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In this paper we investigate the behavior of the bridges of a Markov counting process in several directions. We first characterize convexity(concavity) in time of the mean value in terms of lower (upper) bounds on the so called…

概率论 · 数学 2015-12-04 Giovanni Conforti

A Markov-chain model is developed for the purpose estimation of the cure rate of non-performing loans. The technique is performed collectively, on portfolios and it can be applicable in the process of calculation of credit impairment. It is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-07-03 Vilislav Boutchaktchiev

We introduce a unified framework to estimate the convergence of Markov chains to equilibrium in Wasserstein distance. The framework can provide convergence bounds with rates ranging from polynomial to exponential, all derived from a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-09 Yanlin Qu , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

This paper presents a novel theoretical Monte Carlo Markov chain procedure in the framework of graphs. It specifically deals with the construction of a Markov chain whose empirical distribution converges to a given reference one. The Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-02 Roy Cerqueti , Emilio De Santis

This article introduces a model for freeway traffic dynamics under stochastic capacity-reducing incidents, and provides insights for freeway incident management by analyzing long-time (stability) properties of the proposed model. Incidents…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-01 Li Jin , Saurabh Amin

In this paper we present elementary computations for some Markov modulated counting processes, also called counting processes with regime switching. Regime switching has become an increasingly popular concept in many branches of science. In…

概率论 · 数学 2023-02-27 Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

This paper aims to derive a quantitative model to evaluate the impact of information flow on the effectiveness of disaster response. At the core of the model is a specialized absorbing Markov chain that models the process of delivering…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-07-07 Yitong Li , Wenying Ji

Markov regime switching models have been used in numerous empirical studies in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic for testing the number of regimes in Markov regime switching…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-01-31 Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

We give a recursive construction of the stationary distribution of multi-type asymmetric simple exclusion processes on a finite ring or on the infinite line $Z$. The construction can be interpreted in terms of "multi-line diagrams" or…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-10 James B. Martin

Through the analysis of a dataset of ultra high frequency order book updates, we introduce a model which accommodates the empirical properties of the full order book together with the stylized facts of lower frequency financial data. To do…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2014-09-05 Weibing Huang , Charles-Albert Lehalle , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We study the stochastic dynamics of a system of interacting species in a stochastic environment by means of a continuous-time Markov chain with transition rates depending on the state of the environment. Models of gene regulation in systems…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-12-03 Daniele Cappelletti , Abhishek Pal Majumder , Carsten Wiuf

This paper considers a Markovian model of a limit order book where time-dependent rates are allowed. With the objective of understanding the mechanisms through which a microscopic model of an orderbook can converge to more general diffusion…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-03 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas

We investigate the problem of quantifying contraction coefficients of Markov transition kernels in Kantorovich ($L^1$ Wasserstein) distances. For diffusion processes, relatively precise quantitative bounds on contraction rates have recently…

概率论 · 数学 2018-08-22 Andreas Eberle , Mateusz B. Majka

We consider a novel, analytical queuing model for vehicle coordination at signal-free intersections. Vehicles arrive at an intersection according to Poisson processes, and the crossing times are constants dependent of vehicle types. We use…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-09-29 Hanwen Dai , Li Jin

In this paper we survey some recent results on the central limit theorem and its weak invariance principle for stationary sequences. We also describe several maximal inequalities that are the main tool for obtaining the invariance…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Florence Merlevède , Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

We present a broad literature survey of parameter and state estimation for queueing systems. Our approach is based on various inference activities, queueing models, observations schemes, and statistical methods. We categorize these into…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-01-01 Azam Asanjarani , Yoni Nazarathy , Peter Taylor

A classical problem for Markov chains is determining their stationary (or steady-state) distribution. This problem has an equally classical solution based on eigenvectors and linear equation systems. However, this approach does not scale to…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-20 Tobias Meggendorfer

Stochastic reaction networks are mathematical models with a wide range of applications in biochemistry, ecology, and epidemiology, and are often complex to analyze. Except for some special cases, it is generally difficult to predict how the…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-02 Daniele Cappelletti , Giulio Cuniberti , Paola Siri

We consider multi-class single-server queueing networks that have a product form stationary distribution. A new limit result proves a sequence of such networks converges weakly to a stochastic flow level model. The stochastic flow level…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-15 N. S. Walton

The growth of Machine-Type Communication (MTC) increases the relevance of queuing scenarios with deterministic service times. In this letter, we present a model for queues without waiting lines and with degenerate service time distributions…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2020-09-10 René Brandborg Sørensen , Jimmy Jessen Nielsen , Petar Popovski