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It is well recognized that population heterogeneity plays an important role in the spread of epidemics. While individual variations in social activity are often assumed to be persistent, i.e. constant in time, here we discuss the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-02-22 Alexei V. Tkachenko , Sergei Maslov , Tong Wang , Ahmed Elbanna , George N. Wong , Nigel Goldenfeld

COVID-19 is a global epidemic. Till now, there is no remedy for this epidemic. However, isolation and social distancing are seemed to be effective preventive measures to control this pandemic. Therefore, in this paper, an optimization…

We have established a novel mathematical model that considers various aspects of the spreading of the virus, including, the transmission based on being in the latent period, environment to human transmission, governmental decisions, and…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2020-08-31 Kamran Soltani , Ghader Rezazadeh

We analyse 'stop-and-go' containment policies that produce infection cycles as periods of tight lockdowns are followed by periods of falling infection rates. The subsequent relaxation of containment measures allows cases to increase again…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-22 Claudius Gros , Daniel Gros

We analyze the spread of COVID-19 by considering the transmission of the disease among individuals both within and between regions. A set of regions can be defined as any partition of a population such that travel/social contact within each…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-11 Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Yaneer Bar-Yam

The COVID-19 pandemic left its unique mark on the 21st century as one of the most significant disasters in history, triggering governments all over the world to respond with a wide range of interventions. However, these restrictions come…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-06-02 Assem Zhunis , Tung-Duong Mai , Sundong Kim

The COVID-19 pandemic has challenged authorities at different levels of government administration around the globe. When faced with diseases of this severity, it is useful for the authorities to have prediction tools to estimate in advance…

Early-exiting neural networks enable adaptive inference by allowing inputs to exit at intermediate classifiers, reducing computation for easy samples while maintaining high accuracy. In practice, exits can be trained sequentially by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Alaa Zniber , Ouassim Karrakchou , Mounir Ghogho

Ongoing and future surveys with repeat imaging in multiple bands are producing (or will produce) time-spaced measurements of brightness, resulting in the identification of large numbers of variable sources in the sky. A large fraction of…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2017-11-29 Abhijit Saha , A. Katherina Vivas

The development and authorization of COVID-19 vaccines has provided the clearest path forward to eliminate community spread hence end the ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. However, the limited pace at which the vaccine can be administered…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-03-11 Glenn Young , Pengcheng Xiao , Kenneth Newcomb , Edwin Michael

Changing environmental conditions can significantly affect the dynamics of disease spread. These changes may arise naturally or result from human interventions; in the latter case, lockdown measures that lead to abrupt but temporary…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-29 Elad Korngut , Michael Assaf

Asymptotic hyperstability is achievable under certain switching laws if at least one of the feed-forward parameterization: 1) possesses a strictly positive real transfer function, 2) a minimum residence time interval is respected for each…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2013-09-24 M. De la Sen , A. Ibeas , S. Alonso-Quesada

In this paper we propose a novel SEIR stochastic epidemic model. A distinguishing feature of this new model is that it allows us to consider a set up under general latency and infectious period distributions. To some extent, queuing systems…

Many policies in the US are determined locally, e.g., at the county-level. Local policy regimes provide flexibility between regions, but may become less effective in the presence of geographic spillovers, where populations circumvent local…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-12-14 Serina Chang , Damir Vrabac , Jure Leskovec , Johan Ugander

Countries around the world implement nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. Design of efficient NPIs requires identification of the structure of the disease transmission network. We here identify the key…

COVID-19 remains a challenging global threat with ongoing waves of infections and clinical disease which have resulted millions of deaths and an enormous strain on health systems worldwide. Effective vaccines have been developed for the…

COVID-19 has forced quarantine measures in several countries across the world. These measures have proven to be effective in significantly reducing the prevalence of the virus. To date, no effective treatment or vaccine is available. In the…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-12-02 Davide Faranda , Tommaso Alberti

During COVID-19, draconian countermeasures forbidding non-essential human activities have been adopted worldwide, providing an unprecedented setup for testing sustainability policies. We unravel causal relationships among 16 environmental…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-11-03 Sebastian Raimondo , Barbara Benigni , Manlio De Domenico

With the present highly infectious dominant SARS-CoV-2 strain of B1.1.529 or Omicron spreading around the globe, there is concern that the COVID-19 pandemic will not end soon and that it will be a race against time until a more contagious…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2022-04-26 Chottiwatt Jittprasong

The recent COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need of non-pharmaceutical interventions in the first stages of a pandemic. Among these, lockdown policies proved unavoidable yet extremely costly from an economic perspective. To better…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-12-14 Leonardo Cianfanelli , Francesca Parise , Daron Acemoglu , Giacomo Como , Asuman Ozdaglar