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Numerical modeling of slope failures seeks to predict two key phenomena: the initiation of failure and the post-failure runout. Currently, most modeling methods for slope failure analysis excel at one of these two but are deficient in the…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-07-09 Brent Sordo , Ellen Rathje , Krishna Kumar

Estimating failure probabilities of engineering systems is an important problem in many engineering fields. In this work we consider such problems where the failure probability is extremely small (e.g $\leq10^{-10}$). In this case, standard…

数值分析 · 数学 2017-05-24 Xinjuan Chen , Jinglai Li

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method is a useful numerical tool for pricing and hedging of complex financial derivatives. These problems are usually of high dimensionality and discontinuities. The two factors may significantly deteriorate the…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-02-27 Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

We propose a Multi-level Monte Carlo technique to accelerate Monte Carlo sampling for approximation of properties of materials with random defects. The computational efficiency is investigated on test problems given by tight-binding models…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-11-30 Petr Plecháč , Erik von Schwerin

We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. We are interested in deciding whether the p-value for an observed data set lies above or below a given threshold such as 5%. We want to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-10 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

The subsurface flow is usually subject to uncertain porous media structures. In most cases, however, we only have partial knowledge about the porous media properties. A common approach is to model the uncertain parameters of porous media as…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-10-11 Yang Liu , Jingfa Li , Shuyu Sun , Bo Yu

This work addresses uncertainty quantification of electromagnetic devices determined by the eddy current problem. The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method is used for the treatment of uncertain parameters while the devices are discretized…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2020-03-24 Armin Galetzka , Zeger Bontinck , Ulrich Römer , Sebastian Schöps

Many machine learning problems optimize an objective that must be measured with noise. The primary method is a first order stochastic gradient descent using one or more Monte Carlo (MC) samples at each step. There are settings where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-22 Sifan Liu , Art B. Owen

Existing multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo (MLQMC) methods often rely on multiple independent randomizations of a low-discrepancy (LD) sequence to estimate statistical errors on each level. While this approach is standard, it can be less…

Quantiles and expected shortfalls are usually used to measure risks of stochastic systems, which are often estimated by Monte Carlo methods. This paper focuses on the use of quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) method, whose convergence rate is…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-05-07 Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Machine Learning (ML) algorithms are increasingly used as surrogate models to increase the efficiency of stochastic reliability analyses in geotechnical engineering. This paper presents a highly efficient ML aided reliability technique that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-14 Mohammad Aminpour , Reza Alaie , Navid Kardani , Sara Moridpour , Majidreza Nazem

The multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method has been used for a wide variety of stochastic applications. In this paper we consider its use in situations in which input random variables can be replaced by similar approximate random variables…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-04-08 Mike Giles , Oliver Sheridan-Methven

In this article, we present a review of the recent developments on the topic of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) algorithm, in the paradigm of applications in financial engineering. We specifically focus on the recent studies conducted in two…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-30 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

The Iterative Quasi-Monte Carlo (iQMC) method is a recently developed hybrid method for neutron transport simulations. iQMC replaces standard quadrature techniques used in deterministic linear solvers with Quasi-Monte Carlo simulation for…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-01-13 Samuel Pasmann , Ilham Variansyah , C. T. Kelley , Ryan G. McClarren

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) reduces the total computational cost of financial option pricing by combining SDE approximations with multiple resolutions. This paper explores a further avenue for reducing cost and improving power efficiency…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-12 Irina-Beatrice Haas , Michael B. Giles

This paper concerns the use of sequential Monte Carlo methods (SMC) for smoothing in general state space models. A well-known problem when applying the standard SMC technique in the smoothing mode is that the resampling mechanism introduces…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-03-06 Jimmy Olsson , Olivier Cappé , Randal Douc , Eric Moulines

We introduce a Monte Carlo Virtual Element estimator based on Virtual Element discretizations for stochastic elliptic partial differential equations with random diffusion coefficients. We prove estimates for the statistical approximation…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-04-16 Paola F. Antonietti , Francesca Bonizzoni , Ilaria Perugia , Marco Verani

We propose a multilevel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for the Bayesian inference of random field parameters in PDEs using high-resolution data. Compared to existing multilevel MCMC methods, we additionally consider level-dependent…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-08-19 Pieter Vanmechelen , Geert Lombaert , Giovanni Samaey

We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-08-07 Halis Sak , İsmail Başoğlu

In this paper we present a rigorous cost and error analysis of a multilevel estimator based on randomly shifted Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) lattice rules for lognormal diffusion problems. These problems are motivated by uncertainty…