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Infectious or contagious diseases can be transmitted from one person to another through social contact networks. In today's interconnected global society, such contagion processes can cause global public health hazards, as exemplified by…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2020-07-30 Anirban Dasgupta , Srijan Sengupta

The spreading dynamics of infectious diseases is influenced by individual behaviours, which are in turn affected by the level of awareness about the epidemic. Modelling the co-evolution of disease transmission and behavioural changes within…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-27 Daniele Proverbio , Riccardo Tessarin , Giulia Giordano

Social dilemmas where the good of a group is at odds with individual interests are usually considered as static -- the dilemma does not change over time. In the COVID-19 pandemic, social dilemmas occurred in the mitigation of epidemic…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-10-31 Lucas S. Flores , Amanda de Azevedo-Lopes , Chadi M. Saad-Roy , Arne Traulsen

During the COVID-19 pandemic, case isolation emerged as a key non-pharmaceutical intervention in pandemic response. Its effectiveness hinges on the timing of isolation, which is often dictated by the onset of contagiousness. While…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-02-03 Jiahao Diao , Rebecca H. Chisholm , Nicholas Geard , James M. McCaw

The outbreak of COVID-19 within the last two years has resulted in much further investigation into the safety of large events that involve a gathering of people. This study aims to investigate how COVID-19 can spread through a large crowd…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-11-02 Braxton Rolle , Ravi Kiran

In the Staged Progression (SP) epidemic models, infected individuals are classified into a suitable number of states. The goal of these models is to describe as closely as possible the effect of differences in infectiousness exhibited by…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-02-08 Luis Sanz-Lorenzo , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic calls for a multi-faceted public health response comprising complementary interventions to control the spread of the disease while vaccines and therapies are developed. Many of these interventions need to be…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-08-24 Andres Colubri , Kailash Yadav , Abhishek Jha , Pardis C. Sabeti

The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-05-15 Ka Yin Leung , Frank Ball , David Sirl , Tom Britton

Residential colleges and universities face unique challenges in providing in-person instruction during the COVID-19 pandemic. Administrators are currently faced with decisions about whether to open during the pandemic and what modifications…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-22 Philip T. Gressman , Jennifer R. Peck

During the COVID-19 pandemic, the behavioral response to reported case numbers changed drastically over time. While a few dozen cases were enough to trigger government-induced and voluntary contact reduction in early 2020, less than a year…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-09-27 Bastian Heinlein , Manlio De Domenico

Analytical descriptions of patterns concerning spread and fatality during an epidemic, covering natural as well as restriction periods, are important for reducing damage. We employ a scaling model to investigate this aspect in the real data…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-10-25 Subir K. Das

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all countries of the world producing a substantial number of fatalities accompanied by a major disruption in their social, financial, and educational organization. The strict disciplinary measures…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-28 G. D. Barmparis , G. P. Tsironis

Social distancing as one of the main non-pharmaceutical interventions can help slow down the spread of diseases, like in the COVID-19 pandemic. Effective social distancing, unless enforced as drastic lockdowns and mandatory cordon…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-30 Alina Glaubitz , Feng Fu

Major advances in public health have resulted from disease prevention. However, prevention of a new infectious disease by vaccination or pharmaceuticals is made difficult by the slow process of vaccine and drug development. We propose an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-04-15 Jussi Taipale , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sten Linnarsson

This paper combines a canonical epidemiology model of disease dynamics with government policy of lockdown and testing, and agents' decision to social distance in order to avoid getting infected. The model is calibrated with data on deaths…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-02-10 Shomak Chakrabarti , Ilia Krasikov , Rohit Lamba

More and more countries show a significant slowdown in the number of new COVID-19 infections due to effective governmentally instituted lockdown and social distancing measures. We have analyzed the growth behavior of the top 25 most…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-04-09 H. M. Singer

The spreading of virus infection is here simulated over artificial human networks. Here, the real-space urban life of people is modeled as a scale-free network with constraints. A scale-free network has been adopted for modeling on-line…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-04-30 Yukio Ohsawa

Pandemic control measures like lock-down, restrictions on restaurants and gatherings, social-distancing have shown to be effective in curtailing the spread of COVID-19. However, their sustained enforcement has negative economic effects. To…

Since the World Health Organization announced the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, curbing the spread of the virus has become an international priority. It has greatly affected people's lifestyles. In this article, we observe and analyze…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2021-10-06 Yuxuan Yang , Maiko Shigeno

The COVID-19 pandemic offers an unprecedented natural experiment providing insights into the emergence of collective behavioral changes of both exogenous (government mandated) and endogenous (spontaneous reaction to infection risks) origin.…