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Despite the rise to fame of incremental variance-reduced methods in recent years, their use in nonsmooth optimization is still limited to few simple cases. This is due to the fact that existing methods require to evaluate the proximity…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-01-28 Fabian Pedregosa , Kilian Fatras , Mattia Casotto

The popularity of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), a risk functional from finance, has been growing in the control systems community due to its intuitive interpretation and axiomatic foundation. We consider a nonstandard optimal control…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-06-22 Margaret P. Chapman , Michael Fauss , Kevin M. Smith

We study risk-sensitive planning under partial observability using the dynamic risk measure Iterated Conditional Value-at-Risk (ICVaR). A policy evaluation algorithm for ICVaR is developed with finite-time performance guarantees that do not…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Yaacov Pariente , Vadim Indelman

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a widely used risk metric in applications such as finance. We derive concentration bounds for CVaR estimates, considering separately the cases of light-tailed and heavy-tailed distributions. In the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-08-27 Prashanth L. A. , Krishna Jagannathan , Ravi Kumar Kolla

CoVaR (conditional value-at-risk) is a crucial measure for assessing financial systemic risk, which is defined as a conditional quantile of a random variable, conditioned on other random variables reaching specific quantiles. It enables the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-10-31 Weihuan Huang

We revisit the sample average approximation (SAA) approach for non-convex stochastic programming. We show that applying the SAA approach to problems with expected value equality constraints does not necessarily result in asymptotic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-07-16 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone

The global financial crisis of 2007-2009 highlighted the crucial role systemic risk plays in ensuring stability of financial markets. Accurate assessment of systemic risk would enable regulators to introduce suitable policies to mitigate…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-03 Natalia Nolde , Chen Zhou , Menglin Zhou

This paper addresses risk averse constrained optimization problems where the objective and constraint functions can only be computed by a blackbox subject to unknown uncertainties. To handle mixed aleatory/epistemic uncertainties, the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-10-18 Charles Audet , Jean Bigeon , Romain Couderc , Michael Kokkolaras

Nonlinear Programs (NLPs) are prevalent in optimization-based control of nonlinear systems. Solving general NLPs is computationally expensive, necessitating the development of fast hardware or tractable suboptimal approximations. This paper…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-06-05 Leila Gharavi , Changrui Liu , Bart De Schutter , Simone Baldi

Spatial autoregressive (SAR) models are important tools for studying network effects. However, with an increasing emphasis on data privacy, data providers often implement privacy protection measures that make classical SAR models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-30 Danyang Huang , Ziyi Kong , Shuyuan Wu , Hansheng Wang

Optimizing Conditional Value-at-risk (CVaR) using policy gradient (a.k.a CVaR-PG) faces significant challenges of sample inefficiency. This inefficiency stems from the fact that it focuses on tail-end performance and overlooks many sampled…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Yudong Luo , Erick Delage

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been employed for a range of modelling and prediction tasks using financial data. However, evidence on their predictive performance, especially for time-series data, has been mixed. Whereas some…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-05-17 Philipp Ratz

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a leading tail-risk measure in finance, central to both regulatory and portfolio optimization frameworks. Classical estimation of CVaR and its gradients relies on Monte Carlo simulation, incurring…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-19 Vasilis Skarlatos , Nikos Konofaos

A naive likelihood ratio (LR) estimation using the observed frequencies of events can overestimate LRs for infrequent data. One approach to avoid this problem is to use a frequency threshold and set the estimates to zero for frequencies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-02 Masato Kikuchi , Yuhi Kusakabe , Tadachika Ozono

We study a continuous-time portfolio optimization problem under an explicit constraint on the Deviation Conditional Value-at-Risk (DCVaR), defined as the difference between the CVaR and the expected terminal wealth. While the mean-CVaR…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-01 Jérôme Lelong , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , William Thevenot

Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) aims to optimize policies that balance the expected reward and risk. In this paper, we present a novel risk-sensitive RL framework that employs an Iterated Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-05 Yu Chen , Yihan Du , Pihe Hu , Siwei Wang , Desheng Wu , Longbo Huang

Adaptive sampling algorithms are modern and efficient methods that dynamically adjust the sample size throughout the optimization process. However, they may encounter difficulties in risk-averse settings, particularly due to the challenge…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-17 Sandra Pieraccini , Tommaso Vanzan

The entropic value-at-risk (EVaR) is a new coherent risk measure, which is an upper bound for both the value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). As important properties, the EVaR is strongly monotone over its domain and…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-04-17 Amir Ahmadi-Javid , Malihe Fallah-Tafti

In this paper, we tackle the resolution of chance-constrained problems reformulated via Sample Average Approximation. The resulting data-driven deterministic reformulation takes the form of a large-scale mixed-integer program cursed with…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-27 Álvaro Porras , Concepción Domínguez , Juan M. Morales , Salvador Pineda

The Stochastic Shortest Path (SSP) problem models probabilistic sequential-decision problems where an agent must pursue a goal while minimizing a cost function. Because of the probabilistic dynamics, it is desired to have a cost function…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-03-02 Willy Arthur Silva Reis , Denis Benevolo Pais , Valdinei Freire , Karina Valdivia Delgado