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In the paper, we study a new rate of convergence estimate for homogeneous discrete-time nonlinear Markov chains based on the Markov-Dobrushin condition. This result generalizes the convergence estimates for any positive number of transition…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-22 Aleksandr A. Shchegolev

The class of nonlinear Markov processes is characterized by the dependence of the current state of the process on its current distribution in addition to the dependence on the previous state. Due to this feature, these processes are…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-27 Aleksandr Shchegolev

The paper presents efficient approaches for evaluating convergence rate in total variation for finite and general linear Markov chains. The motivation for studying convergence rate in this metric is its usefulness in various limit theorems.…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Alexander Veretennikov

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic homogeneous Markov chains are studied. In comparison to the earlier papers the setting is also generalised to the case without a unique dominated measure. Examples are provided where the new bound…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-02 Alexander Veretennikov , Maria Veretennikova

We present two data-driven procedures to estimate the transition density of an homogeneous Markov chain. The first yields to a piecewise constant estimator on a suitable random partition. By using an Hellinger-type loss, we establish…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sart

A new approach is developed for evaluating the convergence rate for nonlinear Markov chains (MC) based on the recently developed spectral radius technique of markovian coupling for linear MC and the idea of small nonlinear perturbations of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-27 Alexander Shchegolev , Alexander Veretennikov

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

In this short paper, we consider discrete-time Markov chains on lattices as approximations to continuous-time diffusion processes. The approximations can be interpreted as finite difference schemes for the generator of the process. We…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-08 Christoph Reisinger

A study of time homogeneous, real valued Markov processes with a special property and a non-atomic initial distribution is provided. The new notion of a function of evolution of distribution which determines the dependency between one…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-04 Tomasz Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wiśniewolski

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic Markov chains and relaxed conditions for them, as well as analogous convergence results for some non-homogeneous Markov chains are studied. The setting from the previous works is extended. Examples…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-27 A. Yu. Veretennikov , M. A. Veretennikova

We extend in two directions our previous results about the sampling and the empirical measures of immortal branching Markov processes. Direct applications to molecular biology are rigorous estimates of the mutation rates of polymerase chain…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Didier Piau

Time-homogeneous Markov chains are often used as disease progression models in studies of cost-effectiveness and optimal decision-making. Maximum likelihood estimation of these models can be challenging when data are collected at a time…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-26 Duncan Ermini Leaf

In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

In this paper we consider the convergence of the conditional entropy to the entropy rate for Markov chains. Convergence of certain statistics of long range dependent processes, such as the sample mean, is slow. It has been shown in Carpio…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-29 Andrew Feutrill , Matthew Roughan

The study of time-inhomogeneous Markov jump processes is a traditional topic within probability theory that has recently attracted substantial attention in various applications. However, their flexibility also incurs a substantial…

概率论 · 数学 2023-11-03 Martin Bladt , Oscar Peralta

In this study, we consider sequences drawn from time-homogeneous Markov chains and introduce a novel approach for estimating first hitting-time distributions to specified terminal states. Our method- ology is based on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-19 Mikael Escobar-Bach , Alexandre Popier , Malo Sahin

A discrete time branching process where the offspring distribution is generation-dependent, and the number of reproductive individuals is controlled by a random mechanism is considered. This model is a Markov chain but, in general, the…

Let $\{X_n\}_{n\in\N}$ be a Markov chain on a measurable space $\X$ with transition kernel $P$ and let $V:\X\r[1,+\infty)$. The Markov kernel $P$ is here considered as a linear bounded operator on the weighted-supremum space $\cB_V$…

概率论 · 数学 2013-12-06 Loïc Hervé , James Ledoux

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton
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