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Count data play a crucial role in sports analytics, providing valuable insights into various aspects of the game. Models that accurately capture the characteristics of count data are essential for making reliable inferences. In this paper,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-26 Mauro Florez , Michele Guindani , Marina Vannucci

Bayesian inference for models with intractable likelihood functions represents a challenging suite of problems in modern statistics. In this work we analyse the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution, a two parameter…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-07-13 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

A new three parameter natural extension of the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution is proposed. This distribution includes the recently proposed COM-Poisson type negative binomial (COM-NB) distribution [Chakraborty, S. and…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-02 Subrata Chakraborty , Tomoaki Imoto

Poisson regression is a popular tool for modeling count data and is applied in a vast array of applications from the social to the physical sciences and beyond. Real data, however, are often over- or under-dispersed and, thus, not conducive…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-11-10 Kimberly F. Sellers , Galit Shmueli

This paper presents a novel approach to stochastic mortality modelling by using the Conway--Maxwell--Poisson (CMP) distribution to model death counts. Unlike standard Poisson or negative binomial distributions, the CMP is a more adaptable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-06 Jackie Siaw Tze Wong , Emiliano A. Valdez

Bivariate count data arise in several different disciplines (epidemiology, marketing, sports statistics, etc., to name but a few) and the bivariate Poisson distribution which is a generalization of the Poisson distribution plays an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-12 Barry C. Arnold , Indranil Ghosh

Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distributions are flexible generalizations of the Poisson distribution for modelling overdispersed or underdispersed counts. The main hindrance to their wider use in practice seems to be the inability to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-15 Alan Huang

Count data with complex features arise in many disciplines, including ecology, agriculture, criminology, medicine, and public health. Zero inflation, spatial dependence, and non-equidispersion are common features in count data. There are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-14 Bokgyeong Kang , John Hughes , Murali Haran

We propose a tree-based semi-varying coefficient model for the Conway-Maxwell- Poisson (CMP or COM-Poisson) distribution which is a two-parameter generalization of the Poisson distribution and is flexible enough to capture both…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-27 Suneel Babu Chatla , Galit Shmueli

We propose a flexible model for count time series which has potential uses for both underdispersed and overdispersed data. The model is based on the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (COM-Poisson) distribution with parameters varying along time to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-01-23 Ricardo S Ehlers

In wake of the Covid-19 pandemic, 2019-2020 soccer seasons across the world were postponed and eventually made up during the summer months of 2020. Researchers from a variety of disciplines jumped at the opportunity to compare the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-06-01 Luke S. Benz , Michael J. Lopez

Bimodal truncated count distributions are frequently observed in aggregate survey data and in user ratings when respondents are mixed in their opinion. They also arise in censored count data, where the highest category might create an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-24 Pragya Sur , Galit Shmueli , Smarajit Bose , Paromita Dubey

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) or COM-Poison regression is a popular model for count data due to its ability to capture both under dispersion and over dispersion. However, CMP regression is limited when dealing with complex nonlinear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-27 Suneel Babu Chatla , Galit Shmueli

This paper proposes a generalized binomial distribution with four parameters, which is derived from the finite capacity queueing system with state-dependent service and arrival rates. This distribution is also generated from the conditional…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-18 Imoto Tomoaki , Ng Choung Min , Ong Seng Huat , Subrata Chakraborty

Bayesian models that can handle both over and under dispersed counts are rare in the literature, perhaps because full probability distributions for dispersed counts are rather difficult to construct. This note takes a first look at Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-08 Alan Huang , Andy Sang Il Kim

Doubly intractable problems occur when both the likelihood and the posterior are available only in unnormalised form, with computationally intractable normalisation constants. Bayesian inference then typically requires direct approximation…

The study of sums of possibly associated Bernoulli random variables has been hampered by an asymmetry between positive correlation and negative correlation. The Conway-Maxwell Binomial (COMB) distribution and its multivariate extension, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-08 Joseph B. Kadane

The Conway-Maxwell-Poisson (CMP) distribution is a natural two-parameter generalisation of the Poisson distribution which has received some attention in the statistics literature in recent years by offering flexible generalisations of some…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-17 Fraser Daly , Robert E. Gaunt

The prevalent model by Dixon and Coles (1997) extends the double Poisson model where two independent Poisson distributions model the number of goals scored by each team by moving probabilities between the scores 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, and 1-1. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-06 Rouven Michels , Marius Ötting , Dimitris Karlis

This paper proposes Bayesian mosaic, a parallelizable composite posterior, for scalable Bayesian inference on a broad class of multivariate discrete data models. Sampling is embarrassingly parallel since Bayesian mosaic is a multiplication…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-04-03 Ye Wang , David Dunson
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