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Credit scores are critical for allocating consumer debt in the United States, yet little evidence is available on their performance. We benchmark a widely used credit score against a machine learning model of consumer default and find…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-09-04 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

This paper investigates gaps in access to and the cost of housing credit by race and ethnicity using the near universe of U.S. mortgage applications. Our data contain borrower creditworthiness variables that have historically been absent…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-03 Sean Lewis-Faupel , Nicholas Tenev

Public and private institutions must often allocate scare resources under uncertainty. Banks, for example, extend credit to loan applicants based in part on their estimated likelihood of repaying a loan. But when the quality of information…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-10-11 William Cai , Johann Gaebler , Nikhil Garg , Sharad Goel

Discrimination in selection problems such as hiring or college admission is often explained by implicit bias from the decision maker against disadvantaged demographic groups. In this paper, we consider a model where the decision maker…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-13 Vitalii Emelianov , Nicolas Gast , Krishna P. Gummadi , Patrick Loiseau

We study how partial information about scoring rules affects fairness in strategic learning settings. In strategic learning, a learner deploys a scoring rule, and agents respond strategically by modifying their features -- at some cost --…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Srikanth Avasarala , Serena Wang , Juba Ziani

Credit risk prediction is an effective way of evaluating whether a potential borrower will repay a loan, particularly in peer-to-peer lending where class imbalance problems are prevalent. However, few credit risk prediction models for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-05-03 Anahita Namvar , Mohammad Siami , Fethi Rabhi , Mohsen Naderpour

Credit risk scorecards are logistic regression models, fitted to large and complex data sets, employed by the financial industry to model the probability of default of a potential customer. In order to ensure that a scorecard remains a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-24 J. du Pisanie , J. S. Allison , I. J. H. Visagie

This paper shows that black and Hispanic borrowers are 39% more likely to experience a debt collection judgment than white borrowers, even after controlling for credit scores and other relevant credit attributes. The racial gap in judgments…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2023-06-29 Jessica LaVoice , Domonkos F. Vamossy

This work examines how to train fair classifiers in settings where training labels are corrupted with random noise, and where the error rates of corruption depend both on the label class and on the membership function for a protected…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-18 Jialu Wang , Yang Liu , Caleb Levy

The performance of standard learning procedures has been observed to differ widely across groups. Recent studies usually attribute this loss discrepancy to an information deficiency for one group (e.g., one group has less data). In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-09 Fereshte Khani , Percy Liang

The increasing usage of new data sources and machine learning (ML) technology in credit modeling raises concerns with regards to potentially unfair decision-making that rely on protected characteristics (e.g., race, sex, age) or other…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Savina Kim , Stefan Lessmann , Galina Andreeva , Michael Rovatsos

We study the pricing of credit derivatives with asymmetric information. The managers have complete information on the value process of the firm and on the default threshold, while the investors on the market have only partial observations,…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2010-02-18 Caroline Hillairet , Ying Jiao

Agencies, such as the U.S. Census Bureau, release data sets and statistics about groups of individuals that are used as input to a number of critical decision processes. To conform to privacy and confidentiality requirements, these agencies…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-11-26 Ferdinando Fioretto , Cuong Tran , Pascal Van Hentenryck

We develop a model to predict consumer default based on deep learning. We show that the model consistently outperforms standard credit scoring models, even though it uses the same data. Our model is interpretable and is able to provide a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-10-07 Stefania Albanesi , Domonkos F. Vamossy

Access to capital is a major constraint for economic growth in the developing world. Yet those attempting to lend in this space face high defaults due to their inability to distinguish creditworthy borrowers from the rest. In this paper, we…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2021-08-23 Mark York , Munther Dahleh , David Parkes

Credit is an essential component of financial wellbeing in America, and unequal access to it is a large factor in the economic disparities between demographic groups that exist today. Today, machine learning algorithms, sometimes trained on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-07 I. Elizabeth Kumar , Keegan E. Hines , John P. Dickerson

The increasing impact of algorithmic decisions on people's lives compels us to scrutinize their fairness and, in particular, the disparate impacts that ostensibly-color-blind algorithms can have on different groups. Examples include credit…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-17 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Angela Zhou

For more than a half-century, credit risk management has used credit scoring models in each of its well-defined stages to manage credit risk. Application scoring is used to decide whether to grant a credit or not, while behavioral scoring…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-04-14 Ricardo Muñoz-Cancino , Cristián Bravo , Sebastián A. Ríos , Manuel Graña

Credit scoring is a rapidly expanding analytical technique used by banks and other financial institutions. Academic studies on credit scoring provide a range of classification techniques used to differentiate between good and bad borrowers.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-27 Hamidreza Arian , Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi

The credit scoring risk management is a fast growing field due to consumer's credit requests. Credit requests, of new and existing customers, are often evaluated by classical discrimination rules based on customers information. However,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-12-27 Farid Beninel , Waad Bouaguel , Ghazi Belmufti
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