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RNA-based vaccination has been broadly applied in the COVID pandemic. A characteristic of the immunization was fast waning immunity. However, the time scale of this process varied considerable for virus subtypes and among individuals.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-11-10 Juan Magalang , Tyll Krueger , Joerg Galle

This paper seeks to study the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic based on daily published data from Worldometer website, using a time-dependent SIR model. Our findings indicate that this model fits well such data, for different chosen…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-11-28 Rawan H. Madi , Sophie M. Moufawad , Nabil R. Nassif

A reasonable prediction of infectious diseases transmission process under different disease control strategies is an important reference point for policy makers. Here we established a dynamic transmission model via Python and realized…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-23 Yuxuan Zhang , Chen Gong , Dawei Li , Zhi-Wei Wang , Shengda D Pu , Alex W Robertson , Hong Yu , John Parrington

The acute phase of the Covid-19 pandemic has made apparent the need for decision support based upon accurate epidemic modeling. This process is substantially hampered by under-reporting of cases and related data incompleteness issues. In…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-03-10 Anastasios Apsemidis , Nikolaos Demiris

To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-05-14 Xavier Bardina , Marco Ferrante , Carles Rovira

As global living standards improve and medical technology advances, many infectious diseases have been effectively controlled. However, certain diseases, such as the recent COVID-19 pandemic, continue to pose significant threats to public…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-02-24 Ayesha Baig , Li Zhouxin

COVID-19 vaccines have proven to be effective against SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, the dynamics of vaccine-induced immunological memory development and neutralizing antibodies generation are not fully understood, limiting vaccine…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2022-04-06 Xin Gao , Jianwei Li , Dianjie Li

The current global health emergency triggered by the pandemic COVID-19 is one of the greatest challenges mankind face in this generation. Computational simulations have played an important role to predict the development of the current…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-11 Kok Yew Ng , Meei Mei Gui

During the COVID-19 pandemic, community containment measures have been implemented in different parts of the world. However, despite government recommendations and mandates, a progressive increase in mobility was observed in several sites.…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-03-29 Ariel Félix Gualtieri , Pedro Hecht

A molecular and cellular understanding of how SARS-CoV-2 variably infects and causes severe COVID-19 remains a bottleneck in developing interventions to end the pandemic. We sought to use deep learning to study the biology of SARS-CoV-2…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-12-16 Arijit Sehanobish , Neal G. Ravindra , David van Dijk

We propose a mathematical model with five compartments for the SARS-CoV-2 transmission: susceptible $S$, undetected infected asymptomatic $A$, undetected infected symptomatic $I$, confirmed positive and isolated $L$, and recovered $ R$, for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-29 Gabriela Marinoschi

The mechanism of SARS-CoV-2 evolution and transmission is elusive and its understanding, a prerequisite to forecast emerging variants, is of paramount importance. SARS-CoV-2 evolution is driven by the mechanisms at molecular and organism…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-20 Jiahui Chen , Rui Wang , Guo-Wei Wei

Although modeling studies are focused on the control of SIR-based systems describing epidemic data sets (particularly the COVID-19), few of them present a formal dynamic characterization in terms of equilibrium sets and stability. Such…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-06-03 A. H. González , A. L. Anderson , A. Ferramosca , E. A. Hernandez-Vargas

Through the use of cutting-edge unsupervised classification techniques from statistics and machine learning, we characterise symptom phenotypes among symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive community cases. We first analyse each dataset in…

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic radically impacts our lives, while the transmission/infection and recovery dynamics of COVID-19 remain obscure. A time-dependent Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, and Recovered (SEIR) model…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-01 Yong Zhang , Xiangnan Yu , HongGuang Sun , Geoffrey R. Tick , Wei Wei , Bin Jin

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, an astronomical number of publications on the pandemic dynamics appeared in the literature, of which many use the susceptible infected removed (SIR) and susceptible exposed infected removed (SEIR) models, or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-03 Hua-Liang Wei , S. A. Billings

Under the global health emergency caused by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), efficient and specific therapies are urgently needed. Compared with traditional small-molecular drugs, antibody therapies are relatively easy to develop and as…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2020-06-19 Jiahui Chen , Kaifu Gao , Rui Wang , Duc Duy Nguyen , Guo-Wei Wei

This paper analyzes a simplified model of viral infection and evolution using the 'grand canonical ensemble' and formalisms from statistical mechanics and thermodynamics to enumerate all possible viruses and to derive thermodynamic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-01-08 Barbara A. Jones , Justin Lessler , Simone Bianco , James H. Kaufman

A significant proportion of the infections driving the current {SARS-CoV-2} pandemic are transmitted asymptomatically. Here we introduce and study a simple epidemic model with separate compartments comprising asymptomatic and symptomatic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-10-12 Maurice Görtz , Joachim Krug

Current CoVID-19 pandemic is spreading rapidly worldwide, and it may become one of the largest pandemic events in modern history if out of control. It appears most of the SARS-CoV2 virus infection resulted deaths are mainly due to…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2020-09-28 Sam-Shajing Sun