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According to the current perception, symptomatic, presymptomatic, and asymptomatic infectious persons can infect the healthy population susceptible to the SARS-Cov-2. More importantly, various reports indicate that the number of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-24 Saptarshi Chatterjee , Apurba Sarkar , Mintu Karmakar , Swarnajit Chatterjee , Raja Paul

Accurate forecasts for COVID-19 are necessary for better preparedness and resource management. Specifically, deciding the response over months or several months requires accurate long-term forecasts which is particularly challenging as the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-10 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

The novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) has led to a pandemic. The current testing regime based on Reverse Transcription-Polymerase Chain Reaction for SARS-CoV-2 has been unable to keep up with testing demands, and also suffers from a relatively…

At the time of writing, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), had already resulted in more than thirty-two million cases infected and more than one million deaths worldwide.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-22 Chung-Han Hsieh

Diagnosis of COVID-19 is necessary to prevent and control the disease. Deep learning methods have been considered a fast and accurate method. In this paper, by the parallel combination of three well-known pre-trained networks, we attempted…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-08-17 Faezeh Amouzegar , Hamid Mirvaziri , Mostafa Ghazizadeh-Ahsaee , Mahdi Shariatzadeh

The issue of COVID-19, increasing with a massive mortality rate. This led to the WHO declaring it as a pandemic. In this situation, it is crucial to perform efficient and fast diagnosis. The reverse transcript polymerase chain reaction…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-08-10 Lalith Bharadwaj B , Rohit Boddeda , Sai Vardhan K , Madhu G

This work provides an overview on deterministic and stochastic models that have previously been proposed by us to study the transmission dynamics of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Europe and USA. Briefly, we describe realistic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-07-11 Giorgio Sonnino , Philippe Peeters , Pasquale Nardone

In India the COVID-19 infected population has not yet been accurately established. As always in the early stages of any epidemic, the need to test serious cases first has meant that the population with asymptomatic or mild sub-clinical…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-09 Sourendu Gupta , R. Shankar

The generalized logistic equation is used to interpret the COVID-19 epidemic data in several countries: Austria, Switzerland, the Netherlands, Italy, Turkey and South Korea. The model coefficients are calculated: the growth rate and the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-03 Efim Pelinovsky , Andrey Kurkin , Oxana Kurkina , Maria Kokoulina , Anastasia Epifanova

There is a growing interest in modeling and analyzing the spread of diseases like the SARS-CoV-2 infection using stochastic models. These models are typically analyzed quantitatively and are not often subject to validation using formal…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-11-02 Marco Roveri , Franc Ivankovic , Luigi Palopoli , Daniele Fontanelli

Covid-19 is one of the biggest health challenges that the world has ever faced. Public health policy makers need the reliable prediction of the confirmed cases in future to plan medical facilities. Machine learning methods learn from the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-06-17 Amir Ahmada , Sunita Garhwal , Santosh Kumar Ray , Gagan Kumar , Sharaf J. Malebary , Omar Mohammed Omar Barukab

Motivated by COVID-19, we develop and analyze a simple stochastic model for a disease spread in human population. We track how the number of infected and critically ill people develops over time in order to estimate the demand that is…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-05-10 Jakub Svoboda , Josef Tkadlec , Andreas Pavlogiannis , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Martin A. Nowak

It is crucial for policymakers to understand the community prevalence of COVID-19 so combative resources can be effectively allocated and prioritized during the COVID-19 pandemic. Traditionally, community prevalence has been assessed…

Compartmental models are used in epidemiology to capture the evolution of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 in a population by assigning members of it to compartments with labels such as susceptible, infected, and recovered. In a…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2024-02-15 Tim Leys , Guillermo A. Perez

The usual problem for group testing is this: For a given number of individuals and a given prevalence, how many tests T* are required to find every infected individual? In real life, however, the problem is usually different: For a given…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-07-21 Matthew Aldridge

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

This paper introduces new methods to track the offset between two multivariate time series on a continuous basis. We then apply this framework to COVID-19 counts on a state-by-state basis in the United States to determine the progression…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-12-19 Nick James , Max Menzies

Infectious disease forecasting for ongoing epidemics has been traditionally performed, communicated, and evaluated as numerical targets - 1, 2, 3, and 4 week ahead cases, deaths, and hospitalizations. While there is great value in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-11-15 Ajitesh Srivastava , Satwant Singh , Fiona Lee

The current global health emergency triggered by the pandemic COVID-19 is one of the greatest challenges mankind face in this generation. Computational simulations have played an important role to predict the development of the current…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-06-11 Kok Yew Ng , Meei Mei Gui

Modeling the spread of COVID-19 is crucial for informing public health policy. All models for COVID-19 epidemiology rely on parameters describing the dynamics of the infection process. The meanings of epidemiological parameters like R_0,…

其他定量生物学 · 定量生物学 2020-07-13 Yinon M. Bar-On , Ron Sender , Avi I. Flamholz , Rob Phillips , Ron Milo