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The Tweedie Compound Poisson-Gamma model is routinely used for modeling non-negative continuous data with a discrete probability mass at zero. Mixed models with random effects account for the covariance structure related to the grouping…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-05 Yaodong Yang , Rui Luo , Yuanyuan Liu

The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior is an objective prior for Gaussian linear models, which leads to consistent model selection inference, under the M-closed scenario, and tends to favor parsimonious models. Recently, two new forms of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-22 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Perrakis

In this study, we present a multi-class graphical Bayesian predictive classifier that incorporates the uncertainty in the model selection into the standard Bayesian formalism. For each class, the dependence structure underlying the observed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-06-08 Tatjana Pavlenko , Felix Leopoldo Rios

We use Bayesian inference and nested sampling to develop a non-parametric method to reconstruct the primordial power spectrum $P_{\mathcal{R}}(k)$ from Large Scale Structure (LSS) data. The performance of the method is studied by applying…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2024-07-16 G. Martínez-Somonte , A. Marcos-Caballero , E. Martínez-González , G. Cañas-Herrera

Gaussian graphical modeling has been widely used to explore various network structures, such as gene regulatory networks and social networks. We often use a penalized maximum likelihood approach with the $L_1$ penalty for learning a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-13 Kei Hirose , Hironori Fujisawa , Jun Sese

A Bayesian approach to the classification problem is proposed in which random partitions play a central role. It is argued that the partitioning approach has the capacity to take advantage of a variety of large-scale spatial structures, if…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Marc A. Coram

Because of the widespread existence of noise and data corruption, recovering the true regression parameters with a certain proportion of corrupted response variables is an essential task. Methods to overcome this problem often involve…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-10 Zheyi Fan , Zhaohui Li , Jingyan Wang , Dennis K. J. Lin , Xiao Xiong , Qingpei Hu

We develop a unifying framework for Bayesian nonparametric regression to study the rates of contraction with respect to the integrated $L_2$-distance without assuming the regression function space to be uniformly bounded. The framework is…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-04-30 Fangzheng Xie , Wei Jin , Yanxun Xu

We introduce the ``Sequential Empirical Bayes Method'', an adaptive constrained-curve fitting procedure for extracting reliable priors. These are then used in standard augmented-chi-square fits on separate data. This better stabilizes fits…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Terrence Draper , Shao-Jing Dong , Ivan Horvath , Frank Lee , Nilmani Mathur , Jianbo Zhang

Bayesian inverse problems use data to update a prior probability distribution on uncertain parameter values to a posterior distribution. Such problems arise in many structural engineering applications, but computational solution of Bayesian…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-26 Jakob Scheffels , Elizabeth Qian , Iason Papaioannou , Elisabeth Ullmann

We develop likelihood-based bias reduction for nonlinear panel models with additive individual and time effects. In two-way panels, integrated-likelihood corrections are attractive but challenging because the required integration is high…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-07 Zizhong Yan , Zhengyu Zhang , Mingli Chen , Jingrong Li , Iván Fernández-Val

The recovery of sparse generative models from few noisy measurements is an important and challenging problem. Many deterministic algorithms rely on some form of $\ell_1$-$\ell_2$ minimization to combine the computational convenience of the…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-03-20 Daniela Calvetti , Monica Pragliola , Erkki Somersalo

We demonstrate how to calculate posteriors for general CRM-based priors and likelihoods for Bayesian nonparametric models. We further show how to represent Bayesian nonparametric priors as a sequence of finite draws using a size-biasing…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-25 Tamara Broderick , Ashia C. Wilson , Michael I. Jordan

The cost of both generalized least squares (GLS) and Gibbs sampling in a crossed random effects model can easily grow faster than $N^{3/2}$ for $N$ observations. Ghosh et al. (2020) develop a backfitting algorithm that reduces the cost to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-30 Swarnadip Ghosh , Trevor Hastie , Art B. Owen

The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

Reduced-Rank (RR) regression is a powerful dimensionality reduction technique but it overlooks any possible group configuration among the responses by assuming a low-rank structure on the entire coefficient matrix. Moreover, the temporal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Maria F. Pintado , Matteo Iacopini , Luca Rossini , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

We propose a method to restore and to segment simultaneously images degraded by a known point spread function (PSF) and additive white noise. For this purpose, we propose a joint Bayesian estimation framework, where a family of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-13 Hacheme Ayasso , Ali Mohammad-Djafari

The sparse structure of the solution for an inverse problem can be modelled using different sparsity enforcing priors when the Bayesian approach is considered. Analytical expression for the unknowns of the model can be obtained by building…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-05-31 Mircea Dumitru

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

Amortised inference enables scalable learning of sequential latent-variable models (LVMs) with the evidence lower bound (ELBO). In this setting, variational posteriors are often only partially conditioned. While the true posteriors depend,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-18 Justin Bayer , Maximilian Soelch , Atanas Mirchev , Baris Kayalibay , Patrick van der Smagt
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