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We consider the dynamics of a virus spreading through a population that produces a mutant strain with the ability to infect individuals that were infected with the established strain. Temporary cross-immunity is included using a time delay,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-02-16 Bruce Pell , Samantha Brozak , Tin Phan , Fuqing Wu , Yang Kuang

The spread of an infectious disease depends on intrinsic properties of the disease as well as the connectivity and actions of the population. This study investigates the dynamics of an SIR type model which accounts for human tendency to…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-07-26 Hannah Scanlon , John Gemmer

We consider the spread of epidemics in technological and social networks. How do people react? Does awareness and cautious behavior help? We analyze these questions and present a dynamic model to describe the movement of individuals and/or…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Robert Elsässer , Adrian Ogierman

We investigate the containment of epidemic spreading in networks from a normative point of view. We consider a susceptible/infected model in which agents can invest in order to reduce the contagiousness of network links. In this setting, we…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-07-16 Geraldine Bouveret , Antoine Mandel

I study the spreading of infectious diseases on heterogeneous populations. I represent the population structure by a contact-graph where vertices represent agents and edges represent disease transmission channels among them. The population…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2009-11-13 Alexei Vazquez

Although there is always an interplay between the dynamics of information diffusion and disease spreading, the empirical research on the systemic coevolution mechanisms connecting these two spreading dynamics is still lacking. Here we…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-07-07 Wei Wang , Quan-Hui Liu , Shi-Min Cai , Ming Tang , Lidia A. Braunstein , H. Eugene Stanley

A problem closely related to epidemiology, where a subgraph of 'infected' links is defined inside a larger network, is investigated. This subgraph is generated from the underlying network by a random variable, which decides whether a link…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-04-07 M Cotacallapa , M O Hase

Models of spread processes over non-trivial networks are commonly motivated by modeling and analysis of biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks. However, identification of such models has not yet been explored in…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-27 Philip E. Pare , Ji Liu , Carolyn L. Beck , Barret E. Kirwan , Tamer Basar

We investigate the spread of an infection or other malfunction of cascading nature when a system component can recover only if it remains reachable from a functioning central component. We consider the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-04-27 L. Böttcher , O. Woolley-Meza , E. Goles , D. Helbing , H. J. Herrmann

Cooperation and competition between pathogens can alter the amount of individuals affected by a co-infection. Nonetheless, the evolution of the pathogens' behavior has been overlooked. Here, we consider a co-evolutionary model where the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-03-23 Fakhteh Ghanbarnejad , Kai Seegers , Alessio Cardillo , Philipp Hövel

This paper deals with the spread of diseases over both a population network and an infrastructure network. We develop a layered networked spread model for a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) pathogen-borne disease spreading over a…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-21 Philip E. Pare , Axel Janson , Sebin Gracy , Ji Liu , Henrik Sandberg , Karl H. Johansson

A fundamental problem in network science is to predict how certain individuals are able to initiate new networks to spring up "new ideas". Frequently, these changes in trends are triggered by a few innovators who rapidly impose their ideas…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-05-28 Yanqing Hu , Shlomo Havlin , Hernán A. Makse

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

This paper is concerned with the design of intermittent non-pharmaceutical strategies to mitigate the spread of the COVID-19 epidemic exploiting network epidemiological models. Specifically, by studying a variational equation for the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-04-14 Marco Coraggio , Shihao Xie , Francesco De Lellis , Giovanni Russo , Mario di Bernardo

Epidemic spreading processes on dynamic multiplex networks provide a more accurate description of natural spreading processes than those on single layered networks. To describe the influence of different individuals in the awareness layer…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-11-25 Minyu Feng , Xiangxi Li , Yuhan Li , Qin Li

We consider the qualitative behavior of a mathematical model for transmission dynamics with two nonlinear stages of contagion. The proposed model is inspired by phenomena occurring in epidemiology (spread of infectious diseases) or social…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-05-04 Julian Heidecke , Maria Vittoria Barbarossa

We study the problem of containing epidemic spreading processes in temporal networks. We specifically focus on the problem of finding a resource allocation to suppress epidemic infection, provided that an empirical time-series data of…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2019-04-16 Masaki Ogura , Junichi Harada

Individuals involved in common group activities/settings -- e.g., college students that are enrolled in the same class and/or live in the same dorm -- are exposed to recurrent contacts of physical proximity. These contacts are known to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-10-22 Siddharth Patwardhan , Varun K. Rao , Santo Fortunato , Filippo Radicchi

We perform a bifurcation analysis on an SIR model involving two pathogens that influences each other. Partial cross-immunity is assumed and coinfection is thought to be less transmittable then each of the diseases alone. The susceptible…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-09-09 J. Andersson , V. Kozlov , V. G. Tkachev , U. Wennergren

The complex interplay between population movements in space and non-homogeneous mixing patterns have so far hindered the fundamental understanding of the conditions for spatial invasion through a general theoretical framework. To address…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-01-21 Andrea Apolloni , Chiara Poletto , Jose' J. Ramasco , Pablo Jensen , Vittoria Colizza