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Instead of testing solely a precise hypothesis, it is often useful to enlarge it with alternatives that are deemed to differ from it negligibly. For instance, in a bioequivalence study one might consider the hypothesis that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Rodrigo F. L. Lassance , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael B. Stern

Comparing the mean vectors across different groups is a cornerstone in the realm of multivariate statistics, with quadratic forms commonly serving as test statistics. However, when the overall hypothesis is rejected, identifying specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-04 Paavo Sattler , Markus Pauly , Merle Munko

Easy-to-interpret effect estimands are highly desirable in survival analysis. In the competing risks framework, one good candidate is the restricted mean time lost (RMTL). It is defined as the area under the cumulative incidence function up…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-13 Merle Munko , Dennis Dobler , Marc Ditzhaus

To investigate intervention effects on rare events, meta-analysis techniques are commonly applied in order to assess the accumulated evidence. When it comes to adverse effects in clinical trials, these are often most adequately handled…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Christian Röver , Qiong Wu , Anja Loos , Tim Friede

The dynamic nature of many real-world systems can lead to temporal outcome model shifts, causing a deterioration in model accuracy and reliability over time. This requires change-point detection on the outcome models to guide model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-13 Zhuofan Dong , Yiwen Huang , Yan Dong , Mengying Yan , Ziye Tian , Chuan Hong , Doudou Zhou , Molei Liu

Unmeasured confounding is a key threat to reliable causal inference based on observational studies. Motivated from two powerful natural experiment devices, the instrumental variables and difference-in-differences, we propose a new method…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-09 Ting Ye , Ashkan Ertefaie , James Flory , Sean Hennessy , Dylan S. Small

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Oliver L. Pescott , Robin J. Boyd , Gary D. Powney , Gavin B. Stewart

Uncertainty relations are pivotal in delineating the limits of simultaneous measurements for observables. In this paper, we derive four novel uncertainty and reverse uncertainty relations for the sum of variances of two incompatible…

量子物理 · 物理学 2025-08-05 M. Y. Abd-Rabbou , Cong-Feng Qiao

In natural phenomena, data distributions often deviate from normality. One can think of cataclysms as a self-explanatory example: events that occur almost never, and at the same time are many standard deviations away from the common…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-16 Nuno Costa , Nuno Moniz

In this note, an alternative for presenting the distribution of `significant' events in searches for new phenomena is described. The alternative is based on probability density functions used in the evaluation of the `significance' of an…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2019-02-25 Nicholas Wardle

Distinguishing between uniform and non-uniform sample distributions is a common problem in directional data analysis; however for many tests, non-uniform distributions exist that fail uniformity rejection. By merging directional statistics…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-08-11 Martin Ehler , Jennifer Galanis

An experimental test of the "special state" theory of quantum measurement is proposed. It should be feasible with present-day laboratory equipment and involves a slightly elaborated Stern-Gerlach setup. The "special state" theory is…

量子物理 · 物理学 2013-10-11 L. S. Schulman

A new and rapidly growing econometric literature is making advances in the problem of using machine learning methods for causal inference questions. Yet, the empirical economics literature has not started to fully exploit the strengths of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-01-05 Anna Baiardi , Andrea A. Naghi

A popular approach to significance testing proposes to decide whether the given hypothesized statistical model is likely to be true (or false). Statistical decision theory provides a basis for this approach by requiring every significance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-08 William Perkins , Mark Tygert , Rachel Ward

Model uncertainty is a crucial issue in statistics, econometrics and machine learning, yet its definition remains ambiguous and is subject to various interpretations in the literature. So far, there has not been a universally accepted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-12 Guangyuan Cui , Yuting Wei , Xinyu Zhang

The rank-based association between two variables can be modeled by introducing a latent normal level to ordinal data. We demonstrate how this approach yields Bayesian inference for Kendall's rank correlation coefficient, improving on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-25 Johnny van Doorn , Alexander Ly , Maarten Marsman , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

In this paper, we propose a new test for checking the parametric form of the conditional variance based on distance covariance in nonlinear and nonparametric regression models. Inherit from the nice properties of distance covariance, our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-19 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Falong Tan

Two semimetrics on probability distributions are proposed, given as the sum of differences of expectations of analytic functions evaluated at spatial or frequency locations (i.e, features). The features are chosen so as to maximize the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-31 Wittawat Jitkrittum , Zoltan Szabo , Kacper Chwialkowski , Arthur Gretton

The Mann-Whitney effect is an effect measure for the order of two sample-specific outcome variables. It has the interpretation of a probability and also a connection to the area under the ROC curve. In the literature it has been considered…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-02 Dennis Dobler , Alina Schenk , Matthias Schmid