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We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts help with managing the marine ecosystem and the aquaculture impacted by anthropogenic climate change. Numerical dynamical models are resource intensive for SST forecasts; machine learning (ML) models…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-05-17 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Karin R. Bryan

We study the dynamical regimes of a density-stratified fluid confined between isothermal no-slip top and bottom boundaries (at temperatures $T_t$ and $T_b$) via direct numerical simulation. The thermal expansion coefficient of the fluid is…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2017-09-20 L. -A. Couston , D. Lecoanet , B. Favier , M. Le Bars

Numerical model forecasts of near-surface temperatures are prone to error. This is because terrain can exert a strong influence on temperature that is not captured in numerical weather models due to spatial resolution limitations. To…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-06-19 Kevin Höhlein , Timothy Hewson , Rüdiger Westermann

With ab initio codes that employ three-dimensional periodic boundary conditions, the slab-and-vacuum model has proven invaluable for the derivation of energetic, atomistic, and electronic properties of materials. Within this approach, polar…

材料科学 · 物理学 2015-12-23 Yoyo Hinuma , Yu Kumagai , Fumiyasu Oba , Isao Tanaka

The increase in Arctic marine activity due to rapid warming and significant sea ice loss necessitates highly reliable, short-term sea ice forecasts to ensure maritime safety and operational efficiency. In this work, we present a novel…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-11-24 Stefan Maria Ailuro , Anna Nedorubova , Timofey Grigoryev , Evgeny Burnaev , Vladimir Vanovskiy

Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Toni Karvonen , François Bachoc

The Shallow Water Moment Equations (SWME) are an extension of the Shallow Water Equations (SWE) for improved modelling of free-surface flows. In contrast to the SWE, the SWME incorporate vertical velocity profile information. The SWME…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-03-03 Mieke Daemen , Julio Careaga , Zhenning Cai , Julian Koellermeier

We investigate the asymptotics of boundary layers in periodic homogenization. The analysis is focused on a Stokes system with periodic coefficients and periodic Dirichlet data posed in the half-space $\{y\in \mathbb{R}^d: y\cdot n -s>0\}$.…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2024-11-25 Moustapha Agne

Machine learning (ML) can represent processes unresolved in coarse-resolution Earth system models (ESMs) by learning from high-resolution climate data. Such ML parameterization approaches have been primarily tested in idealized setups where…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Erisa Ismaili , Robert C. Jnglin Wills , Tom Beucler

Almost frictionless skating on ice relies on a thin layer of melted water insulating mechanically the blade of the skate from ice. Using the basic equations of fluid mechanics and Stefan law, we derive a set of two coupled equations for the…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-07-19 Martine Le Berre , Yves Pomeau

In this paper we study the asymptotic properties of point configurations that achieve optimal covering of sets lacking smoothness. Our results include the proofs of the existence of asymptotics of best covering and maximal polarization for…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2022-01-20 A. Anderson , A. Reznikov , O. Vlasiuk , E. White

One of the most challenging and consequential problems in climate modeling is to provide probabilistic projections of sea level rise. A large part of the uncertainty of sea level projections is due to uncertainty in ice sheet dynamics. At…

计算物理 · 物理学 2023-01-30 QiZhi He , Mauro Perego , Amanda A. Howard , George Em Karniadakis , Panos Stinis

The salinity of water and the slope of ice significantly influence the melt rate and surface morphology of ice, both highly relevant in the context of glacier and iceberg melting in oceanic environments. In this study, we conducted…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2026-03-24 Tomás J. Ferreyra Hauchar , Detlef Lohse , Sander G. Huisman

Artificial spin ice arrays of micromagnetic islands are a means of engineering additional energy scales and frustration into magnetic materials. Despite much progress in elucidating the properties of such arrays, the `spins' in the systems…

Microwave background temperature and polarization observations are a powerful way to constrain cosmological parameters if the likelihood function can be calculated accurately. The temperature and polarization fields are correlated, partial…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2012-04-25 Samira Hamimeche , Antony Lewis

Glacier modeling is crucial for quantifying the evolution of cryospheric processes. At the same time, uncertainties hamper process understanding and predictive accuracy. Here, we suggest improving glacier mass balance simulations for the…

A multiscale numerical model based on nonequilibrium thermal effect for melting of metal powder bed subjected to constant heat flux is developed. The volume shrinkage due to density change is taken into account. The nonequilibrium model is…

材料科学 · 物理学 2016-03-09 Jin Wang , Mo Yang , Yuwen Zhang

We report on the shape dynamics of ice suspended in cold fresh water and subject to the natural convective flows generated during melting. Experiments reveal shape motifs for increasing far-field temperature: Sharp pinnacles directed…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2022-02-09 Scott Weady , Joshua Tong , Alexandra Zidovska , Leif Ristroph

An increasing number of applications is concerned with recovering a sparse matrix from noisy observations. In this paper, we consider the setting where each row of the unknown matrix is sparse. We establish minimax optimal rates of…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-02 O. Klopp , A. B. Tsybakov