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In this paper, we address the problem of testing goodness-of-fit for discrete distributions, where we focus on the geometric distribution. We define new likelihood-based goodness-of-fit tests using the beta-geometric distribution and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-09 Rasmus Erlemann , Bo Henry Lindqvist

Graph kernels are widely used for measuring the similarity between graphs. Many existing graph kernels, which focus on local patterns within graphs rather than their global properties, suffer from significant structure information loss when…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Lingfei Wu , Ian En-Hsu Yen , Zhen Zhang , Kun Xu , Liang Zhao , Xi Peng , Yinglong Xia , Charu Aggarwal

Non-parametric goodness-of-fit testing procedures based on kernel Stein discrepancies (KSD) are promising approaches to validate general unnormalised distributions in various scenarios. Existing works focused on studying kernel choices to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Wenkai Xu

We study the problem of testing, using only a single sample, between mean field distributions (like Curie-Weiss, Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi) and structured Gibbs distributions (like Ising model on sparse graphs and Exponential Random Graphs). Our…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-24 Guy Bresler , Dheeraj Nagaraj

Restricted Boltzmann Machines and Deep Belief Networks have been successfully used in probabilistic generative model applications such as image occlusion removal, pattern completion and motion synthesis. Generative inference in such…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2016-02-22 Ojash Neopane , Srinjoy Das , Ery Arias-Castro , Kenneth Kreutz-Delgado

We propose a nonparametric estimator of the empirical distribution function (EDF) of the latent spot variance of the log-price of a financial asset. We show that over a fixed time span our realized EDF (or REDF) -- inferred from noisy…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-29 Kim Christensen , Martin Thyrsgaard , Bezirgen Veliyev

Ensembles of networks arise in various fields where multiple independent networks are observed on the same set of nodes, for example, a collection of brain networks constructed on the same brain regions for different individuals. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-21 Sa Ren , Xue Wang , Peng Liu , Jian Zhang

The network data has attracted considerable attention in modern statistics. In research on complex network data, one key issue is finding its underlying connection structure given a network sample. The methods that have been proposed in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-09 Kang Fu , Jianwei Hu , Seydou Keita

We extend the well-known and widely used Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) by including nodal random effects to compensate for heterogeneity in the nodes of a network. The Bayesian framework for ERGMs proposed by Caimo and Friel (2011)…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-01-13 Stephanie Thiemichen , Nial Friel , Alberto Caimo , Göran Kauermann

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

The exponential random graph model (ERGM) is a central object in the study of clustering properties in social networks as well as canonical ensembles in statistical physics. Despite some breakthrough works in the mathematical understanding…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-06 Shirshendu Ganguly , Kyeongsik Nam

Social networks as a representation of relational data, often possess multiple types of dependency structures at the same time. There could be clustering (beyond homophily) at a macro level as well as transitivity (a friend's friend is more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-04 Ming Cao

Rare event simulation and rare event probability estimation are important tasks within the analysis of systems subject to uncertainty and randomness. Simultaneously, accurately estimating rare event probabilities is an inherently difficult…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-18 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Weighted histogram in Monte-Carlo simulations is often used for the estimation of a probability density function. It is obtained as a result of random experiment with random events that have weights. In this paper the bin contents of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-11-28 N. D. Gagunashvili

Networks describe the, often complex, relationships between individual actors. In this work, we address the question of how to determine whether a parametric model, such as a stochastic block model or latent space model, fits a dataset well…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-10 Shane Lubold , Bolun Liu , Tyler H. McCormick

The stochastic block model is a popular tool for studying community structures in network data. We develop a goodness-of-fit test for the stochastic block model. The test statistic is based on the largest singular value of a residual matrix…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-22 Jing Lei

We explore the minimax optimality of goodness-of-fit tests on general domains using the kernelized Stein discrepancy (KSD). The KSD framework offers a flexible approach for goodness-of-fit testing, avoiding strong distributional…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-01-24 Omar Hagrass , Bharath Sriperumbudur , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian

Quantifying the complexity of large graphs requires measures that extend beyond predefined structural features and scale efficiently with graph size. This work adopts a generative perspective, modeling large networks as exchangeable graphs…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Anda Skeja , Sofia C. Olhede

Goodness-of-fit testing is often criticized for its lack of practical relevance: since ``all models are wrong'', the null hypothesis that the data conform to our model is ultimately always rejected as the sample size grows. Despite this,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-24 Xing Liu , François-Xavier Briol

Motivated by the omnipresence of extreme value distributions in limit theorems involving extremes of random processes, we adapt Stein's method to include these laws as possible target distributions. We do so by using the generator approach…

概率论 · 数学 2025-07-02 Bruno Costacèque , Laurent Decreusefond