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Street networks allow people and goods to move through cities, but they are vulnerable to disasters like floods, earthquakes, and terrorist attacks. Well-planned network design can make a city more resilient and robust to such disruptions,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-03-19 Geoff Boeing , Jaehyun Ha

Resilience has become a key aspect in the design of contemporary infrastructure networks. This comes as a result of ever-increasing loads, limited physical capacity, and fast-growing levels of interconnectedness and complexity due to the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2019-01-29 Giacomo Como

In system development, epistemic uncertainty is an ever-present possibility when reasoning about the causal factors during hazard analysis. Such uncertainty is common when complicated systems interact with one another, and it is dangerous…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2017-10-20 Chris Leong , Tim Kelly , Rob Alexander

Natural disasters affect hundreds of millions of people worldwide every year. Early warning, humanitarian response and recovery mechanisms can be improved by using big data sources. Measuring the different dimensions of the impact of…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-06-25 David Pastor-Escuredo , Yolanda Torres , Maria Martinez , Pedro J. Zufiria

Dynamic control is emerging as an effective methodology for operating stormwater systems under stress from rapidly evolving weather patterns. Informed by rainfall predictions and real-time sensor measurements, control assets in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-31 Abhiram Mullapudi , Branko Kerkez

Numerous early warning systems based on rainfall measurements have been designed over the last decades to forecast the onset of rainfall-induced shallow landslides. However, their use over large areas poses challenges due to uncertainties…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-06-30 Edoardo Rundeddu , José J. Lizárraga , Giuseppe Buscarnera

Precipitation exceedance probabilities are widely used in engineering design, risk assessment, and floodplain management. While common approaches like NOAA Atlas 14 assume that extreme precipitation characteristics are stationary over time,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Yuchen Lu , Ben Seiyon Lee , James Doss-Gollin

We study the robustness of system estimation to parametric perturbations in system dynamics and initial conditions. We define the problem of sensitivity-based parametric uncertainty quantification in dynamical system estimation. The main…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-09 Ayush Pandey

By building on a recently introduced genetic-inspired attribute-based conceptual framework for safety risk analysis, we propose a novel methodology to compute construction univariate and bivariate construction safety risk at a situational…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-09-27 Antoine J. -P. Tixier , Matthew R. Hallowell , Balaji Rajagopalan

In the first part of our study, we demonstrated how a simple physical benchmark model can be used to assess assumptions of the conceptual models, based on a lumped Probability Distributed Model (PDM) formulated by Lamb (1999). In this…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2023-12-05 Piotr Morawiecki , Philippe H. Trinh

Spatial dynamic microsimulations probabilistically project geographically referenced units with individual characteristics over time. Like any projection method, their outcomes are inherently uncertain and sensitive to multiple factors.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-19 Morgane Dumont , Ahmed Alsaloum , Julian Ernst , Jan Weymeirsch , Ralf Münnich

Smart resilience is the beneficial result of the collision course of the fields of data science and urban resilience to flooding. The objective of this study is to propose and demonstrate a smart flood resilience framework that leverages…

Numerical simulation models associated with hydraulic engineering take a wide array of data into account to produce predictions: rainfall contribution to the drainage basin (characterized by soil nature, infiltration capacity and moisture),…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-03-01 Corentin J. Lapeyre , Nicolas Cazard , Pamphile T. Roy , Sophie Ricci , Fabrice Zaoui

We present and analyze a three-stage stochastic optimization model that integrates output from a geoscience-based flood model with a power flow model for transmission grid resilience planning against flooding. The proposed model coordinates…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-03-11 Ashutosh Shukla , Erhan Kutanoglu , John Hasenbein

This study presents a framework for assessing urban critical infrastructure resilience during extreme events, such as hurricanes. The approach combines GIS and network analysis with open remote sensing data of the aftermath, vector data on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-12-19 Pavel O. Kiparisov , Viktor V. Lagutov

The increasing access to non-expensive sensors, computing power, and more accurate forecasting of storm events provides unique opportunities to shift flood management practices from static approaches to an optimization-based real-time…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-05-10 Marcus N. Gomes Junior , Marcio H. Giacomoni , Ahmad F. Taha , Eduardo M. Mendiondo

The astounding success of these methods has made it imperative to obtain more explainable and trustworthy estimates from these models. In hydrology, basin characteristics can be noisy or missing, impacting streamflow prediction. For solving…

Australian water infrastructure is more than a hundred years old, thus has begun to show its age through water main failures. Our work concerns approximately half a million pipelines across major Australian cities that deliver water to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-18 Dilusha Weeraddana , Sudaraka MallawaArachchi , Tharindu Warnakula , Zhidong Li , Yang Wang

Resilience is a rehashed concept in natural hazard management - resilience of cities to earthquakes, to floods, to fire, etc. In a word, a system is said to be resilient if there exists a strategy that can drive the system state back to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-01-17 Michel De Lara

Sea-level rise and associated flood hazards pose severe risks to the millions of people globally living in coastal zones. Models representing coastal adaptation and impacts are important tools to inform the design of strategies to manage…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2022-12-21 Tony E. Wong , Catherine Ledna , Lisa Rennels , Hannah Sheets , Frank C. Errickson , Delavane Diaz , David Anthoff