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The asymptotic normality of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) is a long established result. Explicit bounds for the distributional distance between the distribution of the MLE and the normal distribution have recently been obtained for…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-09-20 Andreas Anastasiou

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-28 Jesse Wheeler , Edward L. Ionides

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and heuristic predictive estimation (HPE) are two widely used approaches in industrial uncertainty analysis. We review them from the point of view of decision theory, using Bayesian inference as a gold…

应用统计 · 统计学 2010-09-23 Merlin Keller , Eric Parent , Alberto Pasanisi

This paper considers probabilistic estimation of a low-rank matrix from non-linear element-wise measurements of its elements. We derive the corresponding approximate message passing (AMP) algorithm and its state evolution. Relying on…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-04-19 Thibault Lesieur , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

Fast Incremental Expectation Maximization (FIEM) is a version of the EM framework for large datasets. In this paper, we first recast FIEM and other incremental EM type algorithms in the {\em Stochastic Approximation within EM} framework.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-01 Gersende Fort , P. Gach , E. Moulines

Likelihood-free inference methods typically make use of a distance between simulated and real data. A common example is the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), which has previously been used for approximate Bayesian computation, minimum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-11 Ayush Bharti , Masha Naslidnyk , Oscar Key , Samuel Kaski , François-Xavier Briol

Statistical inference for high dimensional parameters (HDPs) can be based on their intrinsic correlation; that is, parameters that are close spatially or temporally tend to have more similar values. This is why nonlinear mixed-effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-30 Nan Zheng , Noel Cadigan

The inferential models (IM) framework provides prior-free, frequency-calibrated, posterior probabilistic inference. The key is the use of random sets to predict unobservable auxiliary variables connected to the observable data and unknown…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-26 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

We develop a general method to study the Fisher information distance in central limit theorem for nonlinear statistics. We first construct completely new representations for the score function. We then use these representations to derive…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-23 Nguyen Tien Dung

We investigate the problem of representing information measures in terms of the moments of the underlying random variables. First, we derive polynomial approximations of the conditional expectation operator. We then apply these…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-09-03 Wael Alghamdi , Flavio P. Calmon

The Bayesian decision-theoretic approach to design of experiments involves specifying a design (values of all controllable variables) to maximise the expected utility function (expectation with respect to the distribution of responses and…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-24 Antony M. Overstall

We consider the problem of estimating the direction of arrival of a signal embedded in $K$-distributed noise, when secondary data which contains noise only are assumed to be available. Based upon a recent formula of the Fisher information…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-10-28 Yuri Abramovich , Olivier Besson , Ben Johnson

The James-Stein estimator's dominance over maximum likelihood in terms of mean square error (MSE) has been one of the most celebrated results in modern statistics, suggesting that biased estimators can systematically outperform unbiased…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-12 Paul W. Vos

For a known weak signal in additive white noise, the asymptotic performance of a locally optimum processor (LOP) is shown to be given by the Fisher information (FI) of a standardized even probability density function (PDF) of noise in three…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-11-28 Fabing Duan , Francois Chapeau-Blondeau , Derek Abbott

We review the introduction of likelihood functions and Fisher information in classical estimation theory, and we show how they can be defined in a very similar manner within quantum measurement theory. We show that the stochastic master…

量子物理 · 物理学 2013-04-03 Søren Gammelmark , Klaus Mølmer

In this paper, we consider distributed maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) with dependent quantized data under the assumption that the structure of the joint probability density function (pdf) is known, but it contains unknown deterministic…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-09-17 Xiaojing Shen , Pramod K. Varshney , Yunmin Zhu

The inferential model (IM) framework provides valid prior-free probabilistic inference by focusing on predicting unobserved auxiliary variables. But, efficient IM-based inference can be challenging when the auxiliary variable is of higher…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-20 Ryan Martin , Chuanhai Liu

Maximum mutual information (MMI) is a model selection criterion used for hidden Markov model (HMM) parameter estimation that was developed more than twenty years ago as a discriminative alternative to the maximum likelihood criterion for…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2010-02-04 Steven Wegmann

We estimate a general mixture of Markov jump processes. The key novel feature of the proposed mixture is that the transition intensity matrices of the Markov processes comprising the mixture are entirely unconstrained. The Markov processes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-12 Halina Frydman , Budhi Surya

Standard confidence intervals employed in applied statistical analysis are usually based on asymptotic approximations. Such approximations can be considerably inaccurate in small and moderate sized samples. We derive accurate confidence…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-14 Eliane C. Pinheiro , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Francisco M. C. Medeiros