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This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

Cluster-level dynamic treatment regimens can be used to guide sequential, intervention or treatment decision-making at the cluster level in order to improve outcomes at the individual or patient-level. In a cluster-level DTR, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-15 Timothy NeCamp , Amy Kilbourne , Daniel Almirall

Experimental design is central to science and engineering. A ubiquitous challenge is how to maximize the value of information obtained from expensive or constrained experimental settings. Bayesian optimal experimental design (OED) provides…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-13 Sofia Mäkinen , Andrew B. Duncan , Tapio Helin

We study the problem of estimating the mode and maximum of an unknown regression function in the presence of noise. We adopt the Bayesian approach by using tensor-product B-splines and endowing the coefficients with Gaussian priors. In the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-16 William Weimin Yoo , Subhashis Ghosal

The estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects in the potential outcome setting is biased when there exists model misspecification or unobserved confounding. As these biases are unobservable, what model to use when remains a critical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-09 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Kosaku Takanashi , Kenichiro McAlinn , Edoardo M. Airoldi

In the need for low assumption inferential methods in infinite-dimensional settings, Bayesian adaptive estimation via a prior distribution that does not depend on the regularity of the function to be estimated nor on the sample size is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-23 Catia Scricciolo

Computer Adaptive Testing (CAT) aims to accurately estimate an individual's ability using only a subset of an Item Response Theory (IRT) instrument. Many applications also require diverse item exposure across testing sessions, preventing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Tina Su , Edison Choe , Joshua C. Chang

In the design of clinical trials, it is essential to assess the design operating characteristics (e.g., power and the type I error rate). Common practice for the evaluation of operating characteristics in Bayesian clinical trials relies on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-17 Luke Hagar , Shirin Golchi

Distance metric learning is an important component for many tasks, such as statistical classification and content-based image retrieval. Existing approaches for learning distance metrics from pairwise constraints typically suffer from two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-06-26 Liu Yang , Rong Jin , Rahul Sukthankar

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

This thesis is dedicated to the statistical analysis of multi-sub ject fMRI data, with the purpose of identifying bain structures involved in certain cognitive or sensori-motor tasks, in a reproducible way across sub jects. To overcome…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-05-19 Merlin Keller , Alexis Roche , Marc Lavielle

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

Optimization is becoming increasingly common in scientific and engineering domains. Oftentimes, these problems involve various levels of stochasticity or uncertainty in generating proposed solutions. Therefore, optimization in these…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-05 Peter D. Tonner , Daniel V. Samarov , A. Gilad Kusne

We marshall the arguments for preferring Bayesian hypothesis testing and confidence sets to frequentist ones. We define admissible solutions to inference problems, noting that Bayesian solutions are admissible. We give seven weaker…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-05-22 Roger Sewell

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

A small n, sequential, multiple assignment, randomized trial (snSMART) is a small sample, two-stage design where participants receive up to two treatments sequentially, but the second treatment depends on response to the first treatment.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-14 Yan-Cheng Chao , Thomas M. Braun , Roy N. Tamura , Kelley M. Kidwell

Identifying variables associated with clinical endpoints is of much interest in clinical trials. With the rapid growth of cell and gene therapy (CGT) and therapeutics for ultra-rare diseases, there is an urgent need for statistical methods…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-18 Lingxuan Kong , Yumin Zhang , Chenkun Wang , Yaoyuan Vincent Tan

Bayesian model averaging enables one to combine the disparate predictions of a number of models in a coherent fashion, leading to superior predictive performance. The improvement in performance arises from averaging models that make…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-08-01 Qingzhao Yu , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

The use of L1 regularisation for sparse learning has generated immense research interest, with successful application in such diverse areas as signal acquisition, image coding, genomics and collaborative filtering. While existing work…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-08-20 Shakir Mohamed , Katherine Heller , Zoubin Ghahramani

Adaptive enrichment trials aim to identify and recruit participants most likely to benefit from treatment based on evolving biomarker evidence, with the goal of informing individualized treatment recommendations. Bayesian methods are well…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-11 Lara Maleyeff , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie