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Statistical inference about the average effect in random-effects meta-analysis has been considered insufficient in the presence of substantial between-study heterogeneity. Predictive distributions are well-suited for quantifying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-16 David Kronthaler , Leonhard Held

For reinforcement learning in data-scarce domains like real-world robotics, intensive data reuse enhances efficiency but induces overfitting. While prior works focus on critic bias, representation-level instability in Self-Predictive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Sanghyeob Song , Donghyeok Lee , Jinsik Kim , Sungroh Yoon

Assessing heterogeneous treatment effects has become a growing interest in advancing precision medicine. Individualized treatment effects (ITE) play a critical role in such an endeavor. Concerning experimental data collected from randomized…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-07-23 Xiaogang Su , Annette T. Peña , Lei Liu , Richard A. Levine

Stepwise regression building procedures are commonly used applied statistical tools, despite their well-known drawbacks. While many of their limitations have been widely discussed in the literature, other aspects of the use of individual…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-07-16 Sherri Rose , Thomas G. McGuire

Individualizing treatment assignment can improve outcomes for diseases with patient-to-patient variability in comparative treatment effects. When a clinical trial demonstrates that some patients improve on treatment while others do not, it…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-02 Nina Galanter , Marco Carone , Ronald C. Kessler , Alex Luedtke

Precision medicine involves developing individualized treatment regimes (ITRs) which allow for treatment decisions to be tailored to patient characteristics. Naturally, the identification of the optimal regime, that is, the rule which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-30 Misha Dolmatov , Erica E. M. Moodie , David A. Stephens , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay

This paper presents an inference method for the local average treatment effect (LATE) in the presence of high-dimensional covariates, regardless of the strength of identification. We propose an orthogonalized Anderson-Rubin test statistic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Yukun Ma

Given a dataset of individuals each described by a covariate vector, a treatment, and an observed outcome on the treatment, the goal of the individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation task is to predict outcome changes resulting from a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Lokesh Nagalapatti , Pranava Singhal , Avishek Ghosh , Sunita Sarawagi

Randomization tests are a popular method for testing causal effects in clinical trials with finite-sample validity. In the presence of heterogeneous treatment effects, it is often of interest to select a subgroup that benefits from the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Zijun Gao

In this paper, we develop inference methods for the distribution of heterogeneous individual treatment effects (ITEs) in the nonseparable triangular model with a binary endogenous treatment and a binary instrument of Vuong and Xu (2017) and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-22 Jun Ma , Vadim Marmer , Zhengfei Yu

We consider the estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects with arbitrary machine learning methods in the presence of unobserved confounders with the aid of a valid instrument. Such settings arise in A/B tests with an intent-to-treat…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-06-07 Vasilis Syrgkanis , Victor Lei , Miruna Oprescu , Maggie Hei , Keith Battocchi , Greg Lewis

Radiologists highly desire fully automated AI for radiology report generation (R2G), yet existing approaches fall short in clinical utility. Reinforcement learning (RL) holds potential to address these shortcomings, but its adoption in this…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Zilin Lu , Ruifeng Yuan , Weiwei Cao , Wanxing Chang , Zhongyu Wei , Sinuo Wang , Yong Xia , Ling Zhang , Jianpeng Zhang

We propose new, optimal methods for analyzing randomized trials, when it is suspected that treatment effects may differ in two predefined subpopulations. Such sub-populations could be defined by a biomarker or risk factor measured at…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-26 Michael Rosenblum , Han Liu , and En-Hsu Yen

Isotonic regression is a nonparametric approach for fitting monotonic models to data that has been widely studied from both theoretical and practical perspectives. However, this approach encounters computational and statistical overfitting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-21 Ronny Luss , Saharon Rosset , Moni Shahar

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are often underpowered to detect treatment heterogeneity in subgroups defined by cross-classifications of multiple covariates, due to sparse sample sizes in some strata. External RCT data can help, but…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-23 Youqi Yang , Walter Dempsey , Bhramar Mukherjee

Empirical studies using Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often explore heterogeneous treatment effects based on pretreatment covariates, even though no formal statistical methods exist for such analyses. This has led to the widespread…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-08 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Filippo Palomba , Rocio Titiunik

In the new era of personalization, learning the heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) becomes an inevitable trend with numerous applications. Yet, most existing HTE estimation methods focus on independently and identically distributed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-31 Ye Shen , Runzhe Wan , Hengrui Cai , Rui Song

When using observational causal models, practitioners often want to disentangle the effects of many related, partially-overlapping treatments. Examples include estimating treatment effects of different marketing touchpoints, ordering…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-03 Enes Dilber , Colin Gray

Estimation of average treatment effects on the treated (ATT) is an important topic of causal inference in econometrics and statistics. This problem seems to be often treated as a simple modification or extension of that of estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-07 Heng Shu , Zhiqiang Tan

Rgbp is an R package that provides estimates and verifiable confidence intervals for random effects in two-level conjugate hierarchical models for overdispersed Gaussian, Poisson, and Binomial data. Rgbp models aggregate data from k…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-23 Hyungsuk Tak , Joseph Kelly , Carl N. Morris
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