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This paper addresses the Bayesian calibration of dynamic models with parametric and structural uncertainties, in particular where the uncertain parameters are unknown/poorly known spatio-temporally varying subsystem models. Independent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-02 Piyush Tagade , Han-Lim Choi

In estimation theory, the Kushner equation provides the evolution of the probability density of the state of a dynamical system given continuous-time observations. Building upon our recent work, we propose a new way to approximate the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-04 Marc Lambert , Silvère Bonnabel , Francis Bach

We propose an algorithm for approximating the solution of a strongly oscillating SDE, that is, a system in which some ergodic state variables evolve quickly with respect to the other variables. The algorithm profits from homogenization…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Camilo Andrés García Trillos

This paper studies a problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for a sequence of scaled counting processes whose weak limit is a Brownian motion with an unknown drift. The main result of the paper is that the limit of the posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Asaf Cohen

We study the discrete-time approximation for solutions of quadratic forward back- ward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) driven by a Brownian motion and a jump process which could be dependent. Assuming that the generator has a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2012-11-28 Idris Kharroubi , Thomas Lim

We present two approximate Bayesian inference methods for parameter estimation in partial differential equation (PDE) models with space-dependent and state-dependent parameters. We demonstrate that these methods provide accurate and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-04 David A. Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

In this work, we investigate the estimation of a parameter $f$ in PDEs using Bayesian procedures, and focus on posterior distributions constructed using Gaussian process priors, and its variational approximation. We establish contraction…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-27 Yuxin Fan , Bangti Jin

This work deals with the numerical approximation of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs). We propose a new algorithm which is based on the regression-later approach and the least squares Monte Carlo method. We give some…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-27 Kossi Gnameho , Mitja Stadje , Antoon Pelsser

In this paper, we provide a continuum model for the fluctuations of the symmetric simple exclusion process about its hydrodynamic limit. The model is based on an approximating sequence of stochastic PDEs with nonlinear, conservative noise.…

概率论 · 数学 2024-01-19 Nicolas Dirr , Benjamin Fehrman , Benjamin Gess

In the Bayesian approach, the a priori knowledge about the input of a mathematical model is described via a probability measure. The joint distribution of the unknown input and the data is then conditioned, using Bayes' formula, giving rise…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-15 Sebastian J. Vollmer

The prediction of thermo-mechanical behaviour of heterogeneous materials such as heat and moisture transport is strongly influenced by the uncertainty in parameters. Such materials occur e.g. in historic buildings, and the durability…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2013-03-19 A. Kucerova , J. Sykora , B. Rosic , H. G. Matthies

In a previous paper, we studied the ergodic properties of an Euler scheme of a stochastic differential equation with a Gaussian additive noise in order to approximate the stationary regime of such equation. We now consider the case of…

概率论 · 数学 2013-11-20 Serge Cohen , Fabien Panloup , Samy Tindel

In this article, we introduce a novel backward method to model stochastic gene expression and protein level dynamics. The protein amount is regarded as a diffusion process and is described by a backward stochastic differential equation…

生物物理 · 物理学 2017-04-05 Evelina Shamarova , Roman Chertovskih , Alexandre F. Ramos , Paulo Aguiar

In this paper, we study the solvability of anticipated backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs, for short) with quadratic growth for one-dimensional case and multi-dimensional case. In these BSDEs, the generator, which is of…

概率论 · 数学 2019-09-25 Ying Hu , Xun Li , Jiaqiang Wen

Recent work has explored solver strategies for the linear system of equations arising from a spectral Galerkin approximation of the solution of PDEs with parameterized (or stochastic) inputs. We consider the related problem of a matrix…

数值分析 · 数学 2014-07-22 Paul G. Constantine , David F. Gleich , Gianluca Iaccarino

For a backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE, for short), when the generator is not progressively measurable, it might not admit adapted solutions, shown by an example. However, for backward stochastic Volterra integral equations…

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-28 Hanxiao Wang , Jiongmin Yong , Chao Zhou

We introduce the notion of \delta-viscosity solutions for fully nonlinear uniformly parabolic PDE on bounded domains. We prove that \delta-viscosity solutions are uniformly close to the actual viscosity solution. As a consequence we obtain…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2016-03-07 Olga Turanova

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe systems in many areas of science. To ensure these models provide accurate and interpretable representations of real-world dynamics, it is often necessary to infer…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-24 Selva Salimi , David J. Warne , Christopher Drovandi

Most inverse problems from physical sciences are formulated as PDE-constrained optimization problems. This involves identifying unknown parameters in equations by optimizing the model to generate PDE solutions that closely match measured…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-12 Qin Li , Li Wang , Yunan Yang