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Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global public health crisis that has been declared a pandemic by World Health Organization. Forecasting country-wise COVID-19 cases is necessary to help policymakers and healthcare providers prepare…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-25 Arko Barman

Natural gradient methods have been used to optimise the parameters of probability distributions in a variety of settings, often resulting in fast-converging procedures. Unfortunately, for many distributions of interest, computing the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-28 Jonathan So , Richard E. Turner

This study presents a comprehensive assessment of the Italian risk model used during the COVID-19 pandemic to guide regional mobility restrictions through a colour-coded classification system. The research focuses on evaluating the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-07-04 Giuseppe Drago , Giulia Marcon , Alberto Lombardo , Giuseppe Aiello

In this research, we provide a mathematical analysis for the novel coronavirus responsible for COVID-19, which continues to be a big source of threat for humanity. Our fractional-order analysis is carried out using a non-singular kernel…

Existing prognostic tools mainly focus on predicting the risk of mortality among patients with coronavirus disease 2019. However, clinical evidence suggests that COVID-19 can result in non-mortal complications that affect patient prognosis.…

There is an abundance of prior research on the optimization of production systems, but there is a research gap when it comes to optimizing which components should be included in a design, and how they should be connected. To overcome this…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2024-02-05 N. Paape , J. A. W. M. van Eekelen , M. A. Reniers

We propose a novel learning-based surrogate data assimilation (DA) model for efficient state estimation in a limited area. Our model employs a feedforward neural network for online computation, eliminating the need for integrating…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-07-17 Wei Kang , Liang Xu , Hong Zhou

We present an early version of a Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Deceased (SEIRD) mathematical model based on partial differential equations coupled with a heterogeneous diffusion model. The model describes the spatio-temporal spread…

In this paper, we investigate right-truncated count data models incorporating cavariates into the parameters. A regression method is proposed to model right-truncated count data exibiting high heterogeneity. The study encompasses the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-11 Babagnidé François Koladjo , Ricardo Anderson Donte , Epiphane Sodjinou

Optimal control problems reflecting the finding of effective quarantine strategies are considered for two control SEIR~type models describing the spread of the COVID-19 virus in the human population. The properties of the corresponding…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-30 Ellina Grigorieva , Evgenii Khailov , Andrei Korobeinikov

The visual modeling method enables flexible interactions with rich graphical depictions of data and supports the exploration of the complexities of epidemiological analysis. However, most epidemiology visualizations do not support the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-25 Yu Dong , Christy Jie Liang , Yi Chen , Jie Hua

This research paper proposes a COVID-19 monitoring and response system to identify the surge in the volume of patients at hospitals and shortage of critical equipment like ventilators in South-east Asian countries, to understand the burden…

More than ever COVID-19 is putting pressure on health systems all around the world, especially in Brazil. In this study we propose an analytical approach based on statistics and machine learning that uses lab exam data coming from patients…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-09 Vitor Bezzan , Cleber D. Rocco

In NeuroEvolution, the topologies of artificial neural networks are optimized with evolutionary algorithms to solve tasks in data regression, data classification, or reinforcement learning. One downside of NeuroEvolution is the large amount…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-02-12 Jörg Stork , Martin Zaefferer , Thomas Bartz-Beielstein

This paper introduces a novel surrogate modeling framework for aerodynamic applications based on Neural Fields. The proposed approach, MARIO (Modulated Aerodynamic Resolution Invariant Operator), addresses non parametric geometric…

This study presents a new risk-averse multi-stage stochastic epidemics-ventilator-logistics compartmental model to address the resource allocation challenges of mitigating COVID-19. This epidemiological logistics model involves the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-03-12 Xuecheng Yin , I. Esra Buyuktahtakin , Bhumi P. Patel

This work provides an overview on deterministic and stochastic models that have previously been proposed by us to study the transmission dynamics of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Europe and USA. Briefly, we describe realistic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-07-11 Giorgio Sonnino , Philippe Peeters , Pasquale Nardone

Mobility restriction is considered one of the main policies to contain COVID-10 spreading. However, there are multiple ways to reduce mobility via differentiated restrictions, and it is not easy to predict the actual impact on virus…

In distributed stochastic optimization, where parallel and asynchronous methods are employed, we establish optimal time complexities under virtually any computation behavior of workers/devices/CPUs/GPUs, capturing potential disconnections…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-07 Alexander Tyurin

Predictive simulations are essential for applications ranging from weather forecasting to material design. The veracity of these simulations hinges on their capacity to capture the effective system dynamics. Massively parallel simulations…