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We propose a fast and scalable optimization method to solve chance or probabilistic constrained optimization problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with high-dimensional random parameters. To address the critical…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-11-20 Peng Chen , Omar Ghattas

This paper is concerned with the process of risk allocation for a generic multivariate model when the risk measure is chosen as the Value-at-Risk (VaR). We recast the traditional Euler contributions from an expectation conditional on an…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-06-22 Takaaki Koike , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

We propose a distributionally robust index tracking model with the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) penalty. The model combines the idea of distributionally robust optimization for data uncertainty and the CVaR penalty to avoid large…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-09-12 Ruyu Wang , Yaozhong Hu , Chao Zhang

In this paper, we consider the nonconvex minimization problem of the value-at-risk (VaR) that arises from financial risk analysis. By considering this problem as a special linear program with linear complementarity constraints (a bilevel…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-20 Jong-Shi Pang , Sven Leyffer

This paper studies the chance constrained fractional programming with a random benchmark. We assume that the random variables on the numerator follow the Gaussian distribution, and the random variables on the denominator and the benchmark…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-12-27 Tian Xia , Jia Liu

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is an institutional measure of risk favored by financial regulators. VaR may be interpreted as a quantile of future portfolio values conditional on the information available, where the most common quantile used is 95%.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-05-18 Khizar Qureshi

The popular systemic risk measure CoVaR (conditional Value-at-Risk) and its variants are widely used in economics and finance. In this article, we propose joint dynamic forecasting models for the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and CoVaR. The CoVaR…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-22 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

This paper presents a stochastic approximation proximal subgradient (SAPS) method for stochastic convex-concave minimax optimization. By accessing unbiased and variance bounded approximate subgradients, we show that this algorithm exhibits…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-04-01 Yu-Hong Dai , Jiani Wang , Liwei Zhang

High dimensional covariance estimation and graphical models is a contemporary topic in statistics and machine learning having widespread applications. An important line of research in this regard is to shrink the extreme spectrum of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-28 Sang-Yun Oh , Bala Rajaratnam , Joong-Ho Won

Accurate computation of robust estimates for extremal quantiles of empirical distributions is an essential task for a wide range of applicative fields, including economic policymaking and the financial industry. Such estimates are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-04 Pietro Bogani , Matteo Fontana , Luca Neri , Simone Vantini

We developed a corporative stochastic approximation (CSA) type algorithm for semi-infinite programming (SIP), where the cut generation problem is solved inexactly. First, we provide general error bounds for inexact CSA. Then, we propose two…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-12-24 Bo Wei , William B. Haskell , Sixiang Zhao

In a wide variety of sequential decision making problems, it can be important to estimate the impact of rare events in order to minimize risk exposure. A popular risk measure is the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), which is commonly…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-11 Dylan Troop , Frédéric Godin , Jia Yuan Yu

We study the use of Temporal-Difference learning for estimating the structural parameters in dynamic discrete choice models. Our algorithms are based on the conditional choice probability approach but use functional approximations to…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-12-23 Karun Adusumilli , Dita Eckardt

We propose a new estimator for the high-dimensional linear regression model with observation error in the design where the number of coefficients is potentially larger than the sample size. The main novelty of our procedure is that the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-09 Alexandre Belloni , Abhishek Kaul , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this paper, "chance optimization" problems are introduced, where one aims at maximizing the probability of a set defined by polynomial inequalities. These problems are, in general, nonconvex and computationally hard. With the objective…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-05-12 Ashkan Jasour , Necdet Serhat Aybat , Constantino Lagoa

In this work, we tackle the problem of minimising the Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of output quantities of complex differential models with random input data, using gradient-based approaches in combination with the Multi-Level Monte…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-10-16 Sundar Ganesh , Fabio Nobile

A typical desideratum for quantifying the uncertainty from a classification model as a prediction set is class-conditional singleton set calibration. That is, such sets should map to the output of well-calibrated selective classifiers,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Allen Schmaltz , Danielle Rasooly

The classical risk-neutral newsvendor problem is to decide the order quantity that maximises the expected profit. Some recent works have proposed an alternative model, in which the goal is to minimise the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR), a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-08-29 Congzheng Liu , Wenqi Zhu

Existing value function approximation methods have been successfully used in many applications, but they often lack useful a priori error bounds. We propose a new approximate bilinear programming formulation of value function approximation,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2010-06-15 Marek Petrik , Shlomo Zilberstein

Estimating a constrained relation is a fundamental problem in machine learning. Special cases are classification (the problem of estimating a map from a set of to-be-classified elements to a set of labels), clustering (the problem of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-06 Lizhen Qu , Bjoern Andres