相关论文: Law of Large Numbers for Risk Measures
We characterize when a convex risk measure associated to a law-invariant acceptance set in $L^\infty$ can be extended to $L^p$, $1\leq p<\infty$, preserving finiteness and continuity. This problem is strongly connected to the statistical…
Risk measures connect probability theory or statistics to optimization, particularly to convex optimization. They are nowadays standard in applications of finance and in insurance involving risk aversion. This paper investigates a wide…
A one-to-one correspondence is drawn between law invariant risk measures and divergences, which we define as functionals of pairs of probability measures on arbitrary standard Borel spaces satisfying a few natural properties. Divergences…
When estimating the risk of a P&L from historical data or Monte Carlo simulation, the robustness of the estimate is important. We argue here that Hampel's classical notion of qualitative robustness is not suitable for risk measurement and…
The aim of this paper is to establish the Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund (MZ) type law of large numbers for the randomly weighted sums with weights chosen randomly, uniformly over the unit sphere in $\mathbb{R}^n$. We also establish a theorem that…
The empirical Orlicz norm based on a random sample is defined as a natural estimator of the Orlicz norm of a univariate probability distribution. A law of large numbers is derived under minimal assumptions. The latter extends readily to a…
This paper presents a systematic study of the notion of surplus invariance, which plays a natural and important role in the theory of risk measures and capital requirements. So far, this notion has been investigated in the setting of some…
This paper is concerned with the general theme of relating the Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for the invariant measures of stochastic processes to the associated sample path LDP. It is shown that if the sample path deviation function…
We formulate conditions for convergence of Laws of Large Numbers and show its links with of the parts of mathematical analysis such as summation theory, convergence of orthogonal series. We present also applications of the Law of Large…
We introduce the concept of partial law invariance, generalizing the concepts of law invariance and probabilistic sophistication widely used in decision theory, as well as statistical and financial applications. This new concept is…
We show that the natural scaling of measurement for a particular problem defines the most likely probability distribution of observations taken from that measurement scale. Our approach extends the method of maximum entropy to use…
We provide a variety of results for (quasi)convex, law-invariant functionals defined on a general Orlicz space, which extend well-known results in the setting of bounded random variables. First, we show that Delbaen's representation of…
A risk analyst assesses potential financial losses based on multiple sources of information. Often, the assessment does not only depend on the specification of the loss random variable but also various economic scenarios. Motivated by this…
Due to their heterogeneity, insurance risks can be properly described as a mixture of different fixed models, where the weights assigned to each model may be estimated empirically from a sample of available data. If a risk measure is…
Given $n$ independent random marked $d$-vectors $X_i$ with a common density, define the measure $\nu_n = \sum_i \xi_i $, where $\xi_i$ is a measure (not necessarily a point measure) determined by the (suitably rescaled) set of points near…
Risk measures, or coherent measures of risk are often considered on the space L^\infty, and important theorems on risk measures build on that space. Other risk measures, among them the most important risk measure---the Average…
In this paper, we first study convergence rates in the law of large numbers for independent and identically distributed random variables. We obtain a strong $L^p$-convergence version and a strongly almost sure convergence version of the law…
In this article, we propose a novel characterization of law-invariant and coherent risk measures, based on a generalized optimal transport problem in which the second marginal of the admissible plans is not fixed, but required to lie within…
Consider a sequence of polynomials of bounded degree evaluated in independent Gaussian, Gamma or Beta random variables. We show that, if this sequence converges in law to a nonconstant distribution, then (i) the limit distribution is…
In this paper, we establish a new law of large numbers with the rate of convergence for special partial sums in a probability space. The proof relies on nonlinear expectation theory, as the uncertainty of random variables in the special…