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The spatial structure of populations is a key element in the understanding of the large scale spreading of epidemics. Motivated by the recent empirical evidence on the heterogeneous properties of transportation and commuting patterns among…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2008-03-19 Vittoria Colizza , Alessandro Vespignani

It is essential to understand the dynamics of epidemics in the presence of coexisting pathogens. There are various phenomenon that can effect the dynamics. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model using different assumptions to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-02 S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , U. Wennergren

Metapopulation models are commonly used in ecology, evolution, and epidemiology. These models usually entail homogeneity assumptions within patches and study networks of migration between patches to generate insights into conservation of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-06-06 Diepreye Ayabina , Hasan Sevil , Adam Kleczkowski , M. Gabriela M. Gomes

We study metapopulation models for the spread of epidemics in which different subpopulations (cities) are connected by fluxes of individuals (travelers). This framework allows to describe the spread of a disease on a large scale and we…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2008-03-20 Aurelien Gautreau , Alain Barrat , Marc Barthelemy

We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

The temporal dynamics of social interactions were shown to influence the spread of disease. Here, we model the conditions of progression and competition for several viral strains, exploring various levels of cross-immunity over temporal…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-06-14 Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

We study the effect of migration between coupled populations, or patches, on the stability properties of multistrain disease dynamics. The epidemic model used in this work displays a Hopf bifurcation to oscillations in a single well mixed…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-07-29 Simone Bianco , Leah B. Shaw

We consider multiple diseases spreading in a static Configuration Model network. We make standard assumptions that infection transmits from neighbor to neighbor at a disease-specific rate and infected individuals recover at a…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-06-11 Joel C. Miller

Interactions among multiple infectious agents are increasingly recognized as a fundamental issue in the understanding of key questions in public health, regarding pathogen emergence, maintenance, and evolution. The full description of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2013-08-21 Chiara Poletto , Sandro Meloni , Vittoria Colizza , Yamir Moreno , Alessandro Vespignani

Human pathogens transmitted through environmental pathways are subject to stress and pressures outside of the host. These pressures may cause pathogen pathovars to diverge in their environmental persistence and their infectivity on an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-02-16 Andrew F. Brouwer , Marisa C. Eisenberg , Nancy G. Love , Joseph N. S. Eisenberg

In a metapopulation network, infectious diseases spread widely because of the travel of individuals. In the present study, we consider a modified metapopulation Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model with a latent period, which we call…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-08-02 Kazue Kudo , Kanako Mizuno

Network epidemiology often assumes that the relationships defining the social network of a population are static. The dynamics of relationships is only taken indirectly into account, by assuming that the relevant information to study…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-04-09 Sebastian Risau-Gusman

Disease outbreaks, such as those of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome in 2003 and the 2009 pandemic A(H1N1) influenza, have highlighted the potential for airborne transmission in indoor environments. Respirable pathogen-carrying droplets…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-01-10 M. Robinson , N. I. Stilianakis , Y. Drossinos

Human mobility is a key factor in spatial disease dynamics and related phenomena. In computational models host mobility is typically modelled by diffusion in space or on metapolulation networks. Alternatively, an effective force of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

Pathogen introduction in plant communities can cause serious impact and biodiversity losses that may take long time to manage and restore. Effective control of epidemic spreading in the wild is a problem of paramount importance, because of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-06-15 Ignacio Taguas , José A. Capitán , Juan C. Nuño

The spread of infectious diseases, rumors, fashions, innovations are complex contagion processes, embedded both in networked and spatial contexts. Here we investigate the pattern dynamics of a complex contagion, where two agents, say $A$…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-02-18 Li Chen

Epidemics are emergent phenomena depending on the epidemiological characteristics of pathogens and the interaction and movement of people. Public transit systems have provided much important information about the movement of people, but…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-09-24 Zhanwei Du , Chao Gao , Yuan Bai , Yongjian Yang , Petter Holme

Infection dynamics have been studied extensively on complex networks, yielding insight into the effects of heterogeneity in contact patterns on disease spread. Somewhat separately, metapopulations have provided a paradigm for modeling…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-08-09 Jason Hindes , Sarabjeet Singh , Christopher R. Myers , David J. Schneider

Disease awareness in infection dynamics can be modeled with adaptive contact networks whose rewiring rules reflect the attempt by susceptibles to avoid infectious contacts. Simulations of this type of models show an active phase with…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2012-12-06 Stefan Wieland , Tomas Aquino , Ana Nunes

The possible dynamics of an ecosystem with three interconnected patches among which one population can migrate are investigated, paying attention to the consequences that possible disruption in the communicating paths can cause.

动力系统 · 数学 2014-03-19 Carlotta Gazzola , Ezio Venturino