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In this article we develop a new sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method for multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo estimation. In particular, the method can be used to estimate expectations with respect to a target probability distribution over an…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-16 Alexandros Beskos , Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Youssef Marzouk , Yan Zhou

We present a novel multilevel Monte Carlo approach for estimating quantities of interest for stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Drawing inspiration from [Giles and Szpruch: Antithetic multilevel Monte Carlo estimation for…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-04-15 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Andreas Stein

Checkpoint selection for multimodal large language models (MLLMs) presents significant challenges when performance differentials are marginal and evaluation signals are prone to noise. Existing methodologies rely heavily on static…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Qinwu Xu , Zhuoheng Li , Jessie Salas

Monte Carlo and Quasi-Monte Carlo methods present a convenient approach for approximating the expected value of a random variable. Algorithms exist to adaptively sample the random variable until a user defined absolute error tolerance is…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-11-14 Aleksei G. Sorokin , Jagadeeswaran Rathinavel

Estimating predictive uncertainty is crucial for many computer vision tasks, from image classification to autonomous driving systems. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is an sampling method for performing Bayesian inference. On the other hand,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-03 Diego Vergara , Sergio Hernández , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Felipe Jorquera

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

概率论 · 数学 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is an approach for computing ground-state wavefunctions that has recently become more powerful due to the introduction of neural network-based wavefunction parametrizations. However, efficiently training neural…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-03 Robert J. Webber , Michael Lindsey

We establish epigraphical and uniform laws of large numbers for sample-based approximations of law invariant risk functionals. These sample-based approximation schemes include Monte Carlo (MC) and certain randomized quasi-Monte Carlo…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-07-01 Olena Melnikov , Johannes Milz

Monte Carlo (MC) integration has been employed as the standard approximation method for the Sliced Wasserstein (SW) distance, whose analytical expression involves an intractable expectation. However, MC integration is not optimal in terms…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-19 Khai Nguyen , Nicola Bariletto , Nhat Ho

Stochastic MPECs have found increasing relevance for modeling a broad range of settings in engineering and statistics. Yet, there seem to be no efficient first/zeroth-order schemes equipped with non-asymptotic rate guarantees for resolving…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-06-23 Shisheng Cui , Uday V. Shanbhag , Farzad Yousefian

We introduce Preconditioned Monte Carlo (PMC), a novel Monte Carlo method for Bayesian inference that facilitates efficient sampling of probability distributions with non-trivial geometry. PMC utilises a Normalising Flow (NF) in order to…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2022-08-24 Minas Karamanis , Florian Beutler , John A. Peacock , David Nabergoj , Uros Seljak

In statistical data assimilation one seeks the largest maximum of the conditional probability distribution $P(\mathbf{X},\mathbf{p}|\mathbf{Y})$ of model states, $\mathbf{X}$, and parameters,$\mathbf{p}$, conditioned on observations…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-28 Sasha Shirman , Henry D. I. Abarbanel

RBM-MPC is a computationally efficient variant of Model Predictive Control (MPC) in which the Random Batch Method (RBM) is used to speed up the finite-horizon optimal control problems at each iteration. In this paper, stability and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-08 Daniël Veldman , Alexandra Borkowski , Enrique Zuazua

We present a theoretical and numerical analysis of Monte Carlo methods for the estimation of statistical moments of random variables $X:\Omega\rightarrow E$ taking values in a Banach space $E$. For practical computation, we consider…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-05-26 Kristin Kirchner , Fabio Nobile , Christoph Schwab , Tommaso Vanzan

This paper studies a structured compound stochastic program (SP) involving multiple expectations coupled by nonconvex and nonsmooth functions. We present a successive convex-programming based sampling algorithm and establish its…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-05-25 Junyi Liu , Ying Cui , Jong-Shi Pang

We propose a novel sampling framework for inference in probabilistic models: an active learning approach that converges more quickly (in wall-clock time) than Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) benchmarks. The central challenge in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Tom Gunter , Michael A. Osborne , Roman Garnett , Philipp Hennig , Stephen J. Roberts

Optimizing or sampling complex cost functions of combinatorial optimization problems is a longstanding challenge across disciplines and applications. When employing family of conventional algorithms based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-15 Dmitrii Dobrynin , Masoud Mohseni , John Paul Strachan

Reliable quantification of uncertainty in Mobile Laser Scanning (MLS) point clouds is essential for ensuring the accuracy and credibility of downstream applications such as 3D mapping, modeling, and change analysis. Traditional backward…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Ziyang Xu , Olaf Wysocki , Christoph Holst

We prove bounds on the variance of a function $f$ under the empirical measure of the samples obtained by the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithm, with time complexity depending on local rather than global Markov chain mixing dynamics.…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-18 Holden Lee , Matheau Santana-Gijzen

Statistical machine learning often uses probabilistic algorithms, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), to solve a wide range of problems. Many accelerators are proposed using specialized hardware to address sampling inefficiency, the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-03-09 Xiangyu Zhang , Sayan Mukherjee , Alvin R. Lebeck
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