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Over the last few years, there has been a growing interest in the prediction and modelling of competitive sports outcomes, with particular emphasis placed on this area by the Bayesian statistics and machine learning communities. In this…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-12-17 Roberto Macrì Demartino , Leonardo Egidi , Nicola Torelli

Over the past two decades, Machine Learning (ML) techniques have been increasingly utilized for the purpose of predicting outcomes in sport. In this paper, we provide a review of studies that have used ML for predicting results in team…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-19 Rory Bunker , Teo Susnjak

The goal of this thesis is to investigate the potential of predictive modelling for football injuries. This work was conducted in close collaboration with Tottenham Hotspurs FC (THFC), the PGA European tour and the participation of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-27 Stylianos Kampakis

Consider a collection of m competing machine learning algorithms. Given their performance on a benchmark of datasets, we would like to identify the best performing algorithm. Specifically, which algorithm is most likely to ``win'' (rank…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Amichai Painsky

Existing match classification models in the tournament design literature have two major limitations: a contestant is considered indifferent only if uncertain future results do never affect its prize, and competitive matches are not…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-29 László Csató , András Gyimesi

Cricket betting is a multi-billion dollar market. Therefore, there is a strong incentive for models that can predict the outcomes of games and beat the odds provided by bookers. The aim of this study was to investigate to what degree it is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-19 Stylianos Kampakis , William Thomas

We present a systematic approach to the prediction of soccer matches. First, we show that the information about chances for goals is by far more informative than about the actual results. Second, we present a multivariate regression…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-07-20 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

Football forecasting models traditionally rate teams on past match results, that is based on the number of goals scored. Goals, however, involve a high element of chance and thus past results often do not reflect the performances of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-01-07 Edward Wheatcroft , Ewelina Sienkiewicz

Tennis is a popular sport worldwide, boasting millions of fans and numerous national and international tournaments. Like many sports, tennis has benefitted from the popularity of rigorous record-keeping of game and player information, as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-09 Zijian Gao , Amanda Kowalczyk

Sports data has become widely available in the recent past. With the improvement of machine learning techniques, there have been attempts to use sports data to analyze not only the outcome of individual games but also to improve insights…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-07-21 Ashwin Vaswani , Rijul Ganguly , Het Shah , Sharan Ranjit S , Shrey Pandit , Samruddhi Bothara

In this paper we present a novel approach to optimise tactical and strategic decision making in football (soccer). We model the game of football as a multi-stage game which is made up from a Bayesian game to model the pre-match decisions…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-03-24 Ryan Beal , Georgios Chalkiadakis , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn

Transfers in professional football (soccer) are risky investments because of the large transfer fees and high risks involved. Although data-driven models can be used to improve transfer decisions, existing models focus on describing…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-29 Koen W. van Arem , Floris Goes-Smit , Jakob Söhl

Large-scale events like the UEFA Euro~2020 football (soccer) championship offer a unique opportunity to quantify the impact of gatherings on the spread of COVID-19, as the number and dates of matches played by participating countries…

One of the most popular club football tournaments, the UEFA Champions League, will see a fundamental reform from the 2024/25 season: the traditional group stage will be replaced by one league where each of the 36 teams plays eight matches.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-04-03 László Csató

This article is devoted to the forecast of the Africa Cup of Nations 2019 football tournament. It is based on a Poisson regression model that includes the Elo points of the participating teams as covariates and incorporates differences of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Lorenz A. Gilch

This paper presents the implementation of an advanced artificial intelligence-based algorithmic trading system specifically designed for the EUR-USD pair within the high-frequency environment of the Forex market. The methodological approach…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-21 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

The availability of massive data about sports activities offers nowadays the opportunity to quantify the relation between performance and success. In this study, we analyze more than 6,000 games and 10 million events in six European leagues…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-11-17 Luca Pappalardo , Paolo Cintia

We present SoccerGuard, a novel framework for predicting injuries in women's soccer using Machine Learning (ML). This framework can ingest data from multiple sources, including subjective wellness and training load reports from players,…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-11-15 Finn Bartels , Lu Xing , Cise Midoglu , Matthias Boeker , Toralf Kirsten , Pål Halvorsen

Cricket is unarguably one of the most popular sports in the world. Predicting the outcome of a cricket match has become a fundamental problem as we are advancing in the field of machine learning. Multiple researchers have tried to predict…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-08-24 Harsh Mittal , Deepak Rikhari , Jitendra Kumar , Ashutosh Kumar Singh

Injury occurrence in football poses significant challenges for athletes and teams, carrying personal, competitive, and financial consequences. While machine learning has been applied to injury prediction before, existing approaches often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-28 Victoria Catterall , Cise Midoglu , Stephen Lynch