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Data assimilation is a method of uncertainty quantification to estimate the hidden true state by updating the prediction owing to model dynamics with observation data. As a prediction model, we consider a class of nonlinear dynamical…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-05 Kota Takeda , Takashi Sakajo

In this article we consider the development of an unbiased estimator for the ensemble Kalman--Bucy filter (EnKBF). The EnKBF is a continuous-time filtering methodology which can be viewed as a continuous-time analogue of the famous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-09 Miguel Alvarez , Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra

The Ensemble Kalman filter and Ensemble square root filters are data assimilation methods used to combine high dimensional nonlinear models with observed data. These methods have proved to be indispensable tools in science and engineering…

概率论 · 数学 2015-07-31 Xin T Tong , Andrew J Majda , David Kelly

We propose a new algorithm for an adaptive optics system control law, based on the Linear Quadratic Gaussian approach and a Kalman Filter adaptation with localizations. It allows to handle non-stationary behaviors, to obtain performance…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-22 Morgan Gray , Cyril Petit , Sergey Rodionov , Marc Bocquet , Laurent Bertino , Marc Ferrari , Thierry Fusco

Input estimation is a signal processing technique associated with deconvolution of measured signals after filtering through a known dynamic system. Kitanidis and others extended this to the simultaneous estimation of the input signal and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-24 Mohammad Ali Abooshahab , Mohammed M. J. Alyaseen , Robert R. Bitmead , Morten Hovd

The sample covariance matrix of a random vector is a good estimate of the true covariance matrix if the sample size is much larger than the length of the vector. In high-dimensional problems, this condition is never met. As a result, in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-11-12 Michael Tsyrulnikov , Arseniy Sotskiy

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang

The iterative ensemble Kalman filter (IEnKF) in a deterministic framework was introduced in Sakov et al. (2012) to extend the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and improve its performance in mildly up to strongly nonlinear cases. However, the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2018-10-17 Pavel Sakov , Jean-Matthieu Haussaire , Marc Bocquet

The models of partially observed linear stochastic differential equations with unknown initial values of the non-observed component are considered in two situations. In the first problem, the initial value is deterministic, and in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-19 Yury A Kutoyants

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

In this paper, we study efficient approximate sampling for probability distributions known up to normalization constants. We specifically focus on a problem class arising in Bayesian inference for large-scale inverse problems in science and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Yifan Chen , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Jiaoyang Huang , Sebastian Reich , Andrew M. Stuart

In this paper, we investigate the convergence and consistency properties of an Invariant-Extended Kalman Filter (RI-EKF) based Simultaneous Localization and Mapping (SLAM) algorithm. Basic convergence properties of this algorithm are…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2017-02-23 Teng Zhang , Kanzhi Wu , Jingwei Song , Shoudong Huang , Gamini Dissanayake

It is known in \cite{beccari} that the standard explicit Euler-type scheme (such as the exponential Euler and the linear-implicit Euler schemes) with a uniform timestep, though computationally efficient, may diverge for the stochastic…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-11-14 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong

We propose and analyze novel adaptive algorithms for the numerical solution of elliptic partial differential equations with parametric uncertainty. Four different marking strategies are employed for refinement of stochastic Galerkin finite…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-10-08 Alex Bespalov , Dirk Praetorius , Leonardo Rocchi , Michele Ruggeri

A new type of ensemble Kalman filter is developed, which is based on replacing the sample covariance in the analysis step by its diagonal in a spectral basis. It is proved that this technique improves the aproximation of the covariance when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-08-19 Ivan Kasanický , Jan Mandel , Martin Vejmelka

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster

Latent variable models have become instrumental in computational neuroscience for reasoning about neural computation. This has fostered the development of powerful offline algorithms for extracting latent neural trajectories from neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-22 Matthew Dowling , Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

We consider numerical approximations of stochastic differential equations by the Euler method. In the case where the SDE is elliptic or hypoelliptic, we show a weak backward error analysis result in the sense that the generator associated…

数值分析 · 数学 2011-05-04 Arnaud Debussche , Erwan Faou

For continuous-time linear stochastic dynamical systems driven by Wiener processes, we consider the problem of designing ensemble filters when the observation process is randomly time-sampled. We propose a continuous-discrete McKean--Vlasov…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-06-21 Aneel Tanwani , Olga Yufereva
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