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As of December 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 75 million people, making it the deadliest pandemic in modern history. This study develops a novel compartmental epidemiological model specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-19 Caden Lin

By fitting a compartment ODE model for Covid-19 propagation to cumulative case and death data for US states and European countries, we find that the case mortality rate seems to have decreased by at least 80% in most of the US and at least…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-01-08 Zeina S. Khan , Frank Van Bussel , Fazle Hussain

The COVID-19 pandemic caused major disruptions and contributed to the loss of livelihoods and income. The pandemic also provided public health and health systems policy shifts towards better promotion and protection in responding to such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-30 Mahdi Salehi , Samuel Manda , Mohammad Arashi , Andriette Bekker

The impact of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is being felt in all spheres of our lives -- cutting across the boundaries of nation, wealth, religions or race. From the time of the first detection of infection among the public, the virus…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-10-12 Soumyajyoti Biswas , Amit Kr Mandal

I propose novel partial identification bounds on infection prevalence from information on test rate and test yield. The approach utilizes user-specified bounds on (i) test accuracy and (ii) the extent to which tests are targeted, formalized…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-03 Jörg Stoye

Controlling the spread of COVID-19 - even after a licensed vaccine is available - requires the effective use of non-pharmaceutical interventions: physical distancing, limits on group sizes, mask wearing, etc. To date, such interventions…

Previous research has shown mixed evidence on the associations between mobility data and COVID-19 case rates, analysis of which is complicated by differences between places on factors influencing both behavior and health outcomes. We aimed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-17 Joshua R. Nugent , Laura B. Balzer

I present three types of applications of generalized additive models (GAMs) to COVID-19 mortality rates in the US for the purpose of advancing methods to document inequities with respect to which communities suffered disproportionate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-12-01 Christian Testa

When testing for a disease such as COVID-19, the standard method is individual testing: we take a sample from each individual and test these samples separately. An alternative is pooled testing (or "group testing"), where samples are mixed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-14 Matthew Aldridge , David Ellis

The rapid spread of the new SARS-CoV-2 virus triggered a global health crisis disproportionately impacting people with pre-existing health conditions and particular demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. One of the main concerns of…

We propose a partial identification method for estimating disease prevalence from serology studies. Our data are results from antibody tests in some population sample, where the test parameters, such as the true/false positive rates, are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Panos Toulis

This study develops a new method to quantify neighborhood activity levels at high spatial and temporal resolutions and test whether, and to what extent, behavioral responses to social distancing policies vary with socioeconomic and…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-08-05 Boyeong Hong , Bartosz Bonczak , Arpit Gupta , Lorna Thorpe , Constantine E. Kontokosta

COVID-19 has been affecting every aspect of societal life including human mobility since December, 2019. In this paper, we study the impact of COVID-19 on human mobility patterns at the state level within the United States. From the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 Songhe Wang , Kangda Wei , Lei Lin , Weizi Li

The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has wreaked havoc worldwide with millions of lives claimed, human travel restricted and economic development halted. Leveraging city-level mobility and case data, our analysis shows…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-06-29 Yafei Zhang , Lin Wang , Jonathan J. H. Zhu , Xiaofan Wang

The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in more than 14.5 million infections and 6,04,917 deaths in 212 countries over the last few months. Different drug intervention acting at multiple stages of pathogenesis of COVID-19 can substantially…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-09-01 Bhanu Prakash D , D. K. K. Vamsi , D. Bangaru Rajesh , Carani B Sanjeevi

Redlining is the discriminatory practice whereby institutions avoided investment in certain neighborhoods due to their demographics. Here we explore the lasting impacts of redlining on the spread of COVID-19 in New York City (NYC). Using…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-10 Yunseo Choi , James Unwin

COVID-19 is a pandemic disease that began to rapidly spread in the US with the first case detected on January 19, 2020, in Washington State. March 9, 2020, and then increased rapidly with total cases of 25,739 as of April 20, 2020. The…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-30 Shashank Reddy Vadyala , Sai Nethra Betgeri , Eric A. Sherer , Amod Amritphale

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 COVID-19 has been leading the world into a prominent crisis. As of May 19, 2020, the virus had spread to 215 countries with more than 4,622,001 confirmed cases and 311,916 reported deaths worldwide,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-25 Sami Belkacem

When facing an extreme stressor, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, healthcare systems typically respond reactively by creating surge capacity at facilities that are at or approaching their baseline capacity. However, creating individual…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-09 Felix Parker , Hamilton Sawczuk , Fardin Ganjkhanloo , Farzin Ahmadi , Kimia Ghobadi

A contact-tracing strategy has been deemed necessary to contain the spread of COVID-19 following the relaxation of lockdown measures. Using an agent-based model, we explore one of the technology-based strategies proposed, a contact-tracing…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-12-18 Jonatan Almagor , Stefano Picascia