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We provide sufficient conditions for semi-nonparametric point identification of a mixture model of decision making under risk, when agents make choices in multiple lines of insurance coverage (contexts) by purchasing a bundle. As a first…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-07-19 Levon Barseghyan , Francesca Molinari

We study the optimal decisions and equilibria of agents who aim to minimize their risks by allocating their positions over extremely heavy-tailed (i.e., infinite-mean) and possibly dependent losses. The loss distributions of our focus are…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-07-01 Yuyu Chen , Paul Embrechts , Ruodu Wang

In this paper we study the optimal investment and reinsurance problem of an insurance company whose investment preferences are described via a forward dynamic exponential utility in a regime-switching market model. Financial and actuarial…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2021-06-29 Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola , Benedetta Salterini

We study efficient risk sharing among risk-averse agents in an economy with a large, finite number of states. Following a random shock to an initial agreement, agents may renegotiate. If they require a minimal utility improvement to accept…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-23 Federico Echenique , Farzad Pourbabaee

We develop a general theory of risk measures that determines the optimal amount of capital to raise and invest in a portfolio of reference traded securities in order to meet a pre-specified regulatory requirement. The distinguishing feature…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-11-17 Maria Arduca , Cosimo Munari

We demonstrate a limitation of discounted expected utility, a standard approach for representing the preference to risk when future cost is discounted. Specifically, we provide an example of the preference of a decision maker that appears…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Takayuki Osogami

We study the design of an optimal insurance contract in which the insured maximizes her expected utility and the insurer limits the variance of his risk exposure while maintaining the principle of indemnity and charging the premium…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-08-18 Yichun Chi , Xun Yu Zhou , Sheng Chao Zhuang

We find the perhaps surprising inequality that the weighted average of independent and identically distributed Pareto random variables with infinite mean is larger than one such random variable in the sense of first-order stochastic…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-03-14 Yuyu Chen , Paul Embrechts , Ruodu Wang

The basic principle of any version of insurance is the paradigm that exchanging risk by sharing it in a pool is beneficial for the participants. In case of independent risks with a finite mean this is the case for risk averse decision…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-08 Alfred Müller

In the literature, insurance and reinsurance pricing is typically determined by a premium principle, characterized by a risk measure that reflects the policy seller's risk attitude. Building on the work of Meyers (1980) and Chen et al.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-07-08 Ziyue Shi , David Landriault , Fangda Liu

This paper investigates a novel behavioral feature of recursive preferences: aversion to risks that persist over time, or simply \textit{correlation aversion}. Greater persistence provides information about future consumption but reduces…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-24 Lorenzo Maria Stanca

Regulatory and contractual constraints on individual exposures are standard in insurance and reinsurance markets, but a poorly designed constraint can distort the economic incentives of risk-averse agents. In the unconstrained problem, the…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-28 Christopher Blier-Wong , Jean-Gabriel Lauzier

We study portfolio selection in a complete continuous-time market where the preference is dictated by the rank-dependent utility. As such a model is inherently time inconsistent due to the underlying probability weighting, we study the…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2020-06-04 Ying Hu , Hanqing Jin , Xun Yu Zhou

The classical Merton investment problem predicts deterministic, state-dependent portfolio rules; however, laboratory and field evidence suggests that individuals often prefer randomized decisions leading to stochastic and noisy choices.…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2026-02-17 Min Dai , Yuchao Dong , Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

We provide an axiomatic approach to general premium principles in a probability-free setting that allows for Knightian uncertainty. Every premium principle is the sum of a risk measure, as a generalization of the expected value, and a…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-12-21 Max Nendel , Frank Riedel , Maren Diane Schmeck

Many insurance premium principles are defined and various estimation procedures introduced in the literature. In this paper, we focus on the estimation of the excess-of-loss reinsurance premium when the risks are randomly right-censored.…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-03-30 Louiza Soltane , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

We consider the optimal risk sharing problem with a continuum of agents, modeled via a non-atomic measure space. Individual preferences are not assumed to be convex. We show the multiplicity of agents induces the value function to be…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-12 Vasily Melnikov

Prediction markets are long known for prediction accuracy. This study systematically explores the fundamental properties of prediction markets, addressing questions about their information aggregation process and the factors contributing to…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2023-11-10 Dian Yu , Jianjun Gao , Weiping Wu , Zizhuo Wang

A risk measure that is consistent with the second-order stochastic dominance and additive for sums of independent random variables can be represented as a weighted entropic risk measure (WERM). The expected utility maximization problem with…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-07 Jianming Xia

The fundamental principle in Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) is based on the quantification of the portfolio's risk related to performance. Although MPT has made huge impacts on the investment world and prompted the success and prevalence of…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2021-02-15 Shi Yu , Haoran Wang , Chaosheng Dong