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Statistical modeling of claim severity distributions is essential in insurance and risk management, where achieving a balance between robustness and efficiency in parameter estimation is critical against model contaminations. Two \( L…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-16 Chudamani Poudyal , Gokarna R. Aryal , Keshav Pokhrel

With some regularity conditions maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) always produce asymptotically optimal (in the sense of consistency, efficiency, sufficiency, and unbiasedness) estimators. But in general, the MLEs lead to non-robust…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

When constructing parametric models to predict the cost of future claims, several important details have to be taken into account: (i) models should be designed to accommodate deductibles, policy limits, and coinsurance factors, (ii)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal , Qian Zhao , Vytaras Brazauskas

We consider the problem of estimating the distribution function, the density and the hazard rate of the (unobservable) event time in the current status model. A well studied and natural nonparametric estimator for the distribution function…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-01-13 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit I. Witte

In this article, we present the maximum weighted likelihood estimator (MWLE) for robust estimations of heavy-tail finite mixture models (FMM). This is motivated by the complex distributional phenomena of insurance claim severity data, where…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-04 Tsz Chai Fung

There are several ways to establish the asymptotic normality of $L$-statistics, which depend on the choice of the weights-generating function and the cumulative distribution selection of the underlying model. In this study, we focus on…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-23 Chudamani Poudyal

Numerous robust estimators exist as alternatives to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) when a completely observed ground-up loss severity sample dataset is available. However, the options for robust alternatives to MLE become…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

Operational risk models commonly employ maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) to fit loss data to heavy-tailed distributions. Yet several desirable properties of MLE (e.g. asymptotic normality) are generally valid only for large sample-sizes,…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-08-26 Paul Larsen

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

This paper presents a score-based weighted likelihood estimator (SWLE) for robust estimations of generalized linear model (GLM) for insurance loss data. The SWLE exhibits a limited sensitivity to the outliers, theoretically justifying its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-25 Tsz Chai Fung

In the missing data literature, the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) is celebrated for its ignorability property under missing at random (MAR) data. However, its sensitivity to misspecification of the (complete) data model, even under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-23 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Jeffrey Näf

In this paper, we consider distributed maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) with dependent quantized data under the assumption that the structure of the joint probability density function (pdf) is known, but it contains unknown deterministic…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2013-09-17 Xiaojing Shen , Pramod K. Varshney , Yunmin Zhu

The parameter estimation of unnormalized models is a challenging problem. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is computationally infeasible for these models since normalizing constants are not explicitly calculated. Although some…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-09 Masatoshi Uehara , Takafumi Kanamori , Takashi Takenouchi , Takeru Matsuda

Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLE) has many good properties. For example, the asymptotic variance of MLE solution attains equality of the asymptotic Cram{\'e}r-Rao lower bound (efficiency bound), which is the minimum possible variance for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Song Liu , Takafumi Kanamori , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yu Chen

The method of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a widely used statistical approach for estimating the values of one or more unknown parameters of a probabilistic model based on observed data. In this tutorial, I briefly review the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-12-03 Anthony Vella

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

As a technique to investigate link-level loss rates of a computer network with low operational cost, loss tomography has received considerable attentions in recent years. A number of parameter estimation methods have been proposed for loss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-10-27 Ke Deng , Yang Li , Weiping Zhu , Jun S. Liu

This paper proposes a robust and computationally efficient estimation framework for fitting parametric distributions based on trimmed L-moments. Trimmed L-moments extend classical L-moment theory by downweighting or excluding extreme order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-16 Chudamani Poudyal , Qian Zhao , Hari Sitaula

Mixture distributions with dynamic weights are an efficient way of modeling loss data characterized by heavy tails. However, maximum likelihood estimation of this family of models is difficult, mostly because of the need to evaluate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-11 Marco Bee

Targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) is a general method for estimating parameters in semiparametric and nonparametric models. Each iteration of TMLE involves fitting a parametric submodel that targets the parameter of interest. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-06-03 Iván Díaz , Michael Rosenblum
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