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Incorporating nonlinearity is paramount to predicting the future states of a dynamical system, its response to shocks, and its underlying causal network. However, most existing methods for causality detection and impulse response, such as…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-08 Kurt Izak Cabanilla , Kevin Thomas Go

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest (output of…

Computational models of the cardiovascular system are increasingly used for the diagnosis, treatment, and prevention of cardiovascular disease. Before being used for translational applications, the predictive abilities of these models need…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-01-11 Friederike Schäfer , Daniele E. Schiavazzi , Leif Rune Hellevik , Jacob Sturdy

Visual SLAM in dynamic environments remains challenging, as several existing methods rely on semantic filtering that only handles known object classes, or use fixed robust kernels that cannot adapt to unknown moving objects, leading to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 João Carlos Virgolino Soares , Gabriel Fischer Abati , Claudio Semini

Sobol' sensitivity indices allow to quantify the respective effects of random input variables and their combinations on the variance of mathematical model output. We focus on the problem of Sobol' indices estimation via a metamodeling…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-01-07 Ivan I. Panin

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is used to quantify the influence of uncertain variables in a mathematical model. Prior to performing GSA, the user must specify (or implicitly assume), a probability distribution to model the uncertainty,…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-22 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud

The reduced-rank vector autoregressive (VAR) model can be interpreted as a supervised factor model, where two factor modelings are simultaneously applied to response and predictor spaces. This article introduces a new model, called vector…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-16 Di Wang , Xiaoyu Zhang , Guodong Li , Ruey Tsay

The PAWN index is gaining traction among the modelling community as a sensitivity measure. However, the robustness to its design parameters has not yet been scrutinized: the size ($N$) and sampling ($\varepsilon$) of the model output, the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-09-03 Arnald Puy , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli

Scaling visual generation models is essential for real-world content creation, yet requires substantial training and computational expenses. Alternatively, test-time scaling has garnered growing attention due to resource efficiency and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-13 Zhekai Chen , Ruihang Chu , Yukang Chen , Shiwei Zhang , Yujie Wei , Yingya Zhang , Xihui Liu

Global sensitivity analysis is a set of methods aiming at quantifying the contribution of an uncertain input parameter of the model (or combination of parameters) on the variability of the response. We consider here the estimation of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-01-22 Viet Chi Tran , Gwenaëlle Castellan , Anthony Cousien , Chi Tran

Variance based global sensitivity analysis measures the relevance of inputs to a single output using Sobol' indices. This paper extends the definition in a natural way to multiple outputs, directly measuring the relevance of inputs to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-25 Robert A. Milton , Solomon F. Brown

For models evaluated at a random set of independent variables, the variance-based Shapley effects range between Sobol' indices, and the corresponding total indices admit derivative-based upper-bounds. Such relationships fail when the inputs…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-28 Matieyendou Lamboni

Causal inference with observational studies often suffers from unmeasured confounding, yielding biased estimators based on the unconfoundedness assumption. Sensitivity analysis assesses how the causal conclusions change with respect to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Sizhu Lu , Peng Ding

This paper analyzes Structural Vector Autoregressions (SVARs) where identification of structural parameters holds locally but not globally. In this case there exists a set of isolated structural parameter points that are observationally…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Toru Kitagawa

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is a recommended step in the use of computer simulation models. GSA quantifies the relative importance of model inputs on outputs (Factor Ranking), identifies inputs that could be fixed, thus simplifying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-27 Ken Newman , Shaini Naha , Leah Jackson-Blake , Cairistiona Topp , Miriam Glendell , Adam Butler

The variance-based method of global sensitivity indices based on Sobol sensitivity indices became very popular among practitioners due to its easiness of interpretation. For complex practical problems computation of Sobol indices generally…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-06-03 Sergei Kucherenko , Shufang Song

Variance-based sensitivity indices have established themselves as a reference among practitioners of sensitivity analysis of model outputs. A variance-based sensitivity analysis typically produces the first-order sensitivity indices $S_j$…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-03-02 Samuele Lo Piano , Federico Ferretti , Arnald Puy , Daniel Albrecht , Andrea Saltelli

We present the Multi-vAlue Rule Set (MARS) model for interpretable classification with feature efficient presentations. MARS introduces a more generalized form of association rules that allows multiple values in a condition. Rules of this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-10-17 Tong Wang

Visual attention helps achieve robust perception under noise, corruption, and distribution shifts in human vision, which are areas where modern neural networks still fall short. We present VARS, Visual Attention from Recurrent Sparse…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Baifeng Shi , Yale Song , Neel Joshi , Trevor Darrell , Xin Wang

This paper presents a simple noise correction method for Sobol' indices estimation. Sobol' indices, especially total Sobol' indices are quite sensitive to the noise in the output and tend to be severly biased (overestimated) if no noise…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-04-04 Pavel Prikhodko , Nikita Kotlyarov