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相关论文: Sensing Cox Processes via Posterior Sampling and P…

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In this paper, we introduce the first principled adaptive-sampling procedure for learning a convex function in the $L_\infty$ norm, a problem that arises often in the behavioral and social sciences. We present a function-specific measure of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-08-28 Max Simchowitz , Kevin Jamieson , Jordan W. Suchow , Thomas L. Griffiths

Posterior sampling by Monte Carlo methods provides a more comprehensive solution approach to inverse problems than computing point estimates such as the maximum posterior using optimization methods, at the expense of usually requiring many…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-11-28 Paolo Villani , Daniel Andrés-Arcones , Jörg F. Unger , Martin Weiser

This paper deals with feature selection procedures for spatial point processes intensity estimation. We consider regularized versions of estimating equations based on Campbell theorem derived from two classical functions: Poisson likelihood…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-12 Achmad Choiruddin , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédérique Letué

The log-Gaussian Cox process is a flexible and popular class of point pattern models for capturing spatial and space-time dependence for point patterns. Model fitting requires approximation of stochastic integrals which is implemented…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-24 Shinichiro Shirota , Sudipto Banerjee

Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

We consider the problem of global optimization of a function over a continuous domain. In our setup, we can evaluate the function sequentially at points of our choice and the evaluations are noisy. We frame it as a continuum-armed bandit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Kinjal Basu , Souvik Ghosh

In many practical settings one can sequentially and adaptively guide the collection of future data, based on information extracted from data collected previously. These sequential data collection procedures are known by different names,…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-28 Ervin Tánczos , Rui M. Castro

In this paper, we study the problem of adaptive estimation of the spectral density of a stationary Gaussian process. For this purpose, we consider a wavelet-based method which combines the ideas of wavelet approximation and estimation by…

Gaussian process modulated Poisson processes provide a flexible framework for modelling spatiotemporal point patterns. So far this had been restricted to one dimension, binning to a pre-determined grid, or small data sets of up to a few…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-04-04 S. T. John , James Hensman

McCullagh and Yang (2006) suggest a family of classification algorithms based on Cox processes. We further investigate the log Gaussian variant which has a number of appealing properties. Conditioned on the covariates, the distribution over…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-23 Alexander G. de. G Matthews , Zoubin Ghahramani

Task robust adaptation is a long-standing pursuit in sequential decision-making. Some risk-averse strategies, e.g., the conditional value-at-risk principle, are incorporated in domain randomization or meta reinforcement learning to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-16 Yun Qu , Qi Cheems Wang , Yixiu Mao , Yiqin Lv , Xiangyang Ji

This paper considers the problem of adaptive estimation of a non-homogeneous intensity function from the observation of n independent Poisson processes having a common intensity that is randomly shifted for each observed trajectory. We show…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-05-20 Jérémie Bigot , Sébastien Gadat , Thierry Klein , Clément Marteau

Hawkes processes are point process models that have been used to capture self-excitatory behavior in social interactions, neural activity, earthquakes and viral epidemics. They can model the occurrence of the times and locations of events.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-24 Xenia Miscouridou , Samir Bhatt , George Mohler , Seth Flaxman , Swapnil Mishra

In this paper, we use the Hawkes process to model the sequence of failure, i.e., events of compressor station and conduct survival analysis on various failure events of the compressor station. However, until now, nearly all relevant…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-28 Lu-ning Zhang , Jian-wei Liu , Xin Zuo

Adaptive Langevin dynamics is a method for sampling the Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution at prescribed temperature in cases where the potential gradient is subject to stochastic perturbation of unknown magnitude. The method replaces the…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-14 Benedict Leimkuhler , Matthias Sachs , Gabriel Stoltz

We introduce Adjoint Sampling, a highly scalable and efficient algorithm for learning diffusion processes that sample from unnormalized densities, or energy functions. It is the first on-policy approach that allows significantly more…

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty and for sequential decision-making but are limited by the requirement of solving linear systems. In general, this has a cubic cost in dataset size and is sensitive to…

The specification of a covariance function is of paramount importance when employing Gaussian process models, but the requirement of positive definiteness severely limits those used in practice. Designing flexible stationary covariance…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-05-01 Paul G. Beckman , Christopher J. Geoga

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in numerous scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-10 Xiwei Tang , Lexin Li

Point processes are stochastic models generating interacting points or events in time, space, etc. Among characteristics of these models, first-order intensity and conditional intensity functions are often considered. We focus on…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-24 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Ismaïla Ba , Achmad Choiruddin