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Ensembles of decision trees are a useful tool for obtaining for obtaining flexible estimates of regression functions. Examples of these methods include gradient boosted decision trees, random forests, and Bayesian CART. Two potential…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-18 Antonio Ricardo Linero , Yun Yang

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a popular Bayesian non-parametric regression model that is commonly used in causal inference and beyond. Its strong predictive performance is supported by well-developed estimation theory,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Yan Shuo Tan , Omer Ronen , Theo Saarinen , Bin Yu

Although it is an extremely effective, easy-to-use, and increasingly popular tool for nonparametric regression, the Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) model is limited by the fact that it can only produce discontinuous output.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-08 Ryan Yee , Soham Ghosh , Sameer K. Deshpande

We present a Bayesian nonparametric model for conditional distribution estimation using Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). The generative model we use is based on rejection sampling from a base model. Typical of BART models, our…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-02 Yinpu Li , Antonio R. Linero , Jared S. Murray

Since their inception in the 1980's, regression trees have been one of the more widely used non-parametric prediction methods. Tree-structured methods yield a histogram reconstruction of the regression surface, where the bins correspond to…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-17 Veronika Rockova , Stephanie van der Pas

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) (Chipman et. al., 2010) is a powerful predictive model that often outperforms alternative models at out-of-sample prediction. BART is especially well-suited to settings with unstructured predictor…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-15 Jingyu He , Saar Yalov , P. Richard Hahn

We develop a Bayesian "sum-of-trees" model where each tree is constrained by a regularization prior to be a weak learner, and fitting and inference are accomplished via an iterative Bayesian backfitting MCMC algorithm that generates samples…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-10-08 Hugh A. Chipman , Edward I. George , Robert E. McCulloch

Distribution regression, where the goal is to predict a scalar response from a distribution-valued predictor, arises naturally in settings where observations are grouped and outcomes depend on group-level characteristics rather than on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Antonio R. Linero , Soumyabrata Bose , Jared Murray

Motivated by the remarkable success of Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) in regression modelling, we propose a novel nonparametric Bayesian method, termed Functional BART (FBART), tailored specifically for function-on-scalar…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-03 Jiahao Cao , Shiyuan He , Bohai Zhang

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a tree-based machine learning method that has been successfully applied to regression and classification problems. BART assumes regularisation priors on a set of trees that work as weak learners…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Estevão B. Prado , Rafael A. Moral , Andrew C. Parnell

The Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) model is an ensemble method extensively and successfully used in regression tasks due to its consistently strong predictive performance and its ability to quantify uncertainty. BART combines…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-18 Mateus Maia , Keefe Murphy , Andrew C. Parnell

BART (Bayesian Additive Regression Trees) has become increasingly popular as a flexible and scalable nonparametric regression approach for modern applied statistics problems. For the practitioner dealing with large and complex nonlinear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-11 Matthew Pratola , Hugh Chipman , Edward George , Robert McCulloch

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a fully Bayesian approach to modeling with ensembles of trees. BART can uncover complex regression functions with high dimensional regressors in a fairly automatic way and provide Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-11 Edward George , Prakash Laud , Brent Logan , Robert McCulloch , Rodney Sparapani

Many real-life applications involve estimation of curves that exhibit complicated shapes including jumps or varying-frequency oscillations. Practical methods have been devised that can adapt to a locally varying complexity of an unknown…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-28 Veronika Rockova , Judith Rousseau

Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) are popular Bayesian ensemble models used in regression and classification analysis. Under this modeling framework, the regression function is approximated by an ensemble of decision trees,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Marco Battiston , Yu Luo

We incorporate heteroskedasticity into Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) by modeling the log of the error variance parameter as a linear function of prespecified covariates. Under this scheme, the Gibbs sampling procedure for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-24 Justin Bleich , Adam Kapelner

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a powerful statistical model that leverages the strengths of Bayesian inference and regression trees. It has received significant attention for capturing complex non-linear relationships and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Seokhun Park , Insung Kong , Yongdai Kim

Vector autoregression (VAR) models are widely used for forecasting and macroeconomic analysis, yet they remain limited by their reliance on a linear parameterization. Recent research has introduced nonparametric alternatives, such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Pedro A. Lima , Carlos M. Carvalho , Hedibert F. Lopes , Andrew Herren

Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a flexible machine learning algorithm capable of capturing nonlinearities between an outcome and covariates and interaction among covariates. We extend BART to a semiparametric regression…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-06-13 Bret Zeldow , Vincent Lo Re , Jason Roy

Regression discontinuity designs (RDD) are widely used for causal inference. In many empirical applications, treatment effects vary substantially with covariates, and ignoring such heterogeneity can lead to misleading conclusions, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Daisuke Kondo , Shonosuke Sugasawa
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