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We propose a new highly flexible and tractable Bayesian approach to undertake variable selection in non-Gaussian regression models. It uses a copula decomposition for the joint distribution of observations on the dependent variable. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-07 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith

We establish posterior consistency for non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the dispersion coefficient of a time-inhomogeneous Brownian motion.

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We propose new copulae to model the dependence between two Brownian motions and to control the distribution of their difference. Our approach is based on the copula between the Brownian motion and its reflection. We show that the class of…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre

We utilize copulas to constitute a unified framework for constructing and optimizing variational proposals in hierarchical Bayesian models. For models with continuous and non-Gaussian hidden variables, we propose a semiparametric and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-05-19 Shaobo Han , Xuejun Liao , David B. Dunson , Lawrence Carin

Using the classical estimation method of moments, we propose a new semiparametric estimation procedure for multi-parameter copula models. Consistency and asymptotic normality of the obtained estimators are established. By considering an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-01-10 Brahim Brahimi , Abdelhakim Necir

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

Missing values with mixed data types is a common problem in a large number of machine learning applications such as processing of surveys and in different medical applications. Recently, Gaussian copula models have been suggested as a means…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Benjamin Christoffersen , Mark Clements , Keith Humphreys , Hedvig Kjellström

This paper provides a simple, yet reliable, alternative to the (Bayesian) estimation of large multivariate VARs with time variation in the conditional mean equations and/or in the covariance structure. With our new methodology, the original…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-01-01 Mike Tsionas , Marwan Izzeldin , Lorenzo Trapani

Estimating dynamic correlation between a pair of time series is of importance in many applications. We present new estimators for the dynamic correlation between a pair of correlated Brownian motions and separately for dynamic correlation…

概率论 · 数学 2022-01-20 Majnu John , Yihren Wu

We propose a score test for dependence predictability in conditional copulas that is robust to temporal instabilities. Our semiparametric procedure accommodates flexible dynamics in the marginal processes and remains agnostic about the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-03 Alexander Mayer , Tatsushi Oka , Dominik Wied

We consider the problem of estimating the period of an unknown periodic function observed in additive noise sampled at irregularly spaced time instants in a semiparametric setting. To solve this problem, we propose a novel estimator based…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-01-03 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Eric Moulines , François Roueff

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…

In the context of time-subordinated Brownian motion models, Fourier theory and methodology are proposed to modelling the stochastic distribution of time increments. Gaussian Variance-Mean mixtures and time-subordinated models are reviewed…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-21 Rohan Shenoy , Peter Kempthorne

In the copula-based approach to univariate time series modeling, the finite dimensional temporal dependence of a stationary time series is captured by a copula. Recent studies investigate how copula-based time series models can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Sven Pappert , Harry Joe

Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-09 Nicolás Kuschinski , Alejandro Jara

Detection of the relationship between two time series is so important in environmental and hydrological studies. Several parametric and non-parametric approaches can be applied to detect relationships. These techniques are usually sensitive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Mohammadreza Mahmoudi , Amir Mosavi

High frequency based estimation methods for a semiparametric pure-jump subordinated Brownian motion exposed to a small additive microstructure noise are developed building on the two-scales realized variations approach originally developed…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-02-07 Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez , K. Lee

Multivariate mixed-type outcomes are difficult to model jointly, and additional complexity arises when both marginal effects and dependence structures vary with a covariate such as age or time. Existing approaches often impose restrictive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Yujin Jeong , Seonghyun Jeong

We study the asymptotic behavior of estimators of a two-valued, discontinuous diffusion coefficient in a Stochastic Differential Equation, called an Oscillating Brownian Motion. Using the relation of the latter process with the Skew…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-10 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

Copula is a powerful tool to model multivariate data. We propose the modelling of intraday financial returns of multiple assets through copula. The problem originates due to the asynchronous nature of intraday financial data. We propose a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen
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