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In this paper, we study the extinction time of logistic branching processes which are perturbed by an independent random environment driven by a Brownian motion. Our arguments use a Lamperti-type representation which is interesting on its…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-05 Hélène Leman , Juan Carlos Pardo

The presence of a unique absorbing state in the finite state space of an epidemic process always poses a challenge in the definition of its epidemiological threshold. Without the elimination of the absorbing state of the SIS process we show…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-10-14 Norbert Barankai , József Stéger

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

We study the asymptotic distribution, as the volume parameter goes to 1, of the peak (largest part) of finite- or slowly-growing-width cylindric plane partitions weighted by their trace, seam, and volume. There are two natural asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2021-12-01 Dan Betea , Alessandra Occelli

A variational formula for the asymptotic variance of general Markov processes is obtained. As application, we get a upper bound of the mean exit time of reversible Markov processes, and some comparison theorems between the reversible and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-02 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao , Tao Wang

We are interested in the asymptotic behavior of Markov chains on the set of positive integers for which, loosely speaking, large jumps are rare and occur at a rate that behaves like a negative power of the current state, and such that small…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-19 Jean Bertoin , Igor Kortchemski

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

In a first part, we prove a Lyapunov-type criterion for the $\xi\_1$-positive recurrence of absorbed birth and death processes and provide new results on the domain of attraction of the minimal quasi-stationary distribution. In a second…

概率论 · 数学 2015-01-29 Denis Villemonais

A discrete-time two-dimensional quasi-birth-and-death process (2d-QBD process), $\{{\boldsymbol{Y}}_n\}=\{(X_{1,n},X_{2,n},J_n)\}$, is a two-dimensional skip-free random walk $\{(X_{1,n},X_{2,n})\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2$ with a supplemental…

概率论 · 数学 2018-07-23 Toshihisa Ozawa , Masahiro Kobayashi

After reviewing the behavioral studies of working memory and of the cellular substrate of the latter, we argue that metastable states constitute candidates for the type of transient information storage required by working memory. We then…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2024-03-18 Christophe Pouzat , Morgan André

We consider a discrete-time two-dimensional process $\{(L_{1,n},L_{2,n})\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2$ with a supplemental process $\{J_n\}$ on a finite set, where individual processes $\{L_{1,n}\}$ and $\{L_{2,n}\}$ are both skip free. We assume…

概率论 · 数学 2017-07-19 Toshihisa Ozawa , Masahiro Kobayashi

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

Let $\{X(t):t\in[0,\infty)\}$ be a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(t)$. We study the exact asymptotics of ${\mathbb{P}}(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X(t)>u)$ as $u\to\infty$, where $T$ is an…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-16 Marek Arendarczyk , Krzysztof Dȩbicki

We consider critical branching Brownian motion with absorption, in which there is initially a single particle at $x > 0$, particles move according to independent one-dimensional Brownian motions with the critical drift of $-\sqrt{2}$, and…

概率论 · 数学 2013-10-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Jason Schweinsberg

In the framework of chaotic scattering we analyze passive tracer transport in finite systems. In particular, we study models with open streamlines and a finite number of recirculation zones. In the non trivial case with a small number of…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2009-10-31 P. Castiglione , M. Cencini , A. Vulpiani , E. Zambianchi

The main contribution of this paper is to present a new sufficient condition for the subexponential asymptotics of the stationary distribution of a GI/GI/1-type Markov chain without jumps from level "infinity" to level zero. For simplicity,…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama

We study a class of Markov processes with finite state space and continuous time that have product form stationary distributions. We obtain a number of examples that can generate conjectures for diffusions with inert drift.

概率论 · 数学 2008-10-19 Krzysztof Burdzy , David White

A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto