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Optimizing doses for multiple indications is challenging. The pooled approach of finding a single optimal biological dose (OBD) for all indications ignores that dose-response or dose-toxicity curves may differ between indications, resulting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-07 Shuqi Wang , Peter F. Thall , Kentaro Takeda , Ying Yuan

Multi-arm multi-stage (MAMS) trials have gained popularity to enhance the efficiency of clinical trials, potentially reducing both duration and costs. This paper focuses on designing MAMS trials where no control treatment exists. This can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Peter Greenstreet , Thomas Jaki , Alun Bedding , Pavel Mozgunov

In clinical studies upon which decisions are based there are two types of errors that can be made: a type I error arises when the decision is taken to declare a positive outcome when the truth is in fact negative, and a type II error arises…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-19 Andrew P Grieve

In healthcare, clinical risks are crucial for treatment decisions, yet the analysis of their associations is often overlooked. This gap is particularly significant when balancing risks that are weighed against each other, as in the case of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-03 Yajie Duan , Javier Cabrera , Davit Sargsyan

The reliability of clinical trial outcomes is crucial, especially in guiding medical decisions. In this paper, we introduce the Fragility Index (FI) for time-to-event endpoints in single-arm clinical trials - a novel metric designed to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Arnab Kumar Maity , Jhanvi Garg , Cynthia Basu

We propose a frequentist adaptive phase 2 trial design to evaluate the safety and efficacy of three treatment regimens (doses) compared to placebo for four types of helminth (worm) infections. This trial will be carried out in four…

Platform trials can evaluate the efficacy of several treatments compared to a control. The number of treatments is not fixed, as arms may be added or removed as the trial progresses. Platform trials are more efficient than independent…

When an experimenter has the option of running an adaptive trial, is it admissible to ignore this option and run a non-adaptive trial instead? We provide a negative answer to this question in the best-arm identification problem, where the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-06 Guido Imbens , Chao Qin , Stefan Wager

Most Bayesian response-adaptive designs unbalance randomization rates towards the most promising arms with the goal of increasing the number of positive treatment outcomes during the study, even though the primary aim of the trial is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-07-02 Steffen Ventz , Matteo Cellamare , Sergio Bacallado , Lorenzo Trippa

Phase I-II cancer clinical trial designs are intended to accelerate drug development. In cases where efficacy cannot be ascertained in a short period of time, it is common to divide the study in two stages: i) a first stage in which dose is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-13 José L. Jiménez , Mourad Tighiouart

We consider treatment-effect estimation with a two-periods panel, where units are untreated at period one, and receive strictly positive doses at period two. First, we consider designs with some quasi-untreated units, with a period-two dose…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-02 Clément de Chaisemartin , Diego Ciccia , Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Felix Knau

Measurement error is a common challenge for causal inference studies using electronic health record (EHR) data, where clinical outcomes and treatments are frequently mismeasured. Researchers often address measurement error by conducting…

For a trial with primary endpoint overall survival for a molecule with curative potential, statistical methods that rely on the proportional hazards assumption may underestimate the power and the time to final analysis. We show how a cure…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-04-17 Kaspar Rufibach , Dominik Heinzmann , Annabelle Monnet

Platform trials evaluate multiple experimental treatments against a common control group (and/or against each other), which often reduces the trial duration and sample size. Bayesian platform designs offer several practical advantages,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Luke Hagar , Lara Maleyeff , Shirin Golchi , Dick Menzies

The purpose of this paper is to investigate and develop methods for analysis of multi-center randomized clinical trials which only rely on the randomization process as a basis of inference. Our motivation is prompted by the fact that most…

应用统计 · 统计学 2008-07-28 Lu Zheng , Marvin Zelen

Multi-Arm, Multi-Stage (MAMS) clinical trial designs allow for multiple therapies to be compared across a spectrum of clinical trial phases. MAMS designs can be categorized into several overarching design groups, including adaptive designs…

Clinical trials with a hybrid control arm (a control arm constructed from a combination of randomized patients and real-world data on patients receiving usual care in standard clinical practice) have the potential to decrease the cost of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-20 Joanna Harton , Brian Segal , Ronac Mamtani , Nandita Mitra , Rebecca Hubbard

Estimating the effects of interventions on patient outcome is one of the key aspects of personalized medicine. Their inference is often challenged by the fact that the training data comprises only the outcome for the administered treatment,…

It is generally appreciated that a frequentist analysis of a group sequential trial must in order to avoid inflating type I error account for the fact that one or more interim analyses were performed. It is also to a lesser extent realised…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-12 Simon Bang Kristensen , Erik Thorlund Parner

High-dimensional biomarkers such as genomics are increasingly being measured in randomized clinical trials. Consequently, there is a growing interest in developing methods that improve the power to detect biomarker-treatment interactions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-04-30 Jixiong Wang , Ashish Patel , James M. S. Wason , Paul J. Newcombe