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This article presents the MAGI software package for the inference of dynamic systems. The focus of MAGI is on dynamics modeled by nonlinear ordinary differential equations with unknown parameters. While such models are widely used in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-18 Samuel W. K. Wong , Shihao Yang , S. C. Kou

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs), commonly used to characterize the dynamic systems, are difficult to propose in closed-form for many complicated scientific applications, even with the help of domain expert. We propose a fast and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Chaofan Huang , Simin Ma , Shihao Yang

Identification of parameters in ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is an important and challenging task when modeling dynamic systems in biomedical research and other scientific areas, especially with the presence of time-varying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-02 Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) models are widely used to describe chemical or biological processes. This article considers the estimation and assessment of such models on the basis of time-course data. Due to experimental limitations,…

分子网络 · 定量生物学 2023-02-14 Samuel W. K. Wong , Shihao Yang , S. C. Kou

This work builds off the manifold-constrained Gaussian process inference (MAGI) method for Bayesian parameter inference and trajectory reconstruction of ODE-based dynamical systems, focusing primarily on sparse and noisy data conditions.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-04 Skyler Wu

The capture of changes in dynamic systems, especially ordinary differential equations (ODEs), is an important and challenging task, with multiple applications in biomedical research and other scientific areas. This article proposes a fast…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-11-20 Yan Sun , Yeping Wang , Zhaohui Li , Shihao Yang

Dynamic systems described by differential equations often involve feedback among system components. When there are time delays for components to sense and respond to feedback, delay differential equation (DDE) models are commonly used. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-24 Yuxuan Zhao , Samuel W. K. Wong

Parameter identification and comparison of dynamical systems is a challenging task in many fields. Bayesian approaches based on Gaussian process regression over time-series data have been successfully applied to infer the parameters of a…

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

We propose a fast probabilistic framework for identifying differential equations governing the dynamics of observed data. We recast the SINDy method within a Bayesian framework and use Gaussian approximations for the prior and likelihood to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-24 Lloyd Fung , Urban Fasel , Matthew P. Juniper

This paper is centered around the approximation of dynamical systems by means of Gaussian processes. To this end, trajectories of such systems must be collected to be used as training data. The measurements of these trajectories are…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-02 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

System inference for nonlinear dynamic models, represented by ordinary differential equations (ODEs), remains a significant challenge in many fields, particularly when the data are noisy, sparse, or partially observable. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-25 Hyunwoo Cho , Hyeontae Jo , Hyung Ju Hwang

One of the pivotal tasks in scientific machine learning is to represent underlying dynamical systems from time series data. Many methods for such dynamics learning explicitly require the derivatives of state data, which are not directly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-17 Dongwei Ye , Mengwu Guo

Parameter inference of dynamical systems is a challenging task faced by many researchers and practitioners across various fields. In many applications, it is common that only limited variables are observable. In this paper, we propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-01 Yu Chen , Jin Cheng , Arvind Gupta , Huaxiong Huang , Shixin Xu

We study time uncertainty-aware modeling of continuous-time dynamics of interacting objects. We introduce a new model that decomposes independent dynamics of single objects accurately from their interactions. By employing latent Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-13 Çağatay Yıldız , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch

Parameter estimation and trajectory reconstruction for data-driven dynamical systems governed by ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are essential tasks in fields such as biology, engineering, and physics. These inverse problems --…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-27 Jianhong Chen , Shihao Yang

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-03 Cuong Tran , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert Kopp

Parameter inference in ordinary differential equations is an important problem in many applied sciences and in engineering, especially in a data-scarce setting. In this work, we introduce a novel generative modeling approach based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-12-06 Philippe Wenk , Gabriele Abbati , Michael A Osborne , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause , Stefan Bauer

The identification of the constrained dynamics of mechanical systems is often challenging. Learning methods promise to ease an analytical analysis, but require considerable amounts of data for training. We propose to combine insights from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-16 A. Rene Geist , Sebastian Trimpe
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