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Motivated by COVID-19, we develop and analyze a simple stochastic model for a disease spread in human population. We track how the number of infected and critically ill people develops over time in order to estimate the demand that is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-05-10 Jakub Svoboda , Josef Tkadlec , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

COVID-19 is an infection caused by SARS-CoV-2 (Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus 2), which has caused a global outbreak. Current research efforts are focused on the understanding of the molecular mechanisms involved in…

The global SARS-CoV-2 pandemic suggests a novel type of disease spread dynamics. WHO states that there is currently no evidence that people who have recovered from COVID-19 and have antibodies are immune from a second infection [WHO].…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-08-03 Kurt Langfeld

The virus SARS-COV-2 caused disease COVID-19 has been declared a pandemic by WHO. Currently, over 210 countries and territories have been affected. Careful, well-designed drugs and vaccine for the total elimination of this virus seem to be…

The current pandemic of SARS-CoV-2 has caused extensive damage to society. The characterization of SARS-CoV-2 profiles has been addressed by researchers globally with the aim of resolving this disruptive crisis. This investigation process…

A new detailed mathematical model for dynamics of immune response to hepatitis B is proposed, which takes into account contributions from innate and adaptive immune responses, as well as cytokines. Stability analysis of different steady…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-05-16 F. Fatehi Chenar , Y. N. Kyrychko , K. B. Blyuss

As of December 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 75 million people, making it the deadliest pandemic in modern history. This study develops a novel compartmental epidemiological model specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-19 Caden Lin

The growing literature on the propagation of COVID-19 relies on various dynamic SIR-type models (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) which yield model-dependent results. For transparency and ease of comparing the results, we introduce a common…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-19 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

The cellular adaptive immune response plays a key role in resolving influenza infection. Experiments where individuals are successively infected with different strains within a short timeframe provide insight into the underlying viral…

COVID-19 has affected the world tremendously. It is critical that biological experiments and clinical designs are informed by computational approaches for time- and cost-effective solutions. Comparative analyses particularly can play a key…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2020-04-10 Goksel Misirli

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has changed our lives and still poses a challenge to science. Numerous studies have contributed to a better understanding of the pandemic. In particular, inhalation of aerosolised pathogens has…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-09-02 Simon Rahn , Marion Gödel , Gerta Köster , Gesine Hofinger

How may exposure risks to SARS-CoV-2 be assessed quantitatively? The material metabolism approach of Industrial Ecology can be applied to the mass flows of these virions by their numbers, as a key step in the analysis of the current…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-10-30 Gjalt Huppes , Ruben Huele

In this work, we aim to study that the dynamics behavior for cumulative number of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic can provide information on the overall behavior of the spread over daily time.The cumulative data can be synthesized in an empirical form…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-16 Hamieh Mohamad , Doumit Mary , Toufaily Joumana , Hamieh Tayssir

Although previous infection and vaccination provide protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection, both reinfection and breakthrough infection are possible events whose occurrence would increase with time after first exposure to the antigen and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-06-07 Ariel Félix Gualtieri , Carolina de la Cal , Augusto Francisco Toma , Pedro Hecht

The development and authorization of COVID-19 vaccines has provided the clearest path forward to eliminate community spread hence end the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. However, the limited pace at which the vaccine can be administered…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-11 Glenn Young , Pengcheng Xiao , Kenneth Newcomb , Edwin Michael

Several mathematical models in SARS-CoV-2 have shown how target-cell model can help to understand the spread of the virus in the host and how potential candidates of antiviral treatments can help to control the virus. Concepts as…

We introduce a mathematical description of the impact of sociality in the spread of infectious diseases by integrating an epidemiological dynamics with a kinetic modeling of population-based contacts. The kinetic description leads to study…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-04-02 G. Dimarco , B. Perthame , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

A plethora of prediction models of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic were proposed in the past. Prediction performances not only depend on the structure and features of the model, but also on its parametrization. Official databases are often biased due…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-09-27 Yuri Kheifetz , Holger Kirsten , Markus Scholz

This technical report describes a dynamic causal model of the spread of coronavirus through a population. The model is based upon ensemble or population dynamics that generate outcomes, like new cases and deaths over time. The purpose of…

We present a methodology providing a one-directional link from within-host individual heterogeneity to population-level disease transmission dynamics. The methodology works in several steps. A within-host model is investigated numerically…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-19 Julien Arino , Morgan Craig , Clotilde Djuikem , Kang-Ling Liao , Stéphanie Portet