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We propose a simple common framework for Risk-Limiting and Bayesian (polling) audits for two-candidate plurality elections. Using it, we derive an expression for the general Bayesian audit; in particular, we do not restrict the prior to a…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2019-08-06 Poorvi L. Vora

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are a significant tool in increasing confidence in the accuracy of elections. They consist of randomized algorithms which check that an election's vote tally, as reported by a vote tabulation system, corresponds…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-05-09 Bar Karov , Moni Naor

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) can provide routine, affirmative evidence that reported election outcomes are correct by checking a random sample of cast ballots. An efficient RLA requires checking relatively few ballots. Here we construct…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-10-16 Jacob Spertus

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are techniques for verifying the outcomes of large elections. While they provide rigorous guarantees of correctness, widespread adoption has been impeded by both efficiency concerns and the fact they offer…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2024-06-19 Benjamin Fuller , Rashmi Pai , Alexander Russell

Tabulation audits for an election provide statistical evidence that a reported contest outcome is "correct" (meaning that the tabulation of votes was properly performed), or else the tabulation audit determines the correct outcome. Stark…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2018-02-13 Ronald L. Rivest

We present a method and software for ballot-polling risk-limiting audits (RLAs) based on Bernoulli sampling: ballots are included in the sample with probability $p$, independently. Bernoulli sampling has several advantages: (1) it does not…

Accurately determining the outcome of an election is a complex task with many potential sources of error, ranging from software glitches in voting machines to procedural lapses to outright fraud. Risk-limiting audits (RLA) are statistically…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-11-16 Ian Waudby-Smith , Philip B. Stark , Aaditya Ramdas

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are post-election auditing procedures that rigorously guarantee a specified maximum probability that an incorrect electoral outcome will not be detected. Aside from ready access to physical ballots, known RLAs…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Benjamin Fuller , Abigail Harrison , Alexander Russell

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are an increasingly important method for checking that the reported outcome of an election is, in fact, correct. Indeed, their use is increasingly being legislated. While effective methods for RLAs have been…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-08-10 Michelle Blom , Peter J. Stuckey , Vanessa Teague , Damjan Vukcevic

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are rigorous statistical procedures meant to detect invalid election results. RLAs examine paper ballots cast during the election to statistically assess the possibility of a disagreement between the winner…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-12-23 Benjamin Fuller , Abigail Harrison , Alexander Russell

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) are expected to strengthen the public confidence in the correctness of an election outcome. We hypothesize that this is not always the case, in part because for large margins between the winner and the runner-up,…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2021-09-17 Asmita Dalela , Oksana Kulyk , Carsten Schürmann

U.S. elections rely heavily on computers such as voter registration databases, electronic pollbooks, voting machines, scanners, tabulators, and results reporting websites. These introduce digital threats to election outcomes. Risk-limiting…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-12-08 Amanda K. Glazer , Jacob V. Spertus , Philip B. Stark

Risk-limiting post election audits guarantee a high probability of correcting incorrect election results, independent of why the result was incorrect. Ballot-polling audits select ballots at random and interpret those ballots as evidence…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2019-10-30 Michelle Blom , Peter J. Stuckey , Vanessa Teague

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) for many social choice functions can be reduced to testing sets of null hypotheses of the form "the average of this list is not greater than 1/2" for a collection of finite lists of nonnegative numbers. Such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-26 Philip B. Stark

Instant-runoff voting (IRV) is used in several countries around the world. It requires voters to rank candidates in order of preference, and uses a counting algorithm that is more complex than systems such as first-past-the-post or scoring…

Single Transferable Vote (STV) elections are a principled approach to electing multiple candidates in a single election. Each ballot has a starting value of 1, and a candidate is elected if they gather a total vote value more than a defined…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-12-03 Michelle Blom , Peter J. Stuckey , Vanessa Teague , Damjan Vukcevic

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs), an ingredient in evidence-based elections, are increasingly common. They are a rigorous statistical means of ensuring that electoral results are correct, usually without having to perform an expensive full…

Risk-limiting audits (RLAs) offer a statistical guarantee: if a full manual tally of the paper ballots would show that the reported election outcome is wrong, an RLA has a known minimum chance of leading to a full manual tally. RLAs…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-09-13 Kellie Ottoboni , Philip B. Stark , Mark Lindeman , Neal McBurnett

A Risk-Limiting Audit (RLA) is a statistical election tabulation audit with a rigorous error guarantee. We present ballot polling RLA PROVIDENCE, an audit with the efficiency of MINERVA and flexibility of BRAVO. We prove that PROVIDENCE is…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Oliver Broadrick , Poorvi L. Vora , Filip Zagórski

BRAVO, the most widely tried method for risk-limiting election audits, cannot accommodate sampling without replacement or stratified sampling, which can improve efficiency and may be required by law. It applies only to ballot-polling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-15 Philip B. Stark
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