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This work constructs, analyzes, and simulates a new compartmental SEIR-type model for the dynamics and potential control of the current COVID-19 pandemic. The novelty in this work is two-fold. First, the population is divided according to…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-05-14 Aycil Cesmelioglu , Kenneth L. Kuttler , Meir Shillor , Anna M. Spagnuolo

The rapid spread of COVID-19 has affected thousands of people from different socio-demographic groups all over the country. A decisive step in preventing or slowing the outbreak is the use of mobility interventions, such as government…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2020-07-23 Aliakbar Kabiri , Aref Darzi , Weiyi Zhou , Qianqian Sun , Lei Zhang

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pneumonia has posed a great threat to the world recent months by causing many deaths and enormous economic damage worldwide. The first case of COVID-19 in Morocco was reported on 2 March 2020, and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-10 Marouane Mahrouf , Adnane Boukhouima , Houssine Zine , El Mehdi Lotfi , Delfim F. M. Torres , Noura Yousfi

We have established a novel mathematical model that considers various aspects of the spreading of the virus, including, the transmission based on being in the latent period, environment to human transmission, governmental decisions, and…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-08-31 Kamran Soltani , Ghader Rezazadeh

SARS-CoV2, which causes coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is continuing to spread globally and has become a pandemic. People have lost their lives due to the virus and the lack of counter measures in place. Given the increasing caseload and…

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

The COVID-19 outbreak forced governments worldwide to impose lockdowns and quarantines to prevent virus transmission. As a consequence, there are disruptions in human and economic activities all over the globe. The recovery process is also…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-11-13 Rodrigo Minetto , Mauricio Pamplona Segundo , Gilbert Rotich , Sudeep Sarkar

SARS-CoV-2, the highly contagious pathogen responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic, has persistent effects that begin four weeks after initial infection and last for an undetermined duration. These chronic effects are more harmful than acute…

This paper is concerned with nonlinear modeling and analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic currently ravaging the planet. There are two objectives: to arrive at an appropriate model that captures the collected data faithfully, and to use that as…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-10-15 C. A. K. Kwuimy , Foad Nazari , Xun Jiao , Pejman Rohani , C. Nataraj

Background: The ongoing COVID-19 epidemic dilated rapidly throughout India. To end the global COVID-19 pandemic major behavioral, social distancing, contact tracing, and state interventions has been undertaken to reduce the outbreak and…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-07-15 Kankan Sarkar , Subhas Khajanchi

We present a new mathematical model to explicitly capture the effects that the three restriction measures: the lockdown date and duration, social distancing and masks, and, schools and border closing, have in controlling the spread of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-08-25 Liam Dowling Jones , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Laura Mersini-Houghton , Steven Meshnick

A new coronavirus disease, called COVID-19, appeared in the Chinese region of Wuhan at the end of last year; since then the virus spread to other countries, including most of Europe. We propose a differential equation governing the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-09-15 Giorgio Sonnino , Pasquale Nardone

The global COVID-19 pandemic (SARS-CoV-2 virus) is the defining health crisis of our century. Due to the absence of vaccines and drugs that can help to fight it, the world solution to control the spread has been to consider public social…

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic continues to affect communities around the world. To date, almost 6 million people have died as a consequence of COVID-19, and more than one-quarter of a billion people are estimated to have been infected…

COVID-19 continues to cause a significant impact on public health. To minimize this impact, policy makers undertake containment measures that however, when carried out disproportionately to the actual threat, as a result if errorneous…

Restrictions on social and economic activities, as well as vaccinations, have been a key intervention in containing the COVID-19 epidemic. Our work focuses on better understanding the options available to policymakers under the conditions…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-07 Franco Galante , Chiara Ravazzi , Michele Garetto , Emilio Leonardi

In the absence of pharmaceutical interventions to curb the spread of COVID-19, countries relied on a number of nonpharmaceutical interventions to fight the first wave of the pandemic. The most prevalent one has been stay-at-home orders,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-07-21 Kristi Bushman , Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Alexandros Labrinidis

During the early months of the current COVID-19 pandemic, social-distancing measures effectively slowed disease transmission in many countries in Europe and Asia, but the same benefits have not been observed in some developing countries…

In this work, we simulate the COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in a population modeled as a network of groups wherein infection can propagate both via intra-group and via inter-group interactions. Our results emphasize the importance of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-12-24 Ioan Baldea

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model has been used to track the evolution of the spread of the COVID-19 virus in four countries of interest. In particular, the epidemic model, that depends on some basic characteristics,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-10-28 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos