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Selecting the optimal Markowitz porfolio depends on estimating the covariance matrix of the returns of $N$ assets from $T$ periods of historical data. Problematically, $N$ is typically of the same order as $T$, which makes the sample…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-29 Raj Agrawal , Uma Roy , Caroline Uhler

We consider the problem of large-scale inference on the row or column variables of data in the form of a matrix. Often this data is transposable, meaning that both the row variables and column variables are of potential interest. An example…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-13 Genevera I. Allen , Robert Tibshirani

Covariance matrices are important tools for obtaining reliable parameter constraints. Advancements in cosmological surveys lead to larger data vectors and, consequently, increasingly complex covariance matrices, whose number of elements…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-05-31 Tassia Ferreira , Valerio Marra

Modern datasets are often in the form of matrices or arrays,potentially having correlations along each set of data indices. For example, data involving repeated measurements of several variables over time may exhibit temporal correlation as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-08-13 Peter D. Hoff

Signatures of universality are detected by comparing individual eigenvalue distributions and level spacings from financial covariance matrices to random matrix predictions. A chopping procedure is devised in order to produce a statistical…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-13 Gernot Akemann , Jonit Fischmann , Pierpaolo Vivo

The comovement phenomenon in financial markets creates decision scenarios with positively correlated asset returns. This paper addresses covariance matrix estimation under such conditions, motivated by observations of significant positive…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-03 Weilong Liu , Yanchu Liu

In the field of statistical learning and data analysis, estimating precision matrices (i.e., the inverse of covariance matrices) is a critical task, particularly for understanding dependency structures among variables. However, traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Zhongfeng Qin , Hao Xu , Wenhao Cui , Wan Tian

Precision matrices play important roles in many practical applications. Motivated by temporally dependent multivariate data in modern social and scientific studies, we consider the statistical inference of precision matrices for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-21 Jinyuan Chang , Yumou Qiu , Qiwei Yao , Tao Zou

Covariance matrix estimation is a fundamental statistical task in many applications, but the sample covariance matrix is sub-optimal when the sample size is comparable to or less than the number of features. Such high-dimensional settings…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-06 Huiqin Xin , Sihai Dave Zhao

We investigate the relationship between the structure of a discrete graphical model and the support of the inverse of a generalized covariance matrix. We show that for certain graph structures, the support of the inverse covariance matrix…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-01-07 Po-Ling Loh , Martin J. Wainwright

We place ourselves in the setting of high-dimensional statistical inference, where the number of variables $p$ in a data set of interest is of the same order of magnitude as the number of observations $n$. More formally, we study the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-11 Noureddine El Karoui

Markowitz's optimal portfolio relies on the accurate estimation of correlations between asset returns, a difficult problem when the number of observations is not much larger than the number of assets. Using powerful results from random…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-10-24 Tomas Espana , Victor Le Coz , Matteo Smerlak

Estimation of covariance matrices or their inverses plays a central role in many statistical methods. For these methods to work reliably, estimated matrices must not only be invertible but also well-conditioned. In this paper we present an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-06 Eric C. Chi , Kenneth Lange

Many financial and economic variables, including financial returns, exhibit nonlinear dependence, heterogeneity and heavy-tailedness. These properties may make problematic the analysis of (non-)efficiency and volatility clustering in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-01 Rustam Ibragimov , Rasmus Pedersen , Anton Skrobotov

There has been an increasing interest in testing the equality of large Pearson's correlation matrices. However, in many applications it is more important to test the equality of large rank-based correlation matrices since they are more…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-02 Cheng Zhou , Fang Han , Xinsheng Zhang , Han Liu

We study the problem of recovering the structure underlying large Gaussian graphical models or, more generally, partial correlation graphs. In high-dimensional problems it is often too costly to store the entire sample covariance matrix. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-13 Gábor Lugosi , Jakub Truszkowski , Vasiliki Velona , Piotr Zwiernik

Testing covariance structure is of importance in many areas of statistical analysis, such as microarray analysis and signal processing. Conventional tests for finite-dimensional covariance cannot be applied to high-dimensional data in…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-10-31 Rongmao Zhang , Liang Peng , Ruodu Wang

A new methodology has been introduced to clean the correlation matrix of single stocks returns based on a constrained principal component analysis using financial data. Portfolios were introduced, namely "Fundamental Maximum Variance…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-01-27 Sebastien Valeyre

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

Monte Carlo Approaches for calculating Value-at-Risk (VaR) are powerful tools widely used by financial risk managers across the globe. However, they are time consuming and sometimes inaccurate. In this paper, a fast and accurate Monte Carlo…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-17 Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi , Hamidreza Arian