相关论文: Zero-modified Count Time Series with Markovian Int…

Motivated by the prospect of testing inflation from precision cosmic microwave background observations, we present analytic results for scalar and tensor perturbations in single-field inflation models based on the application of uniform…

Stationary time series models built from parametric distributions are, in general, limited in scope due to the assumptions imposed on the residual distribution and autoregression relationship. We present a modeling approach for univariate…

Count time series are widely encountered in practice. As with continuous valued data, many count series have seasonal properties. This paper uses a recent advance in stationary count time series to develop a general seasonal count time…

The Poisson distribution is often used as a standard model for count data. Quite often, however, such data sets are not well fit by a Poisson model because they have more zeros than are compatible with this model. For these situations, a…

In this paper, we introduce flexible observation-driven $\mathbb{Z}$-valued time series models constructed from mixtures of negative and non-negative components. Compared to models based on the standard Skellam distribution or on a…

Count data with high frequencies of zeros are found in many areas, specially in biology. Statistical models to analyze such data started to be developed in the 80s and are still a topic of active research. Such models usually assume a…

We consider the approximation of expectations with respect to the distribution of a latent Markov process given noisy measurements. This is known as the smoothing problem and is often approached with particle and Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Every probability distribution can be approximated up to a given precision by a phase-type distribution, i.e. a distribution encoded by a continuous time Markov chain (CTMC). However, an excessive number of states in the corresponding CTMC…

Method of moment estimators exhibit appealing statistical properties, such as asymptotic unbiasedness, for nonconvex problems. However, they typically require a large number of samples and are extremely sensitive to model misspecification.…

Standard count models such as the Poisson and Negative Binomial models often fail to capture the large proportion of zero claims commonly observed in insurance data. To address such issue of excessive zeros, zero-inflated and hurdle models…

We apply general moment identities for Poisson stochastic integrals with random integrands to the computation of the moments of Markovian growth-collapse processes. This extends existing formulas for mean and variance available in the…

Models such as the zero-inflated and zero-altered Poisson and zero-truncated binomial are well-established in modern regression analysis. We propose a super model that jointly and maximally unifies alteration, inflation, truncation and…

We provide novel probabilistic portrayals of two multivariate models designed to handle zero-inflation in count-compositional data. We develop a new unifying framework that represents both as finite mixture distributions. One of these…

We present a method by which cosmological perturbations can be quantitatively studied in single and multi-field inflationary models beyond linear perturbation theory. A non-linear generalization of the gauge-invariant Sasaki-Mukhanov…

We propose a method for inference on moderately high-dimensional, nonlinear, non-Gaussian, partially observed Markov process models for which the transition density is not analytically tractable. Markov processes with intractable transition…

In this article, we consider two different statistical models. First, we focus on the estimation of the jump intensity of a compound Poisson process in the presence of unknown noise. This problem combines both the deconvolution problem and…

The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…

Entropy estimation, due in part to its connection with mutual information, has seen considerable use in the study of time series data including causality detection and information flow. In many cases, the entropy is estimated using…

In microbiome studies, it is of interest to use a sample from a population of microbes, such as the gut microbiota community, to estimate the population proportion of these taxa. However, due to biases introduced in sampling and…

Univariate zero-inflated models are increasingly being used to account for excess zeros in spatio-temporal infectious disease counts. However, the multivariate case is challenging due to the need to account for correlations across space,…