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By means of the Malliavin calculus, integral representations for the likelihood function and for the derivative of the log-likelihood function are given for a model based on discrete time observations of the solution to equation…

概率论 · 数学 2013-08-13 D. O. Ivanenko , A. M. Kulik

A probability forecast or probabilistic classifier is reliable or calibrated if the predicted probabilities are matched by ex post observed frequencies, as examined visually in reliability diagrams. The classical binning and counting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-26 Timo Dimitriadis , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander I. Jordan

The problem of error correction for Gallager's low-density parity-check codes is famously equivalent to that of computing marginal Boltzmann probabilities for an Ising-like model with multispin interactions in a non-uniform magnetic field.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-11-03 Marco Pretti

We describe a stochastic, dynamical system capable of inference and learning in a probabilistic latent variable model. The most challenging problem in such models - sampling the posterior distribution over latent variables - is proposed to…

We study the mixing properties of an important optimization algorithm of machine learning: the stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD) with a fixed step size. The data stream is not assumed to be independent hence the SGLD is not a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Attila Lovas , Miklós Rásonyi

Many living and complex systems exhibit second order emergent dynamics. Limited experimental access to the configurational degrees of freedom results in data that appears to be generated by a non-Markovian process. This poses a challenge in…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-07-29 Federica Ferretti , Victor Chardès , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak , Irene Giardina

The increasing availability of data presents an opportunity to calibrate unknown parameters which appear in complex models of phenomena in the biomedical, physical and social sciences. However, model complexity often leads to…

Modeling the relationship between vehicle speed and density on the road is a fundamental problem in traffic flow theory. Recent research found that using the least-squares (LS) method to calibrate single-regime speed-density models is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-01-18 Zhanhong Cheng , Xudong Wang , Xinyuan Chen , Martin Trepanier , Lijun Sun

A canonical algorithm for log-concave sampling is the Langevin Algorithm, aka the Langevin Diffusion run with some discretization stepsize $\eta > 0$. This discretization leads the Langevin Algorithm to have a stationary distribution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-22 Jason M. Altschuler , Kunal Talwar

Modern imaging methods rely strongly on Bayesian inference techniques to solve challenging imaging problems. Currently, the predominant Bayesian computation approach is convex optimisation, which scales very efficiently to high dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-12-23 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Marcelo Pereyra

We consider locally checkable labeling LCL problems in the LOCAL model of distributed computing. Since 2016, there has been a substantial body of work examining the possible complexities of LCL problems. For example, it has been established…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 Yi-Jun Chang

For reproducing the anomalous -- i.e., sub- or super-diffusive -- behavior in some stochastic dynamical systems, the Generalized Langevin Equation (GLE) has gained considerable popularity in recent years. Motivated by the question whether…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2010-02-05 Debabrata Panja

Nonlinear, multiplicative Langevin equations for a complete set of slow variables in equilibrium systems are generally derived on the basis of the separation of time scales. The form of the equations is universal and equivalent to that…

统计力学 · 物理学 2017-03-07 Masato Itami , Shin-ichi Sasa

A positive representation for a set of complex densities is constructed. In particular, complex measures on a direct product of U(1) groups are studied. After identifying general conditions which such representations should satisfy, several…

高能物理 - 格点 · 物理学 2018-04-18 Erhard Seiler , Jacek Wosiek

Underdamped Langevin Monte Carlo (ULMC) is an algorithm used to sample from unnormalized densities by leveraging the momentum of a particle moving in a potential well. We provide a novel analysis of ULMC, motivated by two central questions:…

The standard efficient testing procedures in the Generalized Inverse Gaussian (GIG) family (also known as Halphen Type A family) are likelihood ratio tests, hence rely on Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimation of the three parameters of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-23 Angelo Efoevi Koudou , Christophe Ley

Capturing the correct dynamics at the Coarse-Grained (CG) scale remains a central challenge in the advancement of systematic CG models for soft matter simulations. The Generalized Langevin Equation (GLE), rooted in the Mori-Zwanzig…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2024-10-14 Jinu Jeong , Ishan Nadkarni , Narayana. R. Aluru

We develop a class of interacting particle systems for implementing a maximum marginal likelihood estimation (MMLE) procedure to estimate the parameters of a latent variable model. We achieve this by formulating a continuous-time…

Stochastic differential equations of Langevin-diffusion form have received significant attention, thanks to their foundational role in both Bayesian sampling algorithms and optimization in machine learning. In the latter, they serve as a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-05-14 Fabio V. Difonzo , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Jakub Marecek

Sampling from distributions play a crucial role in aiding practitioners with statistical inference. However, in numerous situations, obtaining exact samples from complex distributions is infeasible. Consequently, researchers often turn to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Tiefeng Jiang