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The multivariate Hawkes process is a past-dependent point process used to model the relationship of event occurrences between different phenomena.Although the Hawkes process was originally introduced to describe excitation effects, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-30 Anna Bonnet , Miguel Martinez Herrera , Maxime Sangnier

We introduce a nonlinear modification of the classical Hawkes process, which allows inhibitory couplings between units without restrictions. The resulting system of interacting point processes provides a useful mathematical model for…

概率论 · 数学 2009-11-03 Stefano Cardanobile , Stefan Rotter

Hawkes processes are a class of point processes that have the ability to model the self- and mutual-exciting phenomena. Although the classic Hawkes processes cover a wide range of applications, their expressive ability is limited due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-10 Feng Zhou , Quyu Kong , Yixuan Zhang , Cheng Feng , Jun Zhu

In this work, we propose to catch the complexity of the membrane potential's dynamic of a motoneuron between its spikes, taking into account the spikes from other neurons around. Our approach relies on two types of data: extracellular…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-03 Anna Bonnet , Charlotte Dion , François Gindraud , Sarah Lemler

In classical Hawkes process, the baseline intensity and triggering kernel are assumed to be a constant and parametric function respectively, which limits the model flexibility. To generalize it, we present a fully Bayesian nonparametric…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-30 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

The Hawkes process (HP) has been widely applied to modeling self-exciting events including neuron spikes, earthquakes and tweets. To avoid designing parametric triggering kernel and to be able to quantify the prediction confidence, the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-05 Rui Zhang , Christian Walder , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu

We consider the problem of learning the network of mutual excitations (i.e., the dependency graph) in a non-stationary, multivariate Hawkes process. We consider a general setting where baseline rates at each node are time-varying and delay…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-21 Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

The Hawkes process (HP) is commonly used to model event sequences with self-reinforcing dynamics, including electronic health records (EHRs). Traditional HPs capture self-reinforcement via parametric impact functions that can be inspected…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-23 Yuankang Zhao , Matthew Engelhard

The present paper provides exact mathematical expressions for the high-order moments of spiking activity in a recurrently-connected network of linear Hawkes processes. It extends previous studies that have explored the case of a (linear)…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2019-12-17 Matthieu Gilson , Jean-Pascal Pfister

Networks capture our intuition about relationships in the world. They describe the friendships between Facebook users, interactions in financial markets, and synapses connecting neurons in the brain. These networks are richly structured…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-07-14 Scott W. Linderman , Ryan P. Adams

In this paper, we consider the sigmoid Gaussian Hawkes process model: the baseline intensity and triggering kernel of Hawkes process are both modeled as the sigmoid transformation of random trajectories drawn from Gaussian processes (GP).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-30 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

Traditionally, Hawkes processes are used to model time--continuous point processes with history dependence. Here we propose an extended model where the self--effects are of both excitatory and inhibitory type and follow a Gaussian Process.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-05-21 Noa Malem-Shinitski , Cesar Ojeda , Manfred Opper

We introduce the Hyperedge-triggered Hawkes (HTH) process for inferring higher-order interaction structure in multi-cellular systems from asynchronous event-time data. Beyond standard pairwise excitation, the HTH intensity includes a term…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Zihan Xu

In this paper, we build a model for biological neural nets where the activity of the network is described by Hawkes processes having a variable length memory. The particularity of this paper is to deal with an infinite number of components.…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-18 Pierre Hodara , Eva Löcherbach

Multivariate Hawkes processes are past-dependant point processes originally introduced to model excitation effects, later extended to a nonlinear framework to account for the opposite effect, known as inhibition. Motivated by applications…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Sacha Quayle , Anna Bonnet , Maxime Sangnier

We consider a nonlinear multivariate Hawkes process having a variable length memory which allows to describe the activity of a neuronal network by its membrane potential. We propose a graphical construction of the process and we construct,…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Branda Goncalves , Paul Gresland

Fueled in part by recent applications in neuroscience, the multivariate Hawkes process has become a popular tool for modeling the network of interactions among high-dimensional point process data. While evaluating the uncertainty of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-16 Xu Wang , Mladen Kolar , Ali Shojaie

We propose a simulation method for multidimensional Hawkes processes based on superposition theory of point processes. This formulation allows us to design efficient simulations for Hawkes processes with differing exponentially decaying…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Kar Wai Lim , Young Lee , Leif Hanlen , Hongbiao Zhao

We propose a novel probabilistic framework to model continuous-time interaction events data. Our goal is to infer the \emph{implicit} community structure underlying the temporal interactions among entities, and also to exploit how the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-06-24 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

The Hawkes process is a class of point processes whose future depends on their own history. Previous theoretical work on the Hawkes process is limited to a special case in which a past event can only increase the occurrence of future…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-21 Shizhe Chen , Ali Shojaie , Eric Shea-Brown , Daniela Witten
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