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For a semimartingale with jumps, we propose a new estimation method for integrated volatility, i.e., the quadratic variation of the continuous martingale part, based on the global jump filter proposed by Inatsugu and Yoshida [8]. To decide…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-16 Haruhiko Inatsugu , Nakahiro Yoshida

The need for parameter estimation with massive datasets has reinvigorated interest in stochastic optimization and iterative estimation procedures. Stochastic approximations are at the forefront of this recent development as they yield…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-11-18 Panos Toulis , Thibaut Horel , Edoardo M. Airoldi

In this paper we propose a compositional framework for the construction of approximations of the interconnection of a class of stochastic hybrid systems. As special cases, this class of systems includes both jump linear stochastic systems…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-04-26 Majid Zamani , Matthias Rungger , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Recently-proposed particle MCMC methods provide a flexible way of performing Bayesian inference for parameters governing stochastic kinetic models defined as Markov (jump) processes (MJPs). Each iteration of the scheme requires an estimate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-05-19 Andrew Golightly , Daniel A. Henderson , Chris Sherlock

Bayesian inference in the presence of an intractable likelihood function is computationally challenging. When following a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach to approximate the posterior distribution in this context, one typically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-03 Johan Alenlöv , Arnaud Doucet , Fredrik Lindsten

In this work (Part I), we study three time-discretization procedures of the Dynamical Low-Rank Approximation (DLRA) of high-dimensional stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Specifically, we consider the Dynamically Orthogonal (DO)…

数值分析 · 数学 2026-01-30 Yoshihito Kazashi , Fabio Nobile , Fabio Zoccolan

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Designing efficient and rigorous numerical methods for sequential decision-making under uncertainty is a difficult problem that arises in many applications frameworks. In this paper we focus on the numerical solution of a subclass of…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-07 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta

This work proposes an adaptive sequential Monte Carlo sampling algorithm to solve Bayesian inverse problems in scenarios where likelihood evaluations are costly but can be approximated using a surrogate model built from previous evaluations…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Frederic Cerou , Patrick Heas , Mathias Rousset

This paper seeks an efficient algorithm for stochastic precoding to maximize the long-term average weighted sum rates throughout a multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) network. Unlike many existing works that assume a particular…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Wenyu Wang , Kaiming Shen

In this paper we prove large and moderate deviations principles for the recursive kernel estimators of a probability density function defined by the stochastic approximation algorithm introduced by Mokkadem et al. [2009. The stochastic…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-29 Yousri Slaoui

We present here a simple method for computing the large deviation of long time average for stochastic jump processes. We show that the computation of the rate function can be reduced to that of a partial differential equation governing the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2020-04-22 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

This paper deals with the identification of linear stochastic dynamical systems, where the unknowns include system coefficients and noise variances. Conventional approaches that rely on the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) require…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Jinwen Xu , Qin Lu , Yaakov Bar-Shalom

Using key tools such as It\^o formula for general semi-martingales, moments estimates for L\'{e}vy-type stochastic integrals and properties of regular varying functions we find conditions under which solutions of stochastic differential…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-09 I. Orlovskyi , F. Proske , O. Tymoshenko

We study the asymptotics for jump-penalized least squares regression aiming at approximating a regression function by piecewise constant functions. Besides conventional consistency and convergence rates of the estimates in $L^2([0,1))$ our…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-03-02 Leif Boysen , Angela Kempe , Volkmar Liebscher , Axel Munk , Olaf Wittich

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

概率论 · 数学 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-05-14 Alessandra Faggionato , Vittoria Silvestri

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre , Joseph Mikael

We consider the problem of efficiently performing simulation and inference for stochastic kinetic models. Whilst it is possible to work directly with the resulting Markov jump process, computational cost can be prohibitive for networks of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-18 Chris Sherlock , Andrew Golightly , Colin Gillespie

The pseudo-marginal algorithm is a popular variant of the Metropolis--Hastings scheme which allows us to sample asymptotically from a target probability density $\pi$, when we are only able to estimate an unnormalized version of $\pi$…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-20 George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet , Michael K. Pitt
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