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Nested integration of the form $\int f\left(\int g(\bs{y},\bs{x})\di{}\bs{x}\right)\di{}\bs{y}$, characterized by an outer integral connected to an inner integral through a nonlinear function $f$, is a challenging problem in various fields,…

In this work, we consider the problem of estimating the probability distribution, the quantile or the conditional expectation above the quantile, the so called conditional-value-at-risk, of output quantities of complex random differential…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-05-23 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Sundar Ganesh , Sebastian Krumscheid , Fabio Nobile

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models are ubiquitous in statistics, econometrics, information engineering and signal processing. Particle methods, also known as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, provide reliable numerical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-09-11 Nikolas Kantas , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Jan Maciejowski , Nicolas Chopin

This paper develops a novel sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) approach for joint state and parameter estimation that can deal efficiently with abruptly changing parameters which is a common case when tracking maneuvering targets. The approach…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-10-12 Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Lyudmila Mihaylova

This work introduces two Monte Carlo (MC)-based sampling methods, known as line sampling and subset simulation, to improve the performance of standard MC analyses in the context of asteroid impact risk assessment. Both techniques sample the…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2020-09-28 Matteo Romano , Matteo Losacco , Camilla Colombo , Pierluigi Di Lizia

Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) methods are the gold standard for studying equilibrium properties of quantum many-body systems -- their phase transitions, ground and thermal state properties. However, in many interesting situations QMC methods…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-08-19 Dominik Hangleiter , Ingo Roth , Daniel Nagaj , Jens Eisert

A semi-implicit two-phase double-point Material Point Method (MPM) formulation, based on the incremental fractional-step method to model large deformation geotechnical problems has been derived. The semi-implicit formulation has two…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-22 Mian Xie , Pedro Navas , Susana Lopez-Querol

This work introduces a novel multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) metamodeling approach for variance function estimation. Although devising an efficient experimental design for simulation metamodeling can be elusive, the MLMC-based approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Jingtao Zhang , Xi Chen

We investigate the application of randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods in random feature approximations for kernel-based learning. Compared to the classical Monte Carlo (MC) approach \citep{rahimi2007random}, RQMC improves the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-09 Yian Huang , Zhen Huang

Stochastic collocation methods for approximating the solution of partial differential equations with random input data (e.g., coefficients and forcing terms) suffer from the curse of dimensionality whereby increases in the stochastic…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-05-23 Aretha L. Teckentrup , Peter Jantsch , Clayton G. Webster , Max Gunzburger

Stochastic sampling methods are arguably the most direct and least intrusive means of incorporating parametric uncertainty into numerical simulations of partial differential equations with random inputs. However, to achieve an overall error…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-04-09 Hans-Werner van Wyk

By adopting a Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) framework, we show that only a handful of costly fine scale computations are needed to accurately estimate statistics of the failure of a composite structure, as opposed to the thousands typically…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-07-25 T. J. Dodwell , S. Kinston , R. Butler , R. T. Haftka , Nam H. Kim , R. Scheichl

In this paper we propose a general framework for the uncertainty quantification of quantities of interest for high-contrast single-phase flow problems. It is based on the generalized multiscale finite element method (GMsFEM) and multilevel…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-06-18 Yalchin Efendiev , Bangti Jin , Michael Presho , Xiaosi Tan

We present in this paper a hybrid, Multi-Level Monte Carlo (MLMC) method for solving the neutral particle transport equation. MLMC methods, originally developed to solve parametric integration problems, work by using a cheap, low fidelity…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-06 Vincent N. Novellino , Dmitriy Y. Anistratov

Accurately and efficiently estimating system performance under uncertainty is paramount in power system planning and operation. Monte Carlo simulation is often used for this purpose, but convergence may be slow, especially when detailed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Simon Tindemans , Goran Strbac

This work presents an efficient approach for accelerating multilevel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for large-scale problems using low-fidelity machine learning models. While conventional techniques for large-scale Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-21 Sohail Reddy , Hillary Fairbanks

We propose a hierarchy of multi-level kinetic Monte Carlo methods for sampling high-dimensional, stochastic lattice particle dynamics with complex interactions. The method is based on the efficient coupling of different spatial resolution…

数值分析 · 数学 2012-08-06 Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac

In this paper, we present a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) version of the Stochastic Gradient (SG) method for optimization under uncertainty, in order to tackle Optimal Control Problems (OCP) where the constraints are described in the form…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-12-30 Matthieu Martin , Fabio Nobile , Panagiotis Tsilifis

Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-05 Alexander Buchholz , Florian Wenzel , Stephan Mandt

A multiscale numerical method is proposed for the solution of semi-linear elliptic stochastic partial differential equations with localized uncertainties and non-linearities, the uncertainties being modeled by a set of random parameters. It…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-01-23 Anthony Nouy , Florent Pled