaiqun Fu , Taoran Ji , Liang Zhao , Chang-Tien Lu

This work proposes a new algorithm for automated and simultaneous phenotyping of multiple co-occurring medical conditions, also referred as comorbidities, using clinical notes from the electronic health records (EHRs). A basic latent factor…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-21 Shalmali Joshi , Suriya Gunasekar , David Sontag , Joydeep Ghosh

The COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of social distancing policies have rapidly changed people's visiting patterns, as reflected in mobility data that tracks mobility traffic using location trackers on cell phones. However, the…

Inter-city highway transportation is significant for urban life. As one of the key functions in intelligent transportation system (ITS), traffic evaluation always plays significant role nowadays, and daily traffic flow prediction still…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-11 Weilong Ding , Tianpu Zhang , Jianwu Wang , Zhuofeng Zhao

The COVID-19 pandemic has severely affected many aspects of people's daily lives. While many countries are in a re-opening stage, some effects of the pandemic on people's behaviors are expected to last much longer, including how they choose…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-02-19 Mark Beliaev , Erdem Bıyık , Daniel A. Lazar , Woodrow Z. Wang , Dorsa Sadigh , Ramtin Pedarsani

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the behavioral response to reported case numbers changed drastically over time. While a few dozen cases were enough to trigger government-induced and voluntary contact reduction in early 2020, less than a year…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-09-27 Bastian Heinlein , Manlio De Domenico

Accurate Traffic Prediction is a challenging task in intelligent transportation due to the spatial-temporal aspects of road networks. The traffic of a road network can be affected by long-distance or long-term dependencies where existing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-10 Zhengyang Zhao , Haitao Yuan , Nan Jiang , Minxiao Chen , Ning Liu , Zengxiang Li

We introduce the probabilistic sequential matrix factorization (PSMF) method for factorizing time-varying and non-stationary datasets consisting of high-dimensional time-series. In particular, we consider nonlinear Gaussian state-space…

The spread of COVID-19 has coincided with the rise of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), leading to several studies proposing their use to better forecast the evolution of the pandemic. Many such models also include Long Short Term Memory (LSTM)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-08-24 Nathan Sesti , Juan Jose Garau-Luis , Edward Crawley , Bruce Cameron

The problem of broad practical interest in spatiotemporal data analysis, i.e., discovering interpretable dynamic patterns from spatiotemporal data, is studied in this paper. Towards this end, we develop a time-varying reduced-rank vector…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-29 Xinyu Chen , Chengyuan Zhang , Xiaoxu Chen , Nicolas Saunier , Lijun Sun

The recovery of the public transportation system is critical for both social re-engagement and economic rebooting after the shutdown during pandemic like COVID-19. In this study, we focus on the integrated optimization of service line…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-09-10 Yiduo Huang , Zuojun Max Shen

With the outbreak of COVID-19, how to mitigate and suppress its spread is a big issue to the government. Department of public health need powerful models to model and predict the trend and scale of such pandemic. And models that could…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 Wang Pan , Qipu Deng , Jiadong Li , Zhi Wang , Wenwu Zhu

Traffic forecasting uses recent measurements by sensors installed at chosen locations to forecast the future road traffic. Existing work either assumes all locations are equipped with sensors or focuses on short-term forecast. This paper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-11 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Zhengkun Xiao , Yupu zhang , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

Human mobility estimation is crucial during the COVID-19 pandemic due to its significant guidance for policymakers to make non-pharmaceutical interventions. While deep learning approaches outperform conventional estimation techniques on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-23 Han Bao , Xun Zhou , Yiqun Xie , Yanhua Li , Xiaowei Jia

The COVID-19 pandemic presents challenges to both public health and the economy. Our objective is to examine how household expenditure, a significant component of private demand, reacts to changes in mobility. This investigation is crucial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Taekwon Hong , Wenbin Lu , Shu Yang , Pulak Ghosh

With rapid expansion of cellular networks and the proliferation of mobile devices, cellular traffic data exhibits complex temporal dynamics and spatial correlations, posing challenges to accurate traffic prediction. Previous methods often…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Ziyi Li , Hui Ma , Fei Xing , Chunjiong Zhang , Ming Yan