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The problem of hypothesis testing is examined from both the historical and Bayesian points of view in the case that sampling is from an underlying joint probability distribution and the hypotheses tested for are those of independence and…

comp-gas · 物理学 2008-02-03 David Wolf

Bayesian hypothesis testing is re-examined from the perspective of an a priori assessment of the test statistic distribution under the alternative. By assessing the distribution of an observable test statistic, rather than prior parameter…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-28 Hedibert F. Lopes , Nicholas G. Polson

In this paper we propose a Bayesian answer to testing problems when the hypotheses are not well separated. The idea of the method is to study the posterior distribution of a discrepancy measure between the parameter and the model we want to…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-28 Jean-Bernard Salomond

We perform a quantitative analysis of the gain/loss asymmetry for financial time series by using a Bayesian approach. In particular, we focus on some selected indices and analyze the statistical significance of the asymmetry amount through…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-04-14 Andrea Giuseppe Di Iura , Giulia Terenzi

Formulating a statistical inverse problem as one of inference in a Bayesian model has great appeal, notably for what this brings in terms of coherence, the interpretability of regularisation penalties, the integration of all uncertainties,…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-12-19 Natalia A. Bochkina , Peter J. Green

Symmetry plays a central role in the sciences, machine learning, and statistics. For situations in which data are known to obey a symmetry, a multitude of methods that exploit symmetry have been developed. Statistical tests for the presence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-24 Kenny Chiu , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimation and testing for a multivariate monotone density. Instead of following the conventional Bayesian route of putting a prior distribution complying with the monotonicity restriction,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-09 Kang Wang , Subhashis Ghosal

A new approach for Bayesian model averaging (BMA) and selection is proposed, based on the mixture model approach for hypothesis testing in Kaniav et al., 2014. Inheriting from the good properties of this approach, it extends BMA to cases…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-02 Merlin Keller , Kaniav Kamary

The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-21 Sari Lasanen

High-dimensional linear models have been widely studied, but the developments in high-dimensional generalized linear models, or GLMs, have been slower. In this paper, we propose an empirical or data-driven prior leading to an empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-09 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

The problem of binary hypothesis testing between two probability measures is considered. New sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable error probability of such tests based on independent and identically distributed observations.…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-05-30 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We consider the problem of goodness-of-fit testing for a model that has at least one unknown parameter that cannot be eliminated by transformation. Examples of such problems can be as simple as testing whether a sample consists of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Sean van der Merwe

In this paper, we propose novel, fully Bayesian non-parametric tests for one-sample and two-sample multivariate location problems. We model the underlying distribution using a Dirichlet process prior, and develop a testing procedure based…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-03 Indrabati Bhattacharya , Subhashis Ghosal

Bayesian hypothesis testing is investigated when the prior probabilities of the hypotheses, taken as a random vector, are quantized. Nearest neighbor and centroid conditions are derived using mean Bayes risk error as a distortion measure…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2008-09-20 Kush R. Varshney , Lav R. Varshney

Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

This paper extends the work of Clarke [1] on the Bayesian foundations of the biomagnetic inverse problem. It derives expressions for the expectation and variance of the a posteriori source current probability distribution given a prior…

医学物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 R. Hasson , S. J. Swithenby

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

We propose a general framework for obtaining probabilistic solutions to PDE-based inverse problems. Bayesian methods are attractive for uncertainty quantification but assume knowledge of the likelihood model or data generation process. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Youngsoo Baek , Wilkins Aquino , Sayan Mukherjee

In broad applications, it is routinely of interest to assess whether there is evidence in the data to refute the assumption of conditional independence of $Y$ and $X$ conditionally on $Z$. Such tests are well developed in parametric models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Tsuyoshi Kunihama , David B. Dunson

We propose a Bayesian test of normality for univariate or multivariate data against alternative nonparametric models characterized by Dirichlet process mixture distributions. The alternative models are based on the principles of embedding…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-12 Surya T. Tokdar , Ryan Martin
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