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The global pandemic of COVID-19 over the last 2.5 years have produced an enormous amount of epidemic/public health datasets, which may also be useful for studying the underlying structure of our globally connected world. Here we used the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Hiroki Sayama

COVID-19 has caused lasting damage to almost every domain in public health, society, and economy. To monitor the pandemic trend, existing studies rely on the aggregation of traditional statistical models and epidemic spread theory. In other…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Yichao Zhou , Jyun-yu Jiang , Xiusi Chen , Wei Wang

Recent seroprevalence studies have tried to estimate the real number of asymptomatic cases affected by COVID-19. It is of paramount importance to understand the impact of these infections in order to prevent a second wave. This study aims…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-11-13 Leonardo Stella , Alejandro Pinel Martínez , Dario Bauso , Patrizio Colaneri

To describe the dynamics of social distancing during pandemics, we follow previous efforts to combine basic epidemiology models (e.g. SIR - Susceptible, Infected, and Recovered) with game and economy theory tools. We present an extension of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-02-03 R. Arazi , A. Feigel

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

We have developed a globally applicable diagnostic Covid-19 model by augmenting the classical SIR epidemiological model with a neural network module. Our model does not rely upon previous epidemics like SARS/MERS and all parameters are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-24 Raj Dandekar , Chris Rackauckas , George Barbastathis

During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments have tried to keep their territories safe by isolating themselves from others, limiting non-essential travel and imposing mandatory quarantines for travelers. While large-scale quarantine has been…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-08 Olha Buchel , Anton Ninkov , Danise Cathel , Yaneer Bar-Yam , Leila Hedayatifar

The dynamics of contact networks and epidemics of infectious diseases often occur on comparable time scales. Ignoring one of these time scales may provide an incomplete understanding of the population dynamics of the infection process. We…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-09 Luis E C Rocha , Naoki Masuda

Social distancing has been enacted in order to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. Like many authors, we adopt the classic epidemic SIR model, where the infection rate is the control variable. Its differential flatness property yields ele…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-05 Michel Fliess , Cédric Join , Alberto d'Onofrio

Pandemic(epidemic) modeling, aiming at disease spreading analysis, has always been a popular research topic especially following the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2019. Some representative models including SIR-based deep learning prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-07 Danfeng Guo , Zijie Huang , Junheng Hao , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Demetri Terzopoulos

The dynamics of epidemics depend on how people's behavior changes during an outbreak. At the beginning of the epidemic, people do not know about the virus, then, after the outbreak of epidemics and alarm, they begin to comply with the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-11-29 I. A. Kastalskiy , E. V. Pankratova , E. M. Mirkes , V. B. Kazantsev , A. N. Gorban

The COVID-19 pandemic prompted a surge in computational models to simulate disease dynamics and guide interventions. Agent-based models (ABMs) are well-suited to capture population and environmental heterogeneity, but their rapid deployment…

Since the start of the still ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, there have been many modeling efforts to assess several issues of importance to public health. In this work, we review the theory behind some important mathematical models that have…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-01-06 Fernando Saldaña , Jorge X Velasco-Hernández

We analyse the economics and epidemiology of different scenarios for a phased restart of the UK economy. Our economic model is designed to address the unique features of the COVID-19 pandemic. Social distancing measures affect both supply…

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic many countries implemented containment measures to reduce disease transmission. Studies using digital data sources show that the mobility of individuals was effectively reduced in multiple countries.…

A number of theoretical models have been developed in recent years modelling epidemic spread in educational settings such as universities to help inform re-opening strategies during the Covid-19 pandemic. However, these studies have had…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-06-19 Alex Best , Prerna Singh

Epidemic models describe the evolution of a communicable disease over time. These models are often modified to include the effects of interventions (control measures) such as vaccination, social distancing, school closings etc. Many such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Heejong Bong , Valérie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

The study of social networks, and in particular the spread of disease on networks, has attracted considerable recent attention in the physics community. In this paper, we show that a large class of standard epidemiological models, the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. E. J. Newman

Human behaviour strongly influences the spread of infectious diseases: understanding the interplay between epidemic dynamics and adaptive behaviours is essential to improve response strategies to epidemics, with the goal of containing the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-08-21 Marco Mancastroppa , Alessandro Vezzani , Vittoria Colizza , Raffaella Burioni

Computational approaches to predicting mental health conditions in social media have been substantially explored in the past years. Multiple reviews have been published on this topic, providing the community with comprehensive accounts of…