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Estimating the transition dynamics of controlled Markov chains is crucial in fields such as time series analysis, reinforcement learning, and system exploration. Traditional non-parametric density estimation methods often assume independent…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-21 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak Rao , Harsha Honnappa

Computing the equilibrium properties of complex systems, such as free energy differences, is often hampered by rare events in the dynamics. Enhanced sampling methods may be used in order to speed up sampling by, for example, using high…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-02-11 Antonia S. J. S. Mey , Hao Wu , Frank Noé

We employ uncertain parametric CTMCs with parametric transition rates and a prior on the parameter values. The prior encodes uncertainty about the actual transition rates, while the parameters allow dependencies between transition rates.…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Marielle Stoelinga , Matthias Volk

In this paper, we present a probabilistic analysis of a dynamical particle model for the self-adaptive immune response to cancer, as proposed by the first author in a previous work. The model is motivated by the interplay between immune…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-06 Christian Kuehn , Quirin Vogel

From the point of view of statistical mechanics, a full characterisation of a molecular system requires the experimental determination of its possible states, their populations and the respective interconversion rates. Well-established…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-06-02 Z. Faidon Brotzakis , Michele Vendruscolo , Peter. G. Bolhuis

Motivated by novel results in the theory of complex adaptive systems, we analyze the dynamics of random walks in which the jumping probabilities are {\it time-dependent}. We determine the survival probability in the presence of an absorbing…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2016-08-31 Shahar Hod

Computing reaction rates in biomolecular systems is a common goal of molecular dynamics simulations. The reactions considered often involve conformational changes in the molecule, either changes in the structure of a protein or the relative…

动力系统 · 数学 2013-07-03 Eric Darve , Ernest Ryu

Many recently introduced enhanced sampling techniques are based on biasing coarse descriptors (collective variables) of a molecular system on the fly. Sometimes the calculation of such collective variables is expensive and becomes a…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-09-01 Marco Jacopo Ferrarotti , Sandro Bottaro , Andrea Pérez-Villa , Giovanni Bussi

A massively parallel method to build large transition rate matrices from temperature accelerated molecular dynamics trajectories is presented. Bayesian Markov model analysis is used to estimate the expected residence time in the known state…

计算物理 · 物理学 2018-05-30 Thomas D Swinburne , Danny Perez

To model a complex system intrinsically separated by a barrier, we use two random Hamiltonians, coupled to each other either by a tunneling matrix element or by an intermediate transition state. We study that model in the universal limit of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-04-22 H. A. Weidenmüller

We explore the dependence of the thermally activated barrier crossing rate on various model parameters for a dimer that undergoes a Brownian motion on a piecewise linear bistable potential employing the method of adiabatic elimination of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-07-15 Mesfin Asfaw

We introduce a formalism for the calculation of the time of arrival t at a detector of particles traveling through interacting environments. We develop a general formulation that employs quantum canonical transformations from the free to…

量子物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. Leon , J. Julve , P. Pitanga , F. J. de Urries

Temperature-accelerated sliced sampling (TASS) is a well-established enhanced sampling method that facilitates exhaustive exploration of high-dimensional collective variable (CV) space through directed sampling employing a combination of…

化学物理 · 物理学 2025-09-08 Sameer Saurav , Debjit Das , Ramsha Javed , Nisanth N. Nair

We analyze the efficiency of different methods for the calculation of reaction rates in the case of two simple analytical benchmark systems. Two classes of methods are considered: the first are based on the free energy calculation along a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Titus S. van Erp

We propose an approach for estimating the probability that a given small target, among many, will be the first to be reached in a molecular dynamics simulation. Reaching small targets out of a vast number of possible configurations…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-08-19 Jackson Loper , Guangyao Zhou , Stuart Geman

In this paper we combine two powerful computational techniques, well-tempered metadynamics and time lagged independent component analysis. The aim is to develop a new tool for studying rare events and exploring complex free energy…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-12-08 James McCarty , Michele Parrinello

We study the dynamics of flexible, semiflexible, and self-avoiding polymer chains moving under a Kramers metastable potential. Due to thermal noise, the polymers, initially placed in the metastable well, can cross the potential barrier, but…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2013-12-05 Jaeoh Shin , Timo Ikonen , Mahendra D. Khandkar , Tapio Ala-Nissila , Wokyung Sung

Clinical trials involving novel immuno-oncology (IO) therapies frequently exhibit survival profiles which violate the proportional hazards assumption due to a delay in treatment effect, and in such settings, the survival curves in the two…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-02 Nicholas C. Henderson , Kijoeng Nam , Dai Feng

Activated processes from chemical reactions up to conformational transitions of large biomolecules are hampered by barriers which are overcome only by the input of some free energy of activation. Hence, the characteristic and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-12-21 Jürgen Schlitter

Many processes in chemistry, physics, and biology involve rare events in which the system escapes from a metastable state by surmounting an activation barrier. Examples range from chemical reactions, protein folding, and nucleation events…

化学物理 · 物理学 2020-10-07 Niels Zijlstra , Daniel Nettels , Rohit Satija , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Benjamin Schuler